Will Bay FC vs. Portland Thorns FC end in a draw?
Yes won
Total volume
$1,783
Trades
96
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-18
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-19 00:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.7¢
(top1%: 61% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 60% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $702 | $544 | +$158 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $154 | $14 | +$141 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $19 | $19 | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $6 | $4 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 19 | $616 | $393 | +$222 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $103 | $18 | +$86 |
| Below median | 5 | $11 | $5 | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $50 | $12 | +$38 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $96 | $153 | $57 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | +570 | $240 | $240 | 8 | 10-18 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | +198 | $155 | $155 | 3 | 10-18 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +173 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 10-18 22:53 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | +121 | $55 | $55 | 5 | 10-18 23:00 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +117 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 10-18 22:58 |
| Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | Yes | +106 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 10-18 22:17 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | No | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 10-18 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | No | +90 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 10-18 23:00 |
| Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | Yes | +89 | $89 | $89 | 3 | 10-19 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2002…a75e | Yes | +55 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 10-18 22:58 |
| Sandy-Afternoon 0xa995…1be0 | Yes | +51 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 10-18 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-18 23:07 |
| Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f | No | +48 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 10-18 22:58 |
| Past-Punishment 0xb4d2…ce99 | No | +47 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-18 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d1d…f2df | No | +43 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-18 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc785…4ef2 | No | +43 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-18 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 10-18 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | +40 | $17 | $17 | 9 | 10-18 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e1a…4d5c | Yes | +37 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-18 20:38 |
| Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-18 22:36 |
| Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-18 22:36 |
| Stable-Rifle 0x72bc…b24e | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-18 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc5c…ebf5 | No | +12 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-18 22:57 |
| Wary-Wire 0x39dc…3fb1 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-18 22:53 |
| Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-18 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x745c…4425 | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-18 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-18 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xdcc5…ac27 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-18 22:28 |
| Hospitable-Simple 0x37c1…8de1 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fab…de85 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 21:21 |
| Rowdy-Antecedent 0xa1a7…ace4 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-18 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1eea…af80 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-18 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9c9…6686 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-18 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x42b2…bcff | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-18 22:53 |
| Sizzling-Brunch 0x8404…ea03 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 02:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 00:41:42 | Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcbc5a3… |
| 10-19 00:41:42 | Round-Period 0x634d…f0d0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcbc5a3… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x6dc887… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x291dbc… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x291dbc… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xda4c61… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | Sparkling-Daffodil 0x6f70…862a | Yes | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x291dbc… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | First-Base 0x8563…5e98 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x6dc887… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | Round-Period 0x634d…f0d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x291dbc… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | Grateful-Coconut 0x3112…3fcd | Yes | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xda4c61… |
| 10-18 23:07:06 | Sandy-Afternoon 0xa995…1be0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xda4c61… |
| 10-18 23:03:03 | Simple-Cashew 0x47c9…2038 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb5dd95… |
| 10-18 23:03:03 | Sandy-Afternoon 0xa995…1be0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb5dd95… |
| 10-18 23:00:47 | First-Base 0x8563…5e98 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe51d9a… |
| 10-18 23:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x499a…6e29 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe51d9a… |
| 10-18 23:00:36 | Ornery-Swordfight 0x15ac…f3ba | Yes | SELL | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x1af669… |
| 10-18 23:00:36 | Ornery-Swordfight 0x15ac…f3ba | Yes | SELL | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0xd32c21… |
| 10-18 23:00:36 | Sparkling-Daffodil 0x6f70…862a | Yes | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0xd32c21… |
| 10-18 23:00:36 | Grateful-Coconut 0x3112…3fcd | Yes | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x1af669… |
| 10-18 23:00:36 | First-Base 0x8563…5e98 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x55e148… |
| 10-18 23:00:36 | Ornery-Swordfight 0x15ac…f3ba | Yes | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x55e148… |
| 10-18 23:00:33 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | No | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x27dcb7… |
| 10-18 23:00:33 | (anonymous) 0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x27dcb7… |
| 10-18 23:00:33 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | No | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1c9440… |
| 10-18 23:00:33 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | No | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfa3f03… |
| 10-18 23:00:33 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x27dcb7… |
| 10-18 23:00:33 | (anonymous) 0x745c…4425 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x1c9440… |
| 10-18 23:00:33 | Stable-Rifle 0x72bc…b24e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xfa3f03… |
| 10-18 22:58:48 | Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f | No | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x02c0b8… |
| 10-18 22:58:48 | (anonymous) 0x499a…6e29 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x02c0b8… |
| 10-18 22:58:48 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x02c0b8… |
| 10-18 22:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x2002…a75e | Yes | BUY | 55 | 79¢ | $43 | 0x340d1e… |
| 10-18 22:58:30 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x340d1e… |
| 10-18 22:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x340d1e… |
| 10-18 22:58:02 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 17 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x462ca1… |
| 10-18 22:58:02 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 78¢ | $21 | 0x4c541c… |
| 10-18 22:58:02 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 78¢ | $13 | 0x462ca1… |
| 10-18 22:58:02 | Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f | No | BUY | 27 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x4c541c… |
| 10-18 22:58:00 | Past-Punishment 0xb4d2…ce99 | No | BUY | 47 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x979e3b… |
| 10-18 22:58:00 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 79¢ | $37 | 0x979e3b… |
| 10-18 22:57:51 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0xc8a2c1… |
| 10-18 22:57:51 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xc8a2c1… |
| 10-18 22:57:50 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0xb78209… |
| 10-18 22:57:50 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xb78209… |
| 10-18 22:57:50 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 78¢ | $28 | 0xd0fa97… |
| 10-18 22:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xd0fa97… |
| 10-18 22:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xb78209… |
| 10-18 22:57:50 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 31 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xd0fa97… |
| 10-18 22:57:48 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 78¢ | $20 | 0x2774da… |
| 10-18 22:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xdc5c…ebf5 | No | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x2774da… |
| 10-18 22:57:48 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x2774da… |
| 10-18 22:53:32 | Simple-Cashew 0x47c9…2038 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 52¢ | $6 | 0xfbda78… |
| 10-18 22:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xfbda78… |
| 10-18 22:53:32 | (anonymous) 0xdc5c…ebf5 | No | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0xfbda78… |
| 10-18 22:53:30 | (anonymous) 0xd9c9…6686 | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x9d92a1… |
| 10-18 22:53:30 | (anonymous) 0x42b2…bcff | Yes | BUY | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x9d92a1… |
| 10-18 22:53:29 | Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xa6658e… |
| 10-18 22:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa6658e… |
| 10-18 22:53:29 | Wary-Wire 0x39dc…3fb1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xa6658e… |
| 10-18 22:53:20 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 173 | 48¢ | $83 | 0x2df20a… |
| 10-18 22:53:20 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xe55de0… |
| 10-18 22:53:20 | Ornery-Swordfight 0x15ac…f3ba | Yes | BUY | 173 | 52¢ | $90 | 0x2df20a… |
| 10-18 22:53:20 | Rowdy-Antecedent 0xa1a7…ace4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xe55de0… |
| 10-18 22:53:17 | (anonymous) 0xd9c9…6686 | No | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x714c13… |
| 10-18 22:53:17 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x714c13… |
| 10-18 22:36:32 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x332580… |
| 10-18 22:36:32 | Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x332580… |
| 10-18 22:28:57 | (anonymous) 0x6f65…0c32 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xaad132… |
| 10-18 22:28:57 | (anonymous) 0xdcc5…ac27 | No | BUY | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0xaad132… |
| 10-18 22:28:56 | (anonymous) 0xdcc5…ac27 | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x26f131… |
| 10-18 22:28:56 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x26f131… |
| 10-18 22:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x90290d… |
| 10-18 22:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x4738…e64a | No | SELL | 20 | 57¢ | $12 | 0x90290d… |
| 10-18 22:23:30 | Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f | No | BUY | 15 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x90290d… |
| 10-18 22:17:30 | (anonymous) 0x4738…e64a | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x4d5dfe… |
| 10-18 22:17:30 | (anonymous) 0x1d1d…f2df | No | BUY | 43 | 67¢ | $29 | 0x32318c… |
| 10-18 22:17:30 | Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 33¢ | $14 | 0x32318c… |
| 10-18 22:17:30 | (anonymous) 0xc785…4ef2 | No | BUY | 43 | 67¢ | $29 | 0xadcb06… |
| 10-18 22:17:30 | Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 33¢ | $14 | 0xadcb06… |
| 10-18 22:17:30 | Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x4d5dfe… |
| 10-18 21:36:57 | Hospitable-Simple 0x37c1…8de1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xab23b6… |
| 10-18 21:36:57 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xab23b6… |
| 10-18 21:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xbe29d0… |
| 10-18 21:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x3fab…de85 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbe29d0… |
| 10-18 20:38:08 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xeb88b8… |
| 10-18 20:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xeb88b8… |
| 10-18 20:38:08 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xeb88b8… |
| 10-18 20:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x3e1a…4d5c | Yes | BUY | 37 | 23¢ | $8 | 0xeb88b8… |
| 10-18 20:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x9ee3aa… |
| 10-18 20:38:06 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x9ee3aa… |
| 10-18 20:38:06 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | No | BUY | 100 | 78¢ | $78 | 0x9ee3aa… |
| 10-18 20:38:06 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 368 | 22¢ | $81 | 0x9ee3aa… |
| 10-18 20:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x1eea…af80 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x9ee3aa… |
| 10-18 20:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 113 | 78¢ | $88 | 0x9ee3aa… |
| 10-18 02:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x204cbf… |
| 10-18 02:15:20 | Sizzling-Brunch 0x8404…ea03 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x204cbf… |