Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 18?
open
Total volume
$1,405
$303 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$11,217
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-16 23:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $99
vs crowd: 0% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $99 | $99 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $43 | $41 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $2 | $239 | $237 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $0 | $675 | $675 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $99 | $99 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $181 | $181 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 11 | — | $771 | $771 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +249 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 16:34 |
| Bruised-Fiesta 0xd5e4…c71d | No | +240 | $239 | $239 | 1 | 05-16 16:34 |
| Favorable-Spatula 0x7187…0df2 | No | +171 | $171 | $171 | 1 | 05-16 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xac22…30b2 | No | +126 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 05-16 15:40 |
| Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | +108 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 16:38 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:55 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-14 19:55 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 16:38 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +78 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 12:14 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 16:34 |
| Silver-Countryside 0x42ef…035b | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-16 23:27 |
| Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 12:14 |
| Tense-Anesthesiology 0x71af…c057 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 10:28 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 12:14 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 19:21 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 12:14 |
| Glistening-Eating 0xa78d…8c92 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 19:38 |
| Several-Crewmen 0xe2fe…699d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 19:21 |
| Steep-Outback 0xcf4b…1b49 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4398…0f34 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d47…f32e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 10:20 |
| Natural-Blame 0xec49…9804 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x68ee…4038 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 13:28 |
| Bubbly-Diaphragm 0xb4be…3a66 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 20:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 23:27:50 | Well-Worn-Ferry 0xbe92…a0cb | No | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x9af489… |
| 05-16 23:27:50 | Silver-Countryside 0x42ef…035b | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x9af489… |
| 05-16 19:38:28 | Glistening-Eating 0xa78d…8c92 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0c5a9e… |
| 05-16 19:38:28 | Well-Worn-Ferry 0xbe92…a0cb | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0c5a9e… |
| 05-16 19:21:11 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc44c34… |
| 05-16 19:21:11 | Several-Crewmen 0xe2fe…699d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc44c34… |
| 05-16 16:38:20 | Favorable-Spatula 0x7187…0df2 | No | BUY | 171 | 100¢ | $171 | 0x2bc72d… |
| 05-16 16:38:20 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bc72d… |
| 05-16 16:38:20 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bc72d… |
| 05-16 16:34:08 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe25d4c… |
| 05-16 16:34:08 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe25d4c… |
| 05-16 16:34:08 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 103 | 100¢ | $103 | 0xe25d4c… |
| 05-16 16:34:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe25d4c… |
| 05-16 16:34:08 | Bruised-Fiesta 0xd5e4…c71d | No | BUY | 240 | 100¢ | $239 | 0xe25d4c… |
| 05-16 15:40:51 | (anonymous) 0xac22…30b2 | No | BUY | 126 | 100¢ | $125 | 0xdaa6bb… |
| 05-16 15:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 126 | 100¢ | $125 | 0xdaa6bb… |
| 05-16 14:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x22dffa… |
| 05-16 14:57:45 | Well-Worn-Ferry 0xbe92…a0cb | No | BUY | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x22dffa… |
| 05-16 13:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x68ee…4038 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb4bd24… |
| 05-16 13:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb4bd24… |
| 05-16 10:28:23 | Tense-Anesthesiology 0x71af…c057 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9e2764… |
| 05-16 10:28:23 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9e2764… |
| 05-16 10:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x7d47…f32e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3e53a7… |
| 05-16 10:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3e53a7… |
| 05-15 13:26:52 | Steep-Outback 0xcf4b…1b49 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdd5717… |
| 05-15 13:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdd5717… |
| 05-15 02:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1f928a… |
| 05-15 02:11:07 | Natural-Blame 0xec49…9804 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1f928a… |
| 05-15 00:11:46 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0a806d… |
| 05-15 00:11:46 | (anonymous) 0x4398…0f34 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0a806d… |
| 05-14 20:54:58 | Bubbly-Diaphragm 0xb4be…3a66 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xeb2f56… |
| 05-14 20:54:58 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xeb2f56… |
| 05-14 19:55:07 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x25d6b1… |
| 05-14 19:55:07 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x25d6b1… |
| 05-13 12:14:57 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fce7e… |
| 05-13 12:14:57 | Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fce7e… |
| 05-13 12:14:57 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3fce7e… |
| 05-13 12:14:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3fce7e… |
| 05-13 12:14:57 | (anonymous) 0x890e…af46 | No | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x3fce7e… |
| 05-13 12:14:57 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fce7e… |
| 05-13 12:14:57 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fce7e… |