Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$253
$636 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,461
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 12:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $52 | $52 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $39 | $139 | $100 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $36 | $36 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $37 | $35 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $9 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $21 | $99 | $78 |
| unranked | 2 | $13 | — | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +124 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 05-08 06:09 |
| Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | +116 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 05-08 06:09 |
| Squiggly-Architect-Investigator 0x070d…6ff7 | Yes | +67 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-08 12:24 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +45 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-08 07:35 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +43 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-08 04:39 |
| Useful-Panic 0x5cfc…c4ce | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 05:08 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Charming-Shingle 0xa71d…29f0 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $6 | 2 | 05-08 08:44 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:35 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 12:49:45 | Useful-Panic 0x5cfc…c4ce | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xe017f0… |
| 05-08 12:24:56 | Squiggly-Architect-Investigator 0x070d…6ff7 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 14¢ | $9 | 0xf2a39e… |
| 05-08 08:55:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc23638… |
| 05-08 08:44:47 | Charming-Shingle 0xa71d…29f0 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa6a66e… |
| 05-08 08:44:31 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x9be8d4… |
| 05-08 08:44:31 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x85fc81… |
| 05-08 08:44:30 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xbac1b2… |
| 05-08 08:44:26 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…0493 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x93d07d… |
| 05-08 07:35:47 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x45ab07… |
| 05-08 07:35:27 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 45 | 81¢ | $36 | 0x4c589f… |
| 05-08 07:10:42 | Suburban-Correspondent 0x80b8…e077 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdf6f94… |
| 05-08 06:09:49 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x2651ba… |
| 05-08 06:09:48 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 44 | 81¢ | $36 | 0x3b9b10… |
| 05-08 06:09:37 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $11 | 0x43577b… |
| 05-08 06:09:27 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 59 | 79¢ | $47 | 0xfbe1b3… |
| 05-08 05:35:14 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb3f989… |
| 05-08 05:35:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x074056… |
| 05-08 05:29:59 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xb8a7de… |
| 05-08 05:29:57 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x7308a7… |
| 05-08 05:08:41 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x6f0e2d… |
| 05-08 05:08:40 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x8669ec… |
| 05-08 05:08:38 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x89ad7b… |
| 05-08 05:04:01 | Charming-Shingle 0xa71d…29f0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x766dd2… |
| 05-08 05:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0841b7… |
| 05-08 05:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…0493 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9a0111… |
| 05-08 05:03:39 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xb1ad0c… |
| 05-08 04:43:52 | Suburban-Correspondent 0x80b8…e077 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x129d6e… |
| 05-08 04:39:23 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x026ed1… |
| 05-08 04:39:19 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 43 | 87¢ | $37 | 0x16f982… |
| 05-07 21:18:17 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xa96e81… |
| 05-07 21:18:10 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x624b76… |