Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on May 9?
No won
Total volume
$890
$6,271 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$286,772
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 21:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $0 | $815 | $815 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $56 | $56 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $173 | $173 |
| Median | 12 | — | $573 | $573 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $58 | $58 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exemplary-Dilapidation 0xa57c…77d7 | No | +216 | $215 | $215 | 1 | 05-09 21:15 |
| Comfortable-Rap 0x0820…322e | No | +141 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 05-09 21:14 |
| Orange-Grin 0x8e4a…f43d | No | +126 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 05-09 02:05 |
| Outlandish-Ecliptic 0xa8da…096f | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-08 07:33 |
| Quirky-Tonic 0x9401…a1d3 | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-09 21:15 |
| Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-09 17:04 |
| Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 18:07 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f7c…1558 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 11:49 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 18:42 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-08 19:10 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 19:24 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 19:08 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 08:24 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 18:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd784…7761 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f04…3cde | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 05:19 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| Dual-Execution 0x2d97…3835 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:00 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:42 |
| Yummy-Acorn-Wound 0xc11c…b9b2 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 04:01 |
| Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 21:24 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 09:08 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:24:54 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x1dd07b… |
| 05-09 21:24:51 | Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb91ad5… |
| 05-09 21:15:10 | Quirky-Tonic 0x9401…a1d3 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xdf34f2… |
| 05-09 21:15:04 | Exemplary-Dilapidation 0xa57c…77d7 | No | BUY | 216 | 100¢ | $215 | 0xbf80f8… |
| 05-09 21:14:59 | Comfortable-Rap 0x0820…322e | No | BUY | 141 | 100¢ | $141 | 0xba2dfb… |
| 05-09 19:08:00 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x085d39… |
| 05-09 19:08:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29f296… |
| 05-09 19:08:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe3cdd… |
| 05-09 19:08:00 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92f95c… |
| 05-09 19:08:00 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97ac95… |
| 05-09 19:07:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2f92b… |
| 05-09 19:07:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d7b74… |
| 05-09 19:07:00 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25d7fb… |
| 05-09 18:42:23 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4b4aaf… |
| 05-09 18:42:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x741645… |
| 05-09 18:42:20 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ab0e2… |
| 05-09 18:42:20 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4977c1… |
| 05-09 18:42:20 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08189e… |
| 05-09 18:42:20 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x7b0b70… |
| 05-09 18:27:06 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa73dfe… |
| 05-09 18:20:36 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x8d9a0c… |
| 05-09 18:07:37 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xca7ac1… |
| 05-09 17:24:45 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3207ac… |
| 05-09 17:04:16 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x421a87… |
| 05-09 08:29:50 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3c6a9a… |
| 05-09 08:24:52 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb46b3e… |
| 05-09 05:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x6f04…3cde | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2c5ed2… |
| 05-09 05:19:33 | (anonymous) 0xd784…7761 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xedcddb… |
| 05-09 04:01:42 | Yummy-Acorn-Wound 0xc11c…b9b2 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb80cc4… |
| 05-09 03:24:57 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0a842a… |
| 05-09 03:00:27 | Dual-Execution 0x2d97…3835 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6689a1… |
| 05-09 02:05:33 | Orange-Grin 0x8e4a…f43d | No | BUY | 126 | 99¢ | $125 | 0x04147f… |
| 05-08 19:24:59 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xb010e7… |
| 05-08 19:10:34 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x7d6fe8… |
| 05-08 11:49:33 | (anonymous) 0x0f7c…1558 | No | BUY | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x463ddf… |
| 05-08 08:50:53 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x087c1b… |
| 05-08 07:33:27 | Outlandish-Ecliptic 0xa8da…096f | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xdc736e… |
| 05-08 07:19:09 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2a5f6b… |
| 05-07 09:08:29 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x32c945… |