Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
closed
Total volume
$1,131
Trades
65
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-24
First seen
2026-04-20
last 04-24 20:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.4¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $138
vs crowd: 12% YES on $763)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $26 | $268 | $242 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $28 | $367 | $339 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $22 | $19 | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $18 | $16 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $26 | $112 | $86 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $16 | $108 | $92 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $133 | $132 |
| Median | 1 | $12 | $38 | $26 |
| Below median | 5 | $12 | $102 | $90 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $9 | $15 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $156 | $156 |
| unranked | 4 | $18 | $5 | +$12 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +149 | $149 | $149 | 1 | 04-24 20:00 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | +141 | $107 | $107 | 6 | 04-24 07:34 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-24 20:00 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +61 | $26 | $26 | 6 | 04-24 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd02…5e41 | Yes | +59 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 04-22 14:47 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +59 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 04-22 14:47 |
| Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | Yes | +53 | $1 | $25 | 5 | 04-24 19:40 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-24 20:03 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-23 05:41 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-23 23:29 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-24 17:23 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-23 05:26 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 04-24 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1479…eb67 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-23 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa77e…7d0f | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-24 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a0d…a7a5 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-24 05:19 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-24 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x72fa…d922 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-24 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xff6a…3a7e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 20:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 20:03:14 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e7ba3… |
| 04-24 20:03:14 | (anonymous) 0xff6a…3a7e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1e7ba3… |
| 04-24 20:00:42 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd07357… |
| 04-24 20:00:42 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 149 | 100¢ | $149 | 0xd07357… |
| 04-24 20:00:42 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd07357… |
| 04-24 19:40:44 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xd35517… |
| 04-24 19:40:44 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd35517… |
| 04-24 19:40:44 | Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd35517… |
| 04-24 19:40:08 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x7380c1… |
| 04-24 19:40:08 | Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7380c1… |
| 04-24 19:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x72fa…d922 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba9838… |
| 04-24 19:30:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xba9838… |
| 04-24 17:23:38 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x7683a3… |
| 04-24 17:23:38 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x7683a3… |
| 04-24 17:18:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x28015f… |
| 04-24 17:18:28 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x28015f… |
| 04-24 16:44:52 | (anonymous) 0x6c05…fba8 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 53¢ | $8 | 0xfc6365… |
| 04-24 16:44:52 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 16 | 53¢ | $8 | 0xfc6365… |
| 04-24 16:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x6c05…fba8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x8b2948… |
| 04-24 16:14:52 | Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x8b2948… |
| 04-24 13:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | No | SELL | 126 | 49¢ | $62 | 0xbf5471… |
| 04-24 13:25:54 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 126 | 49¢ | $62 | 0xbf5471… |
| 04-24 07:34:08 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xdf8af9… |
| 04-24 07:34:08 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xdf8af9… |
| 04-24 05:26:06 | (anonymous) 0xe157…0a3a | No | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xd66005… |
| 04-24 05:26:06 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xd66005… |
| 04-24 05:19:46 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xd26e54… |
| 04-24 05:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x7a0d…a7a5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xd26e54… |
| 04-24 04:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x60f8…98d5 | No | SELL | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x1d0f77… |
| 04-24 04:08:50 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x1d0f77… |
| 04-24 03:17:02 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x505a6f… |
| 04-24 03:17:02 | (anonymous) 0xa77e…7d0f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x505a6f… |
| 04-23 23:29:38 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xbb62c8… |
| 04-23 23:29:38 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xbb62c8… |
| 04-23 16:37:50 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xd14df4… |
| 04-23 16:37:50 | (anonymous) 0x1479…eb67 | No | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xd14df4… |
| 04-23 13:34:00 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xd5484c… |
| 04-23 13:34:00 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xd5484c… |
| 04-23 13:31:46 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x92745f… |
| 04-23 13:31:46 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x92745f… |
| 04-23 05:46:54 | Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x53f195… |
| 04-23 05:46:54 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | No | BUY | 84 | 92¢ | $78 | 0x53f195… |
| 04-23 05:46:54 | (anonymous) 0x60f8…98d5 | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x53f195… |
| 04-23 05:41:52 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x980b7a… |
| 04-23 05:41:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | No | BUY | 42 | 92¢ | $38 | 0x980b7a… |
| 04-23 05:26:32 | (anonymous) 0xe157…0a3a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x846508… |
| 04-23 05:26:32 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x846508… |
| 04-23 05:25:54 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x45ec2a… |
| 04-23 05:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xe157…0a3a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x45ec2a… |
| 04-22 19:23:34 | Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x2ce98f… |
| 04-22 19:23:34 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x2ce98f… |
| 04-22 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0xbd02…5e41 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xb04c07… |
| 04-22 14:47:38 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0xb04c07… |
| 04-22 06:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x2691ad… |
| 04-22 06:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x2691ad… |
| 04-22 06:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x82e7de… |
| 04-22 06:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x82e7de… |
| 04-22 00:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x64e280… |
| 04-22 00:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x64e280… |
| 04-22 00:42:46 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x57bc21… |
| 04-22 00:42:46 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x57bc21… |
| 04-20 22:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | SELL | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0xe32b32… |
| 04-20 22:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xe32b32… |
| 04-20 22:48:58 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x338239… |
| 04-20 22:48:58 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x338239… |