Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 30?
No won
Total volume
$342
Trades
26
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-30
First seen
2026-10-28
last 10-30 01:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $20
vs crowd: 9% YES on $282)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $205 | $205 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $15 | $27 | $12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $10 | $20 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $0 | $20 | $20 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $7 | $206 | $200 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $11 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $9 | $15 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3060…4beb | No | +135 | $135 | $135 | 2 | 10-30 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | Yes | +60 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 17:07 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f88…ac84 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-29 17:06 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | +21 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-28 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5071…f5bd | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4df5…a797 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-29 17:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x28ea…7367 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-28 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x28ea…7367 | Yes | +17 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-28 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x550a…96da | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-28 17:26 |
| Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-29 16:32 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c1d…da77 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 16:31 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-28 17:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:17:16 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xc28ad7… |
| 10-30 01:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x3060…4beb | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xc28ad7… |
| 10-29 17:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fcbf7… |
| 10-29 17:07:43 | Silent-Concentration 0xdc8f…dd86 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0fcbf7… |
| 10-29 17:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x3060…4beb | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x0fcbf7… |
| 10-29 17:07:43 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fcbf7… |
| 10-29 17:07:43 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fcbf7… |
| 10-29 17:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x5071…f5bd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fcbf7… |
| 10-29 17:07:43 | Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0fcbf7… |
| 10-29 17:06:31 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbeb8df… |
| 10-29 17:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x3f88…ac84 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xbeb8df… |
| 10-29 17:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x31b1…11d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7dedf8… |
| 10-29 17:04:44 | Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7dedf8… |
| 10-29 17:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x4df5…a797 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x6f5a8b… |
| 10-29 17:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x31b1…11d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x6f5a8b… |
| 10-29 16:32:44 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e265c… |
| 10-29 16:32:44 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2e265c… |
| 10-29 16:32:41 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe1fc58… |
| 10-29 16:32:41 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe1fc58… |
| 10-29 16:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x3c1d…da77 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xae7820… |
| 10-29 16:31:58 | Silent-Concentration 0xdc8f…dd86 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xae7820… |
| 10-28 17:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x28ea…7367 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 40¢ | $7 | 0xad83a9… |
| 10-28 17:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x550a…96da | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0xad83a9… |
| 10-28 17:23:10 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 1 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x2c511a… |
| 10-28 17:23:10 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 42¢ | $9 | 0x2c511a… |
| 10-28 17:23:10 | (anonymous) 0x28ea…7367 | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x2c511a… |