Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$561
$995 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$211
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 14:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $104 | $104 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $10 | $438 | $427 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $54 | $54 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $458 | $457 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | +359 | $355 | $355 | 8 | 05-14 00:58 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Stimulating-Gemsbok 0x8fde…87ce | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 14:41 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 02:29 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 02:36 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-14 02:29 |
| Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:30 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 02:01 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 21:49 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 02:34 |
| Brief-Plenty 0xea78…6c6c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 02:57 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 21:48 |
| Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:41:14 | Stimulating-Gemsbok 0x8fde…87ce | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xe5139a… |
| 05-14 11:59:27 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | SELL | 104 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x757853… |
| 05-14 06:09:51 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 104 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xa784c9… |
| 05-14 06:01:15 | Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xeb7c1c… |
| 05-14 06:01:06 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb65576… |
| 05-14 02:57:09 | Brief-Plenty 0xea78…6c6c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x98c82b… |
| 05-14 02:36:07 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x36e0ad… |
| 05-14 02:34:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x1eeb4c… |
| 05-14 02:29:05 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7fdf77… |
| 05-14 02:29:05 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe4629c… |
| 05-14 02:29:05 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3d462e… |
| 05-14 02:01:53 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xc2ac01… |
| 05-14 00:58:47 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x6367c2… |
| 05-14 00:57:09 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xb098c3… |
| 05-14 00:54:39 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xbcf062… |
| 05-14 00:53:52 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xeccedc… |
| 05-14 00:52:14 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xb1ed0d… |
| 05-14 00:49:47 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x73f791… |
| 05-14 00:48:58 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x75f37c… |
| 05-14 00:47:06 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 253 | 99¢ | $250 | 0xeaa197… |
| 05-13 21:49:00 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x48fbf0… |
| 05-13 21:48:48 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xb05935… |
| 05-13 20:56:39 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x1fa8ca… |
| 05-13 20:30:17 | Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8b0272… |