XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$73
$1,493 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
49¢
Latest NO mid
51¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 04:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.7¢
(top1%: 87% YES on $22
vs crowd: 78% YES on $58)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $17 | $3 | +$14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $27 | $10 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $19 | $3 | +$16 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $9 | $7 | +$2 |
| Median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $1 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unfinished-Familiar 0x522d…d4d8 | Up | +39 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | +21 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-14 04:51 |
| Pink-Journey 0x18d3…b84f | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:51 |
| Harmful-Land 0x6a8a…4972 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:03 |
| Gifted-Baggie 0x0a9e…03de | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x99aa…9037 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 04:51 |
| Rapid-Release 0x74d6…c68c | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Gloomy-Chill 0x8977…7f17 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Ill-Run 0xfc01…f1df | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 04:55:06 | Outstanding-Broad 0xdc3f…d02d | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd8722d… |
| 05-14 04:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x6aab2f… |
| 05-14 04:51:29 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Up | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xc9a226… |
| 05-14 04:51:17 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x3f5245… |
| 05-14 04:51:15 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x8da380… |
| 05-14 04:51:15 | (anonymous) 0x99aa…9037 | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xd8e061… |
| 05-14 04:51:13 | Pink-Journey 0x18d3…b84f | Up | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x5adf10… |
| 05-14 04:51:11 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xed0c92… |
| 05-14 04:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x3578a8… |
| 05-14 04:51:08 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 40¢ | $0 | 0xb6d030… |
| 05-14 04:51:06 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x9f8cca… |
| 05-14 04:51:06 | Gifted-Baggie 0x0a9e…03de | Up | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x2afee1… |
| 05-14 04:51:06 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x2435ab… |
| 05-14 04:51:04 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 53¢ | $0 | 0x988b5e… |
| 05-14 04:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x700a32… |
| 05-14 04:50:57 | Ill-Run 0xfc01…f1df | Down | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x44cf3d… |
| 05-14 04:50:54 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x7e4104… |
| 05-14 04:50:47 | Unfinished-Familiar 0x522d…d4d8 | Up | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x648f4f… |
| 05-14 04:50:43 | Unfinished-Familiar 0x522d…d4d8 | Up | BUY | 26 | 39¢ | $10 | 0xa69d5e… |
| 05-14 04:50:40 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Up | SELL | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xe19fec… |
| 05-14 04:50:36 | Rapid-Release 0x74d6…c68c | Down | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xdef02b… |
| 05-14 04:50:36 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 54¢ | $0 | 0x45fb00… |
| 05-14 04:50:35 | Gloomy-Chill 0x8977…7f17 | Down | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x8a3b7c… |
| 05-14 04:50:35 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Down | SELL | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x4dc9d5… |
| 05-14 04:50:35 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xcb64cd… |
| 05-14 04:50:33 | Frilly-Scale 0xc19c…145d | Up | SELL | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xe6f4e4… |
| 05-14 04:50:31 | Fantastic-Dividend 0x3f39…a73d | Up | SELL | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x67b1e0… |
| 05-14 04:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x039a…eb06 | Down | SELL | 10 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x4c9e43… |
| 05-14 04:45:30 | (anonymous) 0x039a…eb06 | Down | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xc45e92… |
| 05-14 04:45:21 | (anonymous) 0x039a…eb06 | Up | SELL | 9 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x489a86… |
| 05-13 05:03:18 | Harmful-Land 0x6a8a…4972 | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x8f1304… |