Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$86,252

Trades

11,080

Unique wallets

1,147

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-16

First seen

2026-03-16

last 03-16 11:46

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +3,008 (anon) +2,111 (anon) +2,000 (anon) +1,967 (anon) +1,962 (anon) +1,951 (anon) +1,799 Cumbersome-Yak +1,747

NO holders

(anon) +2,925 (anon) +2,731 (anon) +2,683 Intelligent-Scheme +2,500 Cumbersome-Yak +2,247 (anon) +1,990 (anon) +1,626 (anon) +1,625

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -3.9¢ (top1%: 65% YES on $38.4K vs crowd: 69% YES on $74.1K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	119	$27.3K	$16.3K	+$11.0K
🐬 Dolphin	259	$15.7K	$3.9K	+$11.8K
🐟 Fish	475	$6.0K	$2.3K	+$3.8K
🦐 Shrimp	294	$1.8K	$861	+$913

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	110	$24.8K	$13.6K	+$11.2K
🏆 Top 5%	120	$4.8K	$1.1K	+$3.7K
✅ Top 10%	57	$629	$209	+$421
Median	108	$862	$353	+$509
Below median	374	$3.5K	$907	+$2.6K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	160	$2.1K	$829	+$1.2K
🔻 Bottom 5%	142	$4.7K	$2.0K	+$2.6K
💀 Bottom 1%	76	$9.5K	$4.3K	+$5.1K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Up	+3,008	$3,005	$3,005	21	03-16 11:45
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Down	+2,925	$567	$567	83	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+2,731	$942	$1,600	126	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+2,683	$932	$1,362	182	03-16 11:42
Intelligent-Scheme 0xd19f…c21f	Down	+2,500	$2	$2	5	03-16 11:44
Cumbersome-Yak 0x2b41…e0d3	Down	+2,247	$1,291	$1,291	5	03-16 11:36
(anonymous) 0xcf0f…cef3	Up	+2,111	$1,979	$1,979	11	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0xe973…fa97	Up	+2,000	$1,282	$1,282	32	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+1,990	$713	$713	218	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+1,967	$955	$1,005	88	03-16 11:39
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Up	+1,962	$1,441	$1,441	50	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Up	+1,951	$1,240	$1,240	207	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Up	+1,799	$1,094	$1,094	185	03-16 11:43
Cumbersome-Yak 0x2b41…e0d3	Up	+1,747	$1,075	$1,095	4	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0xbd7d…d7d1	Up	+1,630	$819	$819	3	03-16 11:39
(anonymous) 0xbd7d…d7d1	Down	+1,626	$653	$653	6	03-16 11:39
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Down	+1,625	$578	$578	218	03-16 11:41
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Down	+1,616	$631	$646	39	03-16 11:41
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+1,591	$478	$478	107	03-16 11:43
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+1,482	$633	$633	62	03-16 11:37
(anonymous) 0xcb8c…69b1	Up	+1,398	$1,160	$1,160	10	03-16 11:41
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Up	+1,273	$1,098	$1,098	12	03-16 11:43
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Down	+1,230	$230	$230	20	03-16 11:43
(anonymous) 0x5e7c…7b69	Down	+1,194	$25	$25	38	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0xf696…1b7d	Down	+1,084	$314	$314	64	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+1,070	$622	$622	99	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Up	+1,063	$472	$566	48	03-16 11:37
(anonymous) 0x1004…9b8f	Up	+1,038	$540	$540	79	03-16 11:41
(anonymous) 0x1004…9b8f	Down	+1,030	$449	$449	80	03-16 11:40
Miserly-Snob 0x8918…8824	Up	+1,002	$1,000	$1,000	2	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Up	+948	$545	$545	95	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0xf696…1b7d	Up	+920	$668	$668	57	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0x960a…ed7a	Down	+890	$200	$200	43	03-16 11:40
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Up	+880	$572	$572	46	03-16 11:43
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Up	+880	$535	$535	82	03-16 11:43
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Down	+871	$390	$390	70	03-16 11:41
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+822	$331	$331	45	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Down	+815	$322	$322	74	03-16 11:42
Well-Made-Birch 0xde6e…0169	Down	+813	$414	$414	1	03-16 11:02
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Down	+803	$330	$330	90	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Up	+793	$476	$476	79	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0x193a…2dfa	Up	+748	$407	$407	150	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0x960a…ed7a	Up	+745	$543	$543	26	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0x2e04…e9b2	Up	+738	$714	$714	1	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0x193a…2dfa	Down	+714	$321	$321	132	03-16 11:39
(anonymous) 0xb7af…cb65	Down	+680	$138	$138	43	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0x7176…cc22	Up	+676	$494	$494	32	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Up	+666	$446	$446	27	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0xf813…c738	Up	+661	$400	$400	2	03-16 11:35
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	Up	+658	$433	$433	100	03-16 11:42
Agreeable-Preference 0x2652…1b08	Up	+646	$646	$646	6	03-16 11:46
(anonymous) 0x06b2…0c61	Down	+598	$1	$1	7	03-16 11:44
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	Down	+580	$253	$253	102	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0x5356…8a62	Up	+552	$363	$363	18	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Down	+552	$176	$176	37	03-16 11:43
(anonymous) 0x14ec…0d8d	Down	+537	$199	$199	101	03-16 11:38
(anonymous) 0x9580…ca78	Down	+524	$27	$27	27	03-16 11:43
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+519	$166	$166	44	03-16 11:42
(anonymous) 0x5356…8a62	Down	+513	$251	$251	26	03-16 11:40
(anonymous) 0x20de…b9e9	Down	+500	$150	$150	25	03-16 11:39