Punctual-Manifestation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,550

lifetime

Volume

$4.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-28 10:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 67% +$0

Other

4% 67% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 2 6am et	3	$230	130	130	+0	open	—	03-02 12:46
ethereum up or down march 2 5am et	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	03-02 12:08
ethereum up or down march 2 7am et	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-02 12:47
bitcoin up or down march 3 12am et	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	03-03 05:48
ethereum up or down march 2 12am et	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-02 05:47
solana up or down march 3 5am et	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-03 10:50
bitcoin up or down march 1 8am et	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	03-01 13:46
ethereum up or down march 2 1pm et	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-02 18:48
ethereum up or down march 3 7am et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-03 12:53
ethereum up or down february 28 4pm et	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	02-28 21:47
solana up or down march 1 2am et	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-01 07:54
solana up or down march 2 3pm et	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	03-02 20:47
bitcoin up or down february 28 7am et	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	02-28 12:47
bitcoin up or down march 1 12am et	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	03-01 05:49
ethereum up or down march 2 2am et	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	03-02 07:47
ethereum up or down february 28 12pm et	1	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	02-28 17:50
solana up or down february 28 4pm et	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	02-28 21:48
ethereum up or down march 1 9am et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-01 14:50
solana up or down march 2 12am et	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-02 05:51
solana up or down march 3 9am et	1	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	03-03 14:53
ethereum up or down march 1 4am et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-01 09:46
bitcoin up or down march 1 7am et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-01 12:48
solana up or down march 2 2am et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-02 07:52
ethereum up or down march 2 3pm et	1	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	03-02 20:52
solana up or down march 2 5am et	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-02 10:47
ethereum up or down march 2 3am et	1	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	03-02 08:51
ethereum up or down february 28 8am et	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	02-28 13:47
ethereum up or down march 3 4am et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-03 09:58
bitcoin up or down march 1 6am et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-01 11:59
bitcoin up or down march 1 8pm et	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	03-02 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 10:32:32	btc updown 15m 1785234600	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9deeca…
07-25 16:48:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xc04673…
07-25 16:46:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xad5ccf…
07-25 16:05:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3f1273…
07-25 15:28:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xaf5504…
07-25 15:25:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfd2921…
07-20 05:49:03	btc updown 5m 1784526300	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x9e1329…
07-20 05:41:40	btc updown 5m 1784526300	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdf5b28…
07-17 11:41:06	lol hle1 t1 2026 07 17	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x27cf67…
07-09 04:31:35	btc updown 5m 1783571400	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xb18209…
07-09 04:31:11	btc updown 5m 1783571400	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x44c8bb…
07-09 04:29:58	btc updown 5m 1783571400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa38475…
07-09 04:29:29	btc updown 5m 1783571400	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xe32865…
07-08 07:58:31	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	T1	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x76d105…
07-07 16:15:52	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5a6399…
07-07 14:00:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x381645…
07-07 07:33:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x930667…
07-07 07:33:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd2e726…
07-07 07:30:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xfc0793…
07-07 07:29:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdeb23b…
07-04 17:11:08	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	Canada	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x8b4940…
07-04 17:11:08	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	Canada	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x14e0b7…
07-04 17:06:49	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa0b22f…
07-03 23:20:02	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xfc9d20…
07-03 04:15:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa8573e…
06-24 07:00:01	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6a8a9a…
06-21 15:44:05	btc updown 5m 1782056400	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x825c7b…
06-21 15:40:58	btc updown 5m 1782056400	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xd55110…
06-21 15:38:53	btc updown 5m 1782056400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x168711…
06-21 15:38:46	btc updown 5m 1782056400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x42e5e3…
06-21 14:47:22	btc updown 5m 1782053100	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x5b8aa9…
06-21 14:46:29	btc updown 5m 1782053100	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x9c68a5…
06-21 14:42:13	btc updown 5m 1782053100	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6776a…
06-21 14:42:01	btc updown 5m 1782053100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0c9ad9…
06-21 14:17:53	btc updown 5m 1782051300	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x87fd36…
06-21 14:17:22	btc updown 5m 1782051300	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x6c49fc…
06-21 14:14:49	btc updown 5m 1782051300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31ac15…
06-21 14:14:41	btc updown 5m 1782051300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x449d59…
06-18 16:21:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x47227d…
06-13 09:10:09	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x1aa407…
06-13 09:06:48	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x66e941…
06-06 17:25:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa2239a…
05-28 12:24:34	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0bfad9…
05-15 11:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x1563b6…
05-15 11:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x97b8c7…
05-13 13:52:27	LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Team WE	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd6fd88…
05-13 13:48:48	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d81c6…
05-13 09:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x614d44…
05-04 21:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0d8cfd…
05-04 20:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x58e6d4…
05-04 15:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x532a73…
05-02 04:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xff8d13…
05-02 04:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x214432…
05-01 15:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x013421…
05-01 15:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x430c6b…
05-01 15:02:10	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5af822…
05-01 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5235ad…
05-01 12:14:38	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf59d4c…
04-30 06:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x61bef4…
04-29 07:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x381893…
04-29 07:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x40d869…
04-29 01:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb2b4c3…
04-28 17:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x788a33…
04-28 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x90e47a…
04-28 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6edf98…
04-28 13:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xacb693…
04-28 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3d9bc4…
04-28 12:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xac04ff…
04-28 12:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb45300…
04-23 00:18:36	btc updown 15m 1776903300	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x446429…
04-23 00:16:14	btc updown 15m 1776903300	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xd298d3…
04-23 00:10:34	btc updown 15m 1776902400	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x0d21b9…
04-23 00:00:18	btc updown 15m 1776902400	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x036823…
04-22 23:52:44	btc updown 15m 1776901500	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x069fe5…
04-22 23:46:44	btc updown 15m 1776901500	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x339462…
04-22 23:31:40	btc updown 15m 1776900600	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x16c0b2…
04-22 23:27:18	btc updown 15m 1776899700	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x731baa…
04-22 23:20:06	btc updown 15m 1776899700	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x36b98e…
04-22 23:00:48	btc updown 15m 1776898800	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb96340…
04-22 22:59:58	btc updown 15m 1776897900	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbc9447…
04-22 22:46:06	btc updown 15m 1776897900	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x34e101…
04-22 22:35:08	btc updown 15m 1776897000	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xab24e5…
04-22 22:30:40	btc updown 15m 1776897000	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xed1e93…
04-22 22:27:06	btc updown 15m 1776896100	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa9ddbf…
04-22 22:17:06	btc updown 15m 1776896100	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x50c1b3…
04-22 22:08:36	btc updown 15m 1776895200	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xd8059c…
04-22 22:03:06	btc updown 15m 1776895200	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x0a38e4…
04-22 21:51:58	btc updown 15m 1776894300	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x719463…
04-22 21:48:28	btc updown 15m 1776894300	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x39c14a…
04-22 21:43:10	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb09b78…
04-22 21:31:04	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x9010cf…
04-22 21:29:34	btc updown 15m 1776892500	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x8f99bb…
04-22 20:52:22	btc updown 15m 1776890700	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x3fc26d…
04-22 20:36:48	btc updown 15m 1776889800	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xc03c18…
04-22 20:29:08	btc updown 15m 1776888900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6b6053…
04-22 20:19:22	btc updown 15m 1776888900	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x0434a8…
04-22 20:08:48	btc updown 15m 1776888000	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xf252c7…
04-22 20:04:56	btc updown 15m 1776888000	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x12f866…
04-22 19:52:48	btc updown 15m 1776887100	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x2fb750…
04-22 19:50:06	btc updown 15m 1776887100	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x744a61…