Crazy-Courage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$113

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-14 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

79% 100% +$5

Other

15% — —

Crypto

4% 0% $-5

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes		+2	$1	38¢	$1	$-0	07-14 21:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$62	43,680	0	+43,680	open	—	04-10 17:09
will trump say tiger this week march 29	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-26 17:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-13 14:17
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$4	7	3	+4	open	—	04-09 09:09
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-07 07:35
will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-09 09:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	04-13 07:46
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-25 14:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 07:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	03-24 16:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	04-06 10:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-13 07:49
wta zakharo yastrem 2026 03 30	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-30 07:48
will crack cocaine be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	03-24 16:08
will trump say six seven this week march 29	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-24 16:02
will trump say low energy in march	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	03-24 16:16
will trump say epic fury this week april 5	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-30 07:23
Will Trump say "Gay" in April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-30 07:40
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-13 07:24
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-30 07:39
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 07:39
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-29 07:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-24 16:12
will trump say plastic egg this week april 5	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-30 07:22
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-14 21:29
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-29 07:19
will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-24 16:03
ufc ign tof 2026 03 28	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-24 16:13
will trump say gay this week april 5	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-30 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 21:29:50	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb24a11…
06-25 14:41:37	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Germany	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x47f192…
06-09 09:49:52	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x391ae8…
05-14 07:39:18	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc379d4…
05-13 14:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5b7d79…
05-04 07:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x85770e…
04-29 07:49:18	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4e929f…
04-29 07:19:48	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xca29b8…
04-22 07:35:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9a8b5e…
04-13 12:14:05	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x8f517a…
04-13 07:49:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x60985f…
04-13 07:46:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0ed44f…
04-13 07:24:09	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6a2477…
04-10 17:09:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xfedb4c…
04-10 12:35:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xa01fb2…
04-09 09:09:25	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xd43f23…
04-08 19:27:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xbaa8ad…
04-08 16:01:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x3467e3…
04-08 12:56:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2eb314…
04-08 12:56:27	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x4d2ee9…
04-07 07:35:35	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xe5d77b…
04-06 10:28:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x6027e9…
04-02 07:27:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0b6c1f…
03-30 07:48:12	wta zakharo yastrem 2026 03 30	Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b859c…
03-30 07:40:36	Will Trump say "Gay" in April?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb42b20…
03-30 07:39:56	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4f7981…
03-30 07:23:32	will trump say epic fury this week april 5	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4f431a…
03-30 07:22:42	will trump say plastic egg this week april 5	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ed053…
03-30 07:21:14	will trump say mad this week april 5	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x673ad5…
03-30 07:20:48	will trump say gay this week april 5	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x04ebbc…
03-29 16:38:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3dadb3…
03-29 16:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeb8d57…
03-29 16:37:00	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x489f61…
03-26 17:22:05	will trump say tiger this week march 29	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x06eba5…
03-24 16:16:03	will trump say low energy in march	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1af054…
03-24 16:13:33	ufc ign tof 2026 03 28	Tofiq Musayev	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb07954…
03-24 16:12:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb881ae…
03-24 16:12:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7f3f53…
03-24 16:08:55	will crack cocaine be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeff792…
03-24 16:03:39	will trump say tiger this week march 29	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf544ef…
03-24 16:03:29	will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x219cbd…
03-24 16:02:29	will trump say six seven this week march 29	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x19b109…