Reflecting-Numeracy 0x015609…533644
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
279
lifetime
Volume
$5.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$760
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-19 16:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Other
44% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +217 $200 92¢ $199 $-1 07-12 16:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +132 $110 80¢ $106 $-4 07-14 18:25
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +102 $100 98¢ $100 +$0 07-07 16:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +106 $100 92¢ $98 $-2 07-07 16:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $-0 07-19 16:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +57 $50 86¢ $49 $-1 07-19 15:59
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +48 $40 86¢ $41 +$1 07-08 19:38
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +32 $30 94¢ $31 +$1 07-08 19:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +36 $30 70¢ $25 $-5 07-12 16:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +14 $10 66¢ $9 $-1 07-12 16:48
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 07-12 16:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 07-12 16:49