Lined-Beggar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

489

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-24 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

56% 47% -$168

Other

40% 40% +$78

Crypto

4% 42% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-22	-$1	4¢	$-1	+$0	06-24 16:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$406	609	609	+0	No	-$394	04-18 18:18
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	1	$300	414	0	+414	Yes	+$114	04-12 18:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	9	$260	166	166	+0	Yes	+$22	04-12 11:59
will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$220	123	123	+0	Yes	+$20	04-17 13:48
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	5	$207	107	107	+0	Yes	+$7	04-20 02:40
will tisza win at least 120 seats	3	$188	115	115	+0	Yes	+$40	04-12 19:49
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	5	$128	102	99	+3	Yes	+$71	04-14 19:53
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$86	63	63	+0	Yes	+$39	04-12 21:46
will tisza win at least 130 seats	2	$57	155	0	+155	Yes	+$98	04-12 12:07
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$49	34	34	+0	Yes	+$19	04-12 23:49
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$39	242	242	+0	Yes	-$21	04-16 07:44
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	8	$32	74	0	+74	No	-$32	06-24 16:17
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 20c	5	$28	19	18	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 17:55
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	04-12 19:36
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 16:41
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	$0	04-22 19:48
will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$16	58	58	+0	No	-$14	04-12 21:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 2?	6	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	05-03 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 08:50 UTC	4	$13	14	13	+1	Down	+$10	04-14 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 1?	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 20:31
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 25?	3	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	04-24 21:43
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$12	49	49	+0	open	—	05-23 12:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$10	0	25	-25	Yes	-$15	06-02 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	3	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	04-25 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	5	$7	9	0	+9	Yes	+$2	05-01 22:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	04-23 12:01
highest temperature in munich on april 23 2026 18c	3	$6	5	4	+0	Yes	+$3	04-23 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 26?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	04-26 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	2	$6	6	5	+0	Yes	+$5	04-27 14:24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$6	0	24	-24	No	+$6	05-22 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:17:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe94f00…
06-24 16:16:26	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xa9d0ed…
06-02 22:42:31	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x1b672f…
06-02 18:53:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x40aacf…
05-23 13:01:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbc527a…
05-23 13:00:42	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xca4c99…
05-23 12:25:28	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0x64797e…
05-22 15:52:21	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0xd9c345…
05-22 15:51:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0xe1b47c…
05-19 10:36:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1cc8bf…
05-17 19:31:03	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x25ffc2…
05-14 14:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x97cf4e…
05-14 14:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x05dbf0…
05-13 10:40:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5fa316…
05-13 10:39:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xef9c17…
05-11 21:48:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb19fe7…
05-11 21:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x27e156…
05-11 08:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x96aa83…
05-11 08:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3a1439…
05-11 08:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xba3e12…
05-11 08:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x78d58e…
05-11 08:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x63667f…
05-10 16:19:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe22f23…
05-10 08:32:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0ad0a5…
05-09 16:42:39	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x3f66c3…
05-09 16:41:57	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xb865c9…
05-09 16:38:08	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7e3879…
05-09 15:29:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x94a819…
05-09 15:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9729ea…
05-09 15:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe51d44…
05-08 14:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdbbb25…
05-08 14:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5b5066…
05-08 14:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x103310…
05-08 14:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6ad5c7…
05-08 04:53:02	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x37e2a1…
05-08 04:50:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa136fc…
05-08 04:50:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x165a6c…
05-07 19:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x39df77…
05-07 19:17:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbe8e60…
05-07 15:00:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x061005…
05-07 06:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfb24b4…
05-07 06:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe7a0c…
05-07 06:47:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x166df1…
05-07 06:46:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0edaaf…
05-06 14:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdfdd61…
05-06 14:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfeb913…
05-06 14:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x43b05e…
05-06 05:20:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0c8e9f…
05-06 05:19:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd8dc0a…
05-05 16:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe92809…
05-05 13:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x92e3fc…
05-05 13:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x88be93…
05-05 13:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6fd8e6…
05-05 13:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xacc1be…
05-05 12:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa5e1f1…
05-05 12:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x247558…
05-05 07:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x19fca2…
05-05 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfba8c4…
05-05 07:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb27a36…
05-05 07:27:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb104f6…
05-04 21:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x038b2e…
05-04 12:24:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2d9424…
05-04 08:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4178fe…
05-04 08:09:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb31eba…
05-04 07:17:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcecdc0…
05-04 07:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x160419…
05-04 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x213ce0…
05-04 06:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7fca22…
05-04 06:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5d8406…
05-04 06:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa90bb…
05-04 06:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7fd311…
05-04 06:43:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x92c270…
05-04 06:42:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a728b…
05-04 06:42:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4f9dc9…
05-04 03:23:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa7f089…
05-04 02:38:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7e2e40…
05-04 02:35:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x878fb1…
05-03 22:58:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc3ea37…
05-03 20:26:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe67ff7…
05-03 20:26:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc34f37…
05-03 19:11:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x808182…
05-03 19:11:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0239bd…
05-03 18:43:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x27086e…
05-03 14:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x56cf31…
05-03 14:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa44caa…
05-03 14:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x57d8c3…
05-03 14:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x328654…
05-03 14:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xac5c34…
05-03 14:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x93fdb6…
05-03 11:14:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x574d67…
05-03 11:13:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x1d7429…
05-03 11:13:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe42701…
05-03 06:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8c8b2c…
05-03 06:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x233164…
05-03 06:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5c42ff…
05-03 06:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x698b69…
05-03 06:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe134b0…
05-03 06:42:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 2?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfa2fd8…
05-03 06:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x03a094…
05-03 06:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff4749…