Lined-Beggar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-24 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% — —

Other

34% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes		+39	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	06-24 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$406	609	609	+0	open	—	04-18 18:18
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	1	$300	414	0	+414	open	—	04-12 18:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	9	$260	166	166	+0	open	—	04-12 11:59
will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$220	123	123	+0	open	—	04-17 13:48
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	5	$207	107	107	+0	open	—	04-20 02:40
will tisza win at least 120 seats	3	$188	115	115	+0	open	—	04-12 19:49
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	5	$128	102	99	+3	open	—	04-14 19:53
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$86	63	63	+0	open	—	04-12 21:46
will tisza win at least 130 seats	2	$57	155	0	+155	open	—	04-12 12:07
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$49	34	34	+0	open	—	04-12 23:49
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$39	242	242	+0	open	—	04-16 07:44
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 20c	5	$28	19	18	+0	open	—	04-24 17:55
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-12 19:36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 19:48
will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$16	58	58	+0	open	—	04-12 21:17
btc updown 5m 1776156600	4	$13	14	13	+1	open	—	04-14 08:54
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 25?	3	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	04-24 21:43
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$10	39	0	+39	open	—	06-24 16:17
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 17:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 12:01
highest temperature in munich on april 23 2026 18c	3	$6	5	4	+0	open	—	04-23 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 26?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	2	$6	6	5	+0	open	—	04-27 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 25?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 17:57
btc updown 5m 1776097500	6	$6	11	10	+1	open	—	04-13 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 25?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-25 13:28
btc updown 5m 1776249000	3	$5	112	12	+101	open	—	04-15 10:34
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?	3	$5	7	3	+3	open	—	04-26 21:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 19c	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-20 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:17:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe94f00…
06-02 22:42:31	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x1b672f…
05-17 19:31:03	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x25ffc2…
05-11 08:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x96aa83…
05-11 08:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3a1439…
05-02 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x61c2c9…
05-02 12:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc47994…
05-02 12:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xade665…
05-02 09:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4ac303…
04-30 23:17:38	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcedac3…
04-28 07:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xab17fc…
04-28 07:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb392e8…
04-28 07:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6e4ade…
04-28 07:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x876105…
04-28 07:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeba5fd…
04-28 07:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3c4d55…
04-28 07:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x35fec7…
04-28 04:57:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x2d6e66…
04-27 23:53:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xa993a3…
04-27 20:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfbb986…
04-27 20:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe277bf…
04-27 20:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe0af9b…
04-27 20:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3a7e8a…
04-27 20:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2829ce…
04-27 20:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbd3203…
04-27 20:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfd6b17…
04-27 15:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5fcaed…
04-27 15:53:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x152b47…
04-27 15:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x6a6ea5…
04-27 14:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4b0df9…
04-27 14:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7fd736…
04-27 13:01:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x29db25…
04-27 12:17:46	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8dc3a8…
04-27 12:17:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdeb903…
04-27 11:51:24	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x793186…
04-27 11:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x586dea…
04-27 07:12:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xdf34fc…
04-27 06:28:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x83af21…
04-27 05:49:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6e226f…
04-27 04:39:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x45ad44…
04-27 03:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x7495af…
04-27 02:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x843432…
04-27 01:35:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa2ac82…
04-27 00:03:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x90e758…
04-26 22:25:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xc09b84…
04-26 21:35:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x00e679…
04-26 21:32:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x902ec2…
04-26 21:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x8e667b…
04-26 21:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfe6644…
04-26 21:12:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb11041…
04-26 21:12:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x213c34…
04-26 21:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc93a5b…
04-26 21:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x64ec8d…
04-26 21:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe48b6a…
04-26 21:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ee1f6…
04-26 21:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbfab2c…
04-26 21:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0319ab…
04-26 21:01:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbe67bd…
04-26 20:59:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71ff6a…
04-26 20:58:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd3d38d…
04-26 20:58:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xef28e8…
04-26 20:39:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1c5e5e…
04-26 20:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb2fc1b…
04-26 20:12:42	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xec4d57…
04-26 20:11:40	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2e1f37…
04-26 19:53:26	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x842d6a…
04-26 19:52:42	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xda3f28…
04-26 19:48:18	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x838844…
04-26 19:46:42	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x22e7ef…
04-26 19:37:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xddbeff…
04-26 19:26:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x95566d…
04-26 19:24:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbdf23e…
04-26 19:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x99ae42…
04-26 19:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x4d047c…
04-26 17:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5dc881…
04-26 17:36:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x986000…
04-26 16:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc2dc99…
04-26 16:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4119a8…
04-26 16:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x430f09…
04-26 16:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4d8907…
04-26 16:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd1f535…
04-26 16:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x63797d…
04-26 16:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf762c8…
04-26 16:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x79f564…
04-26 16:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x86bb42…
04-26 10:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf153bc…
04-26 10:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5665c6…
04-26 10:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x40b927…
04-26 10:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x181e53…
04-26 10:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdec63a…
04-26 10:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd3f166…
04-26 06:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xab4269…
04-26 06:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbbf197…
04-26 06:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb54714…
04-26 06:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3f6d07…
04-26 06:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x67bff0…
04-26 06:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x724017…
04-26 06:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa8713c…
04-26 06:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1fdce8…
04-26 06:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe4434d…