(anonymous) 0x01b11f…5876b0
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Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
48
Trades
127
lifetime
Volume
$658
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$73
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
40% 50% +$20
Other
33% 50% -$11
Crypto
16% 50% -$6
Tech
7% 100% +$5
Sports
4% 71% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No -36 -$35 97¢ $-35 $0 07-14 08:00
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$2 07-15 15:03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +87 $11 11¢ $9 -$2 10-21 14:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $5 33¢ $3 -$2 08-12 13:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15 $1 17¢ $2 +$1 05-05 07:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $2 58¢ $2 $0 10-21 14:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 $0 10-15 13:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-30 21:09
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-09 10:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +23 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 07-27 11:47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +10 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 05-01 09:11