Fat-Deployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

46 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$229

$229 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-05 22:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-05 22:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb280c4…
05-05 22:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5dbf22…
05-05 22:20:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x21603c…
05-05 21:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x348f5d…
05-05 21:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x6d22bf…
05-05 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc51a19…
05-05 20:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7ffdb7…
05-05 20:59:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc17d67…
05-05 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e83dc…
05-05 20:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23ba19…
05-05 20:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa51c94…
05-05 20:24:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd0cfb…
05-05 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x028bd3…
05-05 17:54:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xded01d…
05-05 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfc863f…
05-05 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2aaebb…
05-05 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x69cdc5…
05-05 15:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d7fca…
05-05 14:44:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x396a34…
05-05 14:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01b131…
05-05 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0795da…
05-05 05:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd85f91…
05-05 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x989b5c…
05-05 05:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39f777…
05-05 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd46312…
05-05 04:34:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a10d9…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf94af6…
05-05 04:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdeffc5…
05-05 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x25d588…
05-05 03:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf88666…
05-05 01:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bac71…
05-05 01:49:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x158a2b…
05-05 01:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3feeee…
05-05 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd75440…
05-05 00:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd119c…
05-04 23:54:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8d5189…
05-04 23:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5cd0a…
05-04 23:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x39243c…
05-04 23:44:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00cc4a…
05-04 23:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a0446…
05-04 23:24:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x570979…
05-04 23:24:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x313fc7…
05-04 23:19:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e6fad…
05-04 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb18fca…
05-04 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c87fc…
05-04 22:09:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4660a5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$4.26K	126	05-05 22:49
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	25	$1.89K	92	05-05 22:50
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	18	$3.00K	46	05-05 21:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$868	82	05-05 22:45
Useful-Panic 0x5cfc…c4ce	18	$707	46	05-05 22:49
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	18	$611	57	05-05 22:45
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	16	$904	52	05-05 22:45
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$835	49	05-05 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:39
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:49
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	$-5	05-04 23:19
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 03:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 05:04