Fat-Deployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$170

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:39
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 04:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	$-5	05-04 23:19
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 05:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 03:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 05:09
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x028bd3…
05-05 17:54:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xded01d…
05-05 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfc863f…
05-05 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2aaebb…
05-05 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x69cdc5…
05-05 15:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d7fca…
05-05 14:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01b131…
05-05 14:44:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x396a34…
05-05 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0795da…
05-05 05:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd85f91…
05-05 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x989b5c…
05-05 05:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39f777…
05-05 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd46312…
05-05 04:34:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a10d9…
05-05 04:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdeffc5…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf94af6…
05-05 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x25d588…
05-05 03:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf88666…
05-05 01:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bac71…
05-05 01:49:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x158a2b…
05-05 01:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3feeee…
05-05 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd75440…
05-05 00:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd119c…
05-04 23:54:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8d5189…
05-04 23:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5cd0a…
05-04 23:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x39243c…
05-04 23:44:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00cc4a…
05-04 23:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a0446…
05-04 23:24:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x570979…
05-04 23:24:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x313fc7…
05-04 23:19:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e6fad…
05-04 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb18fca…
05-04 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c87fc…
05-04 22:09:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4660a5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	19	$1.58K	78	05-05 17:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	16	$2.15K	88	05-05 17:54
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	15	$2.84K	42	05-05 17:53
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	13	$758	23	05-05 17:54
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	13	$665	65	05-05 17:53
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	13	$510	48	05-05 17:52
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	12	$709	41	05-05 17:39
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	11	$700	21	05-05 17:53