Grouchy-Genius — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-20 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 100% +$0

Crypto

34% 100% +$1

Politics

12% — —

Tech

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	3	$125	126	+126	open	—	06-26 07:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$124	124	+124	open	—	06-02 10:40
cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	1	$119	120	+120	open	—	06-27 16:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$117	119	+119	open	—	08-09 16:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	08-11 06:37
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$113	114	+114	open	—	08-20 21:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$109	114	+114	open	—	08-13 06:01
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$60	62	+62	open	—	07-28 04:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$46	47	+47	open	—	05-20 10:22
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$41	41	+41	Yes	+$1	05-05 11:56
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$38	39	+39	open	—	05-25 15:48
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	06-28 23:46
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	06-29 12:48
will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	07-26 17:14
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$13	14	+14	open	—	05-16 21:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	05-15 12:47
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	05-14 19:46
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	05-09 13:47
will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	2	$11	11	+11	open	—	07-26 20:40
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	04-14 02:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-19 18:02
Will Solana reach $150 in April?	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-11 04:25
will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	07-19 15:42
will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	07-21 23:29
will nvda dip to 160 in august 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	08-12 16:15
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-21 01:13
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-12 02:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-08 02:27
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-17 11:43
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 21:03:22	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0x292441…
08-18 09:49:57	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd089df…
08-13 06:01:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x03364f…
08-12 16:15:03	will nvda dip to 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f0242…
08-11 06:37:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	114	99¢	$114	0x9ba880…
08-09 16:32:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	119	99¢	$117	0x66f9ea…
08-04 21:01:24	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6b03d2…
07-31 03:26:14	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x721b6f…
07-28 20:43:20	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86b67b…
07-28 04:51:07	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x253aa5…
07-26 20:40:00	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x0237d7…
07-26 17:14:16	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x527565…
07-25 16:43:36	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xee1b3e…
07-21 23:29:40	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2f43b4…
07-21 02:53:10	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x21bfb4…
07-19 15:42:52	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x839cbb…
07-19 13:22:39	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x0145d9…
07-17 20:19:57	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77a45b…
07-17 02:16:06	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4bf298…
07-16 11:57:26	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x82bc95…
06-29 12:48:32	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x59ac5c…
06-28 23:46:56	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe8e03d…
06-27 16:48:07	cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x64ca80…
06-26 07:50:44	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf63ce2…
06-26 07:47:14	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x538ea5…
06-25 22:35:17	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xddc4d6…
06-02 10:40:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x22e6a1…
05-25 15:48:58	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x209c06…
05-20 10:22:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xd7fc41…
05-19 18:02:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcee9b7…
05-16 21:49:50	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xe7ed43…
05-15 12:47:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x21f25f…
05-14 19:46:21	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9ae43a…
05-09 13:47:03	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x796702…
05-08 02:27:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81f909…
05-06 18:39:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbee891…
05-05 11:56:44	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$41	0x0f2fbf…
04-27 15:13:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7a5a14…
04-25 20:59:14	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x196dbf…
04-17 18:05:34	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x42569c…
04-17 11:43:40	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x135100…
04-17 11:35:04	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x42772a…
04-16 19:11:12	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x462ad8…
04-14 02:15:41	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdf10d6…
04-14 01:08:09	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbb34b8…
04-13 19:59:53	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe6134…
04-12 02:56:15	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x543e6e…
04-11 16:55:01	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1a1aec…
04-11 04:25:23	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb8ceaf…
04-11 04:08:15	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc7dba…
04-10 12:32:15	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xe82670…
04-08 20:43:47	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0ed338…
04-07 05:16:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x0b805f…
04-06 20:34:55	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdd3d79…
04-06 01:53:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1e8792…
03-25 19:32:51	meta above 780 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07515b…
03-25 18:57:41	msft above 480 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6d993…
03-25 13:24:53	googl above 260 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04e55f…
03-25 08:08:53	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3c330…
03-25 03:14:37	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2ff45…
03-25 00:03:33	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04d08c…
03-24 20:03:55	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x495411…
03-24 15:57:43	tsla above 460 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b6682…
03-24 01:37:39	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x649951…
03-23 21:31:29	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a7324…
03-23 15:10:19	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa12459…
03-23 07:27:29	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18f95d…
03-22 23:38:21	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ac732…
03-21 08:33:43	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb52fe2…
03-21 04:09:21	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x380aab…
03-21 01:13:57	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb65cd3…
03-11 23:38:15	aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a2be3…
03-11 16:10:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x623cf4…
03-11 12:11:05	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xff5bf7…
03-10 19:50:49	amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6b467…
03-10 19:02:55	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d2f2b…
03-10 18:07:15	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc1bd7…
03-08 17:21:17	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc61542…
03-08 09:31:13	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a99b9…
03-08 06:24:21	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad9161…
03-08 03:56:27	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c1120…
03-08 01:59:21	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x915bb8…
03-08 00:44:53	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41732f…
03-07 11:03:07	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd7d34…
03-07 02:47:09	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95a23a…
03-06 21:33:55	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa65781…
03-06 06:31:47	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfda02f…
03-05 18:55:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa31782…
03-05 11:55:39	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x110cd3…
03-05 11:25:59	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd91f5…
03-04 20:35:15	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x804958…
02-24 11:39:26	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd77b86…
02-24 00:31:36	will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20603f…
02-23 21:17:48	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcdce3b…
02-23 07:21:46	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31662d…
02-23 06:05:00	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb3d5db…
02-23 00:59:10	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1f3d9e…
02-21 21:19:00	nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03a313…
02-21 19:09:44	will meituan have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a9cc5…
02-21 03:45:46	googl above 350 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe503a9…