Hasty-Suspenders — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$247

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

Trades

602

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-01 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

95% 67% +$247

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by february 28	11	$3.9K	2,120	2,120	+0	open	—	02-28 20:40
will iran strike uae in march	8	$2.2K	1,139	1,139	+0	open	—	03-01 16:15
will iran strike israel in march	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	03-01 11:20
iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	6	$1.5K	781	781	+0	open	—	03-01 08:31
will iran strike israel on march 1	4	$1.5K	752	752	+0	open	—	03-01 12:07
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	31	$803	1,262	159	+1,104	open	—	03-06 17:42
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	4	$771	464	464	+0	open	—	03-03 16:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	26	$724	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	03-08 00:54
will uae strike iran by march 31	20	$716	714	567	+147	open	—	03-06 18:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	9	$684	619	619	+0	open	—	03-03 13:00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$608	352	370	-19	open	—	02-28 21:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$548	529	529	+0	open	—	03-03 10:57
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	23	$464	749	156	+592	open	—	03-06 17:42
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	4	$436	308	308	+0	open	—	03-02 01:08
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	5	$433	248	248	+0	open	—	03-02 14:19
will uk strike iran by march 31	8	$408	944	902	+42	open	—	03-08 00:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	14	$380	798	0	+798	open	—	02-18 18:54
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	49	$374	375	297	+78	open	—	03-06 18:00
will iran strike kuwait in march	4	$360	203	203	+0	open	—	03-01 20:44
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	7	$321	409	409	+0	open	—	03-01 23:51
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$313	510	510	+0	open	—	03-02 14:28
will iran strike oman in march	4	$304	261	261	+0	open	—	03-01 08:31
will qatar strike iran by march 31	13	$286	569	103	+466	open	—	03-06 18:00
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	8	$269	458	0	+458	open	—	03-03 16:03
will iran strike cyprus in march	5	$265	333	333	+0	open	—	03-01 22:16
will germany strike iran by march 31	13	$254	2,048	851	+1,197	open	—	03-07 01:37
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	7	$250	272	272	+0	open	—	03-06 11:32
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	6	$221	149	149	+0	open	—	03-03 22:13
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$201	421	0	+421	open	—	02-17 21:11
will iran strike bahrain in march	3	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	03-01 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 19:49:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x29ae2a…
06-27 21:14:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x1bbd5b…
06-27 21:14:47	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4ba945…
06-27 21:14:17	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdfbe79…
06-27 21:13:25	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	106	26¢	$27	0x8cfbc4…
06-27 21:08:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x32410b…
06-27 21:07:01	ukraine election called by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4646f8…
06-27 21:06:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xad481a…
06-07 18:59:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x476679…
05-17 01:08:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xccede7…
05-17 01:03:46	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x38b585…
05-17 01:02:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0xb72698…
05-17 01:02:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$5	0x554c3e…
05-04 18:56:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x28524c…
05-04 17:45:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x930feb…
05-04 17:44:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xcef3e7…
04-09 21:49:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	14¢	$31	0x249edb…
04-09 21:47:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	754	5¢	$37	0x19b163…
03-08 00:55:35	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x5066b9…
03-08 00:54:53	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x32d4c3…
03-08 00:54:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x12b98c…
03-07 01:37:15	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe5a881…
03-07 01:37:07	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc8625a…
03-07 01:37:01	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xefde5b…
03-07 01:36:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x461462…
03-06 18:00:41	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa8d2c2…
03-06 18:00:33	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe8a484…
03-06 18:00:27	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x451906…
03-06 18:00:23	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x16bf9f…
03-06 17:46:45	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xdb5d3c…
03-06 17:46:37	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd53e95…
03-06 17:46:33	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x773847…
03-06 17:42:59	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x48b4b1…
03-06 17:42:45	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x822002…
03-06 17:42:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xa7cb7b…
03-06 17:41:55	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xe7726c…
03-06 17:41:49	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0xb821b8…
03-06 17:41:45	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8bffe7…
03-06 17:41:41	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe5f4cb…
03-06 11:32:37	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	SELL	272	46¢	$125	0xa18db0…
03-05 15:38:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2bdaaf…
03-05 15:38:15	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x12f903…
03-05 15:38:11	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa22701…
03-05 15:37:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x759050…
03-05 15:37:45	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x04ff81…
03-05 15:37:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xec8685…
03-05 15:36:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdff7db…
03-05 15:36:47	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0xe22f8b…
03-05 15:36:33	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	686	8¢	$56	0x43ab89…
03-05 03:09:01	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdddfe4…
03-05 03:08:55	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfe7441…
03-05 03:08:47	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x67c5e6…
03-05 03:06:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x9f7c2a…
03-05 03:05:47	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x11df6e…
03-05 03:04:57	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xf66310…
03-05 03:03:25	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x56dd47…
03-05 03:02:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd3941b…
03-05 03:02:33	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x527ffd…
03-05 03:01:53	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0xc6ac5d…
03-05 03:01:01	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x1fd383…
03-05 02:59:57	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf6534a…
03-05 02:59:49	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6aa7aa…
03-05 02:59:45	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xef7bc8…
03-05 02:59:39	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5a3d28…
03-05 02:58:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x49e8d7…
03-05 02:56:29	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xffb00d…
03-05 02:55:11	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6583de…
03-05 02:53:53	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xca50c9…
03-05 01:48:29	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xca6ff4…
03-05 01:48:11	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4edf53…
03-05 01:47:51	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x62bade…
03-04 22:56:49	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x388eb2…
03-04 22:56:13	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xdd1c63…
03-04 22:55:37	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x92cf8f…
03-04 22:55:29	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xef3461…
03-04 22:55:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb79c1f…
03-04 22:54:47	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xcd1076…
03-04 22:54:33	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x65c8fb…
03-04 22:54:27	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8e56b4…
03-04 22:54:19	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x0ed5f6…
03-04 22:53:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7382b8…
03-04 22:53:23	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x9d94ce…
03-04 22:24:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x50095a…
03-04 12:14:53	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xca5d00…
03-04 12:05:33	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x6a6411…
03-04 12:05:23	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdd0ab0…
03-04 04:16:41	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xafe05a…
03-04 00:17:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x14e3f2…
03-03 22:13:11	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	149	74¢	$110	0x9a8355…
03-03 16:37:03	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x1668af…
03-03 16:36:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0xb42bc3…
03-03 16:36:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	SELL	180	23¢	$41	0xec8088…
03-03 16:34:07	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4ebf84…
03-03 16:33:47	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe306be…
03-03 16:33:19	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa1ce4f…
03-03 16:12:23	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x600748…
03-03 16:09:01	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7283b8…
03-03 16:07:25	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x9e93aa…
03-03 16:05:07	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x10a361…
03-03 16:03:01	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xfcbf2d…