Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,456 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.40K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 10-10 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

45% 44% -$234

Crypto

40% 40% -$111

Politics

10% 39% -$16

Sports

3% 14% +$1

Tech

2% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-9	-$8	91¢	$-8	$0	08-17 19:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-9	-$1	9¢	$-1	+$0	08-19 08:15
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	91¢	$0	+$0	08-20 12:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
arg aaj rac 2026 08 09 total 3pt5	9	$188	744	744	+0	Under	-$67	08-10 01:10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	16	$104	57	57	+0	open	—	09-27 16:40
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	12	$84	50	50	+0	No	+$5	08-20 11:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	20	$80	117	110	+7	Yes	-$19	08-12 20:47
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?	31	$66	154	154	+0	No	-$2	08-11 15:28
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	17	$64	70	70	+0	No	-$18	08-20 11:46
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$62	45	45	+0	Yes	+$2	08-20 11:46
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 5.5	27	$56	51	51	+0	Under	-$2	09-27 04:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$52	35	35	+0	No	$0	09-27 16:40
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	7	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	08-20 11:46
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	28	$49	270	270	+0	No	-$5	08-20 11:46
US recession by end of 2026?	6	$48	27	27	-0	open	—	09-27 16:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	5	$48	26	26	+0	No	+$2	08-20 11:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	16	$45	63	63	+0	No	-$9	09-27 16:40
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	7	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	09-27 16:40
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	35	$42	165	8	+157	Islam Makhachev	-$38	08-15 22:08
ufc eri15 don13 2026 08 15	10	$38	77	77	+0	Donte Johnson	-$2	08-15 06:28
Will Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?	8	$37	206	206	+0	No	-$16	08-15 14:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	4	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	10-08 14:38
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	6	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$2	10-10 01:18
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	5	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	08-20 11:46
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	8	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	08-20 11:46
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?	5	$33	142	33	+109	Yes	-$22	08-17 18:51
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	11	$33	48	48	+0	open	—	08-17 19:25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?	3	$33	49	10	+38	No	+$17	08-16 06:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	20	$31	101	101	+0	No	-$12	08-20 11:46
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-09-26?	35	$31	53	52	+1	Yes	-$15	09-27 04:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	15	$28	66	59	+7	No	-$12	10-05 19:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	09-27 16:40
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	20	$28	188	188	+0	No	-$2	08-20 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 01:18:50	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x3c3fb7…
10-10 01:18:50	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x12dbb2…
10-09 22:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbf2301…
10-09 22:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22baad…
10-09 18:27:44	Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc5bf0a…
10-09 18:26:04	Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2232cd…
10-09 15:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7d2f60…
10-09 15:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38c345…
10-09 10:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x551f49…
10-08 14:38:59	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	67¢	$18	0xbe01a5…
10-07 20:14:19	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3389f6…
10-07 14:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa63b16…
10-07 14:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7d668a…
10-07 14:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x019880…
10-07 12:01:07	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb8aa07…
10-07 11:47:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7489a5…
10-07 10:44:03	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x521b0f…
10-07 10:43:48	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7c7504…
10-07 04:25:06	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2494b3…
10-06 18:14:12	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x61b165…
10-06 18:12:56	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd2a1e…
10-06 17:19:48	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb28a1…
10-06 17:19:41	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe707e2…
10-06 14:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8f9f21…
10-06 02:24:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a9403…
10-05 21:31:10	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xed0c26…
10-05 21:31:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7648f0…
10-05 21:31:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x22dfca…
10-05 21:30:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa6627e…
10-05 19:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb561f0…
10-05 19:43:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$3	0xa5f20f…
10-05 19:42:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf80946…
10-05 19:41:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6ee01c…
10-05 19:41:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x066f42…
10-05 19:16:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xdd8945…
10-05 19:16:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x38d2f9…
10-05 19:16:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x23df01…
10-05 19:13:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf826b0…
10-05 19:09:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xe0bada…
10-05 19:09:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x19afea…
10-05 19:04:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf03036…
10-05 19:04:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x632eda…
10-05 19:01:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc8791f…
10-05 19:01:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xb3357a…
10-05 18:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6910ef…
10-05 17:37:35	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf8326a…
10-05 16:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 5?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa71043…
10-05 16:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb62c88…
10-05 16:27:38	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfe41f1…
10-05 16:16:40	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9bcfa8…
10-05 16:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x92aa85…
10-05 16:10:02	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xe00b77…
10-05 16:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x5f5b22…
10-05 16:05:11	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x58e6cd…
10-05 16:05:08	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa31c70…
10-05 16:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xa81f06…
10-05 16:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x43ac13…
10-05 16:00:10	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd8c89c…
10-05 16:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x5d3e70…
10-05 16:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x3d46d8…
10-05 15:40:14	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb73fd3…
10-05 15:35:07	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x75eec1…
10-05 15:35:01	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x60675a…
10-05 15:30:07	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x538b2f…
10-05 15:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x872e72…
10-05 15:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xa7492a…
10-05 15:10:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x328ee4…
10-05 15:10:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf5b1f9…
10-05 14:22:07	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x249f17…
10-05 14:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x5b300a…
10-05 14:05:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x2e1456…
10-05 14:00:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x30c943…
10-05 14:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x20e5b8…
10-05 12:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 5?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef3997…
10-05 12:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd7f82…
10-05 08:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x18acb5…
10-05 08:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x770fc5…
10-05 08:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc50120…
10-05 08:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7938a9…
10-05 08:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef1d12…
10-05 08:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x967716…
10-05 08:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50c556…
10-05 05:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 5?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x802679…
10-05 05:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9021b1…
10-04 04:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 4?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe18978…
10-04 04:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6b124…
10-04 03:13:20	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on October 4?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x08b715…
10-04 03:02:11	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on October 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4a0d8…
10-03 20:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x309a9c…
10-03 16:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xce1fb7…
10-03 16:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4ac46…
10-03 08:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x157e04…
10-03 08:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4b2e6…
10-03 04:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 3?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc6e03e…
10-03 04:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x295e81…
10-02 11:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 3?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4f52ac…
10-02 10:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x95ccf6…
10-02 10:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 2?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2f7b8b…
10-02 10:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 2?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe3b677…
10-02 08:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 2?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb51bd7…