Crafty-Leadership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

139

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$283

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-20 08:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

63% 47% -$11

Sports

23% 64% +$3

Crypto

12% 80% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-12	-$1	15¢	$-2	-$1	05-13 02:41
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+25	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	09-07 08:54
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7	$1	18¢	$1	+$0	08-19 07:19
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+8	$1	15¢	$1	+$0	08-19 07:19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-5	-$1	17¢	$-1	+$0	05-01 02:53
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	+14	$1	5¢	$1	$0	08-19 07:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-22	-$1	3¢	$-1	+$0	05-01 02:53
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+14	$1	4¢	$1	$0	08-19 07:20
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-4	-$1	12¢	$-0	+$0	06-03 00:07
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+9	$1	4¢	$0	$0	09-07 08:54
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+8	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	07-23 08:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$14	15	15	+0	No	+$2	05-22 05:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	5	$13	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-21 03:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 07:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	5	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-21 03:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-12 00:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$5	13	13	+0	No	-$1	04-22 03:38
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	4	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-11 08:43
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$4	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:44
epl sun not 2026 04 24 not	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	04-24 22:45
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	07-14 00:58
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	3	$3	19	10	+9	open	—	09-07 08:54
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	07-16 09:24
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$3	15	8	+7	No	-$1	04-28 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:00 UTC	3	$3	6	2	+4	Down	-$1	04-17 05:04
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	07-02 07:52
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	07-28 07:52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 21:37
val fur eg2 2026 04 17	2	$3	3	3	+0	FURIA Esports	+$1	04-18 02:48
lol t1a dkc 2026 04 17 game1	2	$3	2	2	+0	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$1	04-17 05:42
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	07-15 08:07
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 08:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:43
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:35 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-18 10:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-19 07:13
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	+$0	04-18 10:43
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	0	6	-6	No	+$2	07-14 00:58
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-27 12:37
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-01 01:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-03 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 08:16:19	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x74ea1d…
10-20 08:16:01	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd1dd93…
10-20 08:15:35	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xae59d5…
10-20 08:15:19	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x718779…
10-20 08:14:41	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f1ce4…
10-20 08:14:28	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x49f5ed…
10-20 08:14:19	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x46f2cd…
10-20 08:13:44	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x521de5…
10-20 08:13:08	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x30f5a4…
10-20 08:11:13	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x816858…
10-20 08:11:02	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0b2c47…
09-07 08:56:07	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1577fc…
09-07 08:55:54	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x954e3b…
09-07 08:55:33	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf81fcf…
09-07 08:54:42	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6c378a…
09-07 08:54:31	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa4098b…
09-07 08:53:51	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x7ebafe…
09-07 08:53:39	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xbaaa4d…
09-07 08:53:28	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xca191b…
09-01 08:04:00	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe78705…
09-01 08:03:51	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb2eb6b…
09-01 08:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0e9ea6…
09-01 08:00:46	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6eb14a…
09-01 08:00:27	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6f0cfe…
09-01 08:00:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8c440b…
08-26 08:10:31	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x76bb2f…
08-26 08:10:03	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x009f70…
08-26 08:09:46	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xff1a69…
08-26 08:09:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa9fe92…
08-26 08:06:40	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x026241…
08-24 07:39:24	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x74e4f6…
08-24 07:38:27	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x35514a…
08-24 07:04:54	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8a790c…
08-20 08:10:31	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x4945c9…
08-19 07:20:01	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c1502…
08-19 07:19:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb9556e…
08-19 07:19:36	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x461fa2…
08-19 07:19:28	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8442d7…
08-19 07:18:37	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xce983f…
08-19 07:17:46	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5d5c92…
08-19 07:17:16	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x33c03a…
08-19 07:16:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0f3182…
08-19 07:13:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x8b511d…
08-14 07:23:34	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa1b1db…
08-14 07:19:54	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x00b49d…
08-14 07:19:03	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xcbf53e…
08-14 03:45:21	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x754d30…
07-30 05:27:56	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc6d1a2…
07-29 09:23:42	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcae540…
07-29 09:21:54	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x55d296…
07-28 07:52:39	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xa8a6e3…
07-23 08:30:52	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x680cb8…
07-23 08:30:43	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x33207c…
07-23 08:28:09	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0b1cde…
07-23 08:25:58	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x32a268…
07-16 09:25:04	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xb090cc…
07-16 09:24:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8b3e05…
07-15 08:42:14	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0ecaa0…
07-15 08:40:46	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbf17e0…
07-15 08:25:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd11e73…
07-15 08:07:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x090ee3…
07-15 08:07:14	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x309e44…
07-15 08:07:05	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x539a4f…
07-14 01:02:40	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x13b631…
07-14 01:02:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x949309…
07-14 00:59:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x75ca68…
07-14 00:58:56	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$2	0x0f8405…
07-14 00:58:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x524587…
07-07 07:39:34	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd039b7…
07-02 07:52:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc11696…
07-02 07:52:02	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x0df387…
07-02 07:51:52	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe3d936…
07-02 07:51:44	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x6dd2b0…
07-02 07:51:37	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xc47302…
07-02 07:51:22	Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x5eaa73…
07-02 07:51:11	Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x742a63…
06-30 04:43:40	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc76361…
06-30 04:43:05	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfcca26…
06-30 04:42:40	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x083778…
06-30 04:41:56	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf3cd08…
06-27 12:39:50	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6dae59…
06-27 12:37:20	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x2273dc…
06-27 12:36:38	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x594738…
06-27 12:36:14	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x45736e…
06-19 08:53:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4d74d6…
06-19 08:49:32	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfdd6cb…
06-19 08:49:08	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd6c839…
06-19 08:48:58	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb23988…
06-15 02:11:39	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5fee3f…
06-12 04:36:03	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xab3b20…
06-12 04:03:12	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x83c6d4…
06-12 02:20:19	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x99099a…
06-12 02:20:00	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xedc966…
06-12 02:18:36	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x5c91a5…
06-11 08:49:09	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0a399d…
06-11 08:47:09	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x28f95c…
06-11 08:46:31	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x52bf6d…
06-11 08:44:24	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa77865…
06-11 08:43:31	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xfcadec…
06-10 03:15:13	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe7ec2a…