Crafty-Leadership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$130

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-10 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-3

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

12% 0% $-3

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+5	$1	20¢	$1	+$0	06-08 02:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 05:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	5	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 03:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 07:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	5	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 03:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-12 00:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$5	13	13	+0	open	—	04-22 03:38
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 08:43
epl sun not 2026 04 24 not	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 22:45
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$3	15	8	+7	open	—	04-28 01:58
btc updown 5m 1776402000	3	$3	6	2	+4	open	—	04-17 05:04
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-23 02:07
val fur eg2 2026 04 17	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-18 02:48
lol t1a dkc 2026 04 17 game1	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 05:42
btc updown 5m 1776508500	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 10:41
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 10:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-03 00:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-07 14:43
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 07:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-25 08:31
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-19 12:41
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	06-08 02:27
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 08:44
btc updown 5m 1776402600	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 05:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 05:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 03:05
cs2 pre imperi 2026 04 19	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-19 10:23
sea sas com 2026 04 17 sas	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-17 06:02
sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-17 05:19
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 07:20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-24 05:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:49:09	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0a399d…
06-11 08:44:24	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa77865…
06-11 08:43:31	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xfcadec…
06-10 03:15:13	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe7ec2a…
06-10 03:14:57	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x60e072…
06-08 02:32:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0304d1…
06-08 02:27:04	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x2b480f…
06-05 02:50:01	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2e7152…
06-03 00:07:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xff9135…
06-03 00:07:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xfecefa…
06-02 06:08:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2f4690…
06-02 06:07:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0be86b…
05-25 08:31:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x744519…
05-25 04:28:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x21cd75…
05-22 05:14:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xeaedbb…
05-21 03:00:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe5a644…
05-21 03:00:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xd36cf2…
05-19 03:05:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6fdb8b…
05-19 03:04:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0b2f56…
05-18 02:13:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x07dd89…
05-18 02:13:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcfa26e…
05-13 05:28:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x6b9f46…
05-12 00:33:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6f4721…
05-12 00:32:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x358f35…
05-12 00:31:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$3	0x86d573…
05-09 03:08:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2ba22d…
05-09 02:40:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x9e1354…
05-08 04:58:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1ffce8…
05-07 14:43:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xae75cc…
05-07 01:54:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xca555b…
05-07 01:45:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6fb4da…
05-06 07:29:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x5b33ae…
05-06 03:28:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x424cc0…
05-06 01:42:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x1a4f71…
05-05 08:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x4114c5…
05-03 02:54:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa996c3…
05-02 03:52:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x09fdf3…
05-01 14:10:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x034d8f…
05-01 03:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x79bd43…
04-29 07:59:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x50c879…
04-29 07:59:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x71c9ec…
04-28 01:58:06	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb04864…
04-28 01:55:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe8e238…
04-28 01:52:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x203f2a…
04-27 04:12:52	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4ede67…
04-27 02:36:36	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x272ee5…
04-24 23:22:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf88b77…
04-24 23:21:16	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe60a28…
04-24 22:45:24	epl sun not 2026 04 24 not	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x572039…
04-24 05:23:14	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x985fc8…
04-24 05:02:28	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8a0373…
04-24 05:01:56	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc1e54d…
04-23 05:55:34	epl sun not 2026 04 24 not	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x336239…
04-23 02:07:48	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xce69e0…
04-22 03:49:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x65589a…
04-22 03:48:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdd9bc6…
04-22 03:42:34	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xad7867…
04-22 03:38:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x2ba47f…
04-22 01:54:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2acb10…
04-21 14:49:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3b7963…
04-21 07:20:18	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2f758e…
04-21 03:13:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9df897…
04-21 03:12:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6df906…
04-21 02:15:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x37d7e1…
04-21 02:15:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5a8e19…
04-21 02:14:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x874894…
04-20 07:16:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xdfba74…
04-20 01:31:06	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd31544…
04-19 12:41:38	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x146196…
04-19 10:24:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5e1cfe…
04-19 10:23:34	cs2 pre imperi 2026 04 19	Imperial Academy	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x0b47cc…
04-19 10:07:30	cs2 pre imperi 2026 04 19	Imperial Academy	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x04dbc5…
04-18 10:43:50	Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xa33c0e…
04-18 10:41:18	btc updown 5m 1776508500	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf61fec…
04-18 10:37:28	btc updown 5m 1776508500	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5a41b6…
04-18 10:33:58	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x46d29a…
04-18 09:52:16	Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbee118…
04-18 04:20:00	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd2ad27…
04-18 04:19:44	epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa89a56…
04-18 04:07:24	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb8fda1…
04-18 02:53:56	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0cb91f…
04-18 02:48:42	val fur eg2 2026 04 17	Evil Geniuses	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xf3555b…
04-18 01:56:20	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3a0e4d…
04-18 01:54:56	val fur eg2 2026 04 17	Evil Geniuses	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x94f7a7…
04-18 01:53:06	mlbb tlid btr1 2026 04 18	Team Liquid ID	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf5d4c0…
04-18 01:14:20	Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x408eed…
04-18 01:12:28	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xff496d…
04-17 07:44:16	Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x76d6bf…
04-17 07:23:06	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x622b95…
04-17 06:02:04	sea sas com 2026 04 17 sas	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4dd8f4…
04-17 05:42:48	lol t1a dkc 2026 04 17 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x96c17e…
04-17 05:34:14	lol t1a dkc 2026 04 17 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbff226…
04-17 05:30:32	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xea0e76…
04-17 05:30:08	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5c9e6f…
04-17 05:19:36	sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0caec2…
04-17 05:13:06	btc updown 5m 1776402600	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x02cb0c…
04-17 05:12:34	btc updown 5m 1776402600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa7734a…
04-17 05:06:16	btc updown 5m 1776402300	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2e8ea0…
04-17 05:04:12	btc updown 5m 1776402000	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4b4861…
04-17 05:02:56	btc updown 5m 1776402000	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xc3347c…