Late-Circle-Future — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,472

lifetime

Volume

$275.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-09 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

78% 0% $-1

Politics

11% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Crypto

2% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bkjpn aki kos 2026 04 11	54	$6.5K	7,491	1,470	+6,022	open	—	04-12 08:36
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	37	$6.1K	3,766	3,766	+0	open	—	06-18 23:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	36	$5.8K	3,300	3,500	-200	open	—	06-26 13:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	64	$5.3K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	07-01 19:30
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 14c	5	$3.6K	2,467	1,209	+1,258	open	—	04-18 12:10
starmer out by june 22 2026	31	$3.4K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	06-22 05:53
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	30	$3.2K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	06-20 16:45
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	24	$3.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-22 04:28
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	16	$2.9K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-02 15:14
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	27	$2.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-22 05:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	20	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-03 17:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	23	$2.5K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	07-05 10:58
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$2.5K	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	06-27 18:36
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 15c	17	$2.4K	2,482	0	+2,482	open	—	04-15 10:47
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	21	$2.3K	2,572	0	+2,572	open	—	04-15 12:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 14c	5	$2.3K	2,319	0	+2,319	open	—	04-16 20:25
will claude opus 4pt7 by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500 969	34	$2.2K	16,931	19,028	-2,097	open	—	04-17 18:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	14	$2.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-30 15:20
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	10	$2.0K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	06-19 07:25
atp marozsa tsitsip 2026 04 13 set totals 2pt5	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-15 11:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	15	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-01 16:50
wta pigato gjorche 2026 04 10 first set total 8pt5	2	$1.9K	1,930	0	+1,930	open	—	04-10 14:12
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 17c	27	$1.9K	2,454	0	+2,454	open	—	04-17 13:07
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	70	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	07-05 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	12	$1.9K	1,079	1,079	+0	open	—	06-29 07:20
lol itz est 2026 04 08	5	$1.6K	1,578	0	+1,578	open	—	04-08 21:20
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 15c	13	$1.6K	1,485	112	+1,374	open	—	04-17 20:32
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	16	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	07-02 14:14
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 16c	34	$1.5K	1,726	1,214	+512	open	—	04-18 17:03
lol pnga nerd 2026 04 08	4	$1.5K	1,499	0	+1,499	open	—	04-08 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 17:56:30	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by august 31 20260731174120239	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xbaa2de…
08-09 09:22:58	chatgpt outage on august 11 2026 20260806133118515	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0xad95d4…
08-09 09:22:42	chatgpt outage on august 13 2026 20260806133118517	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x32ef66…
08-09 09:22:36	chatgpt outage on august 13 2026 20260806133118517	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x818f79…
08-09 09:22:06	chatgpt outage on august 11 2026 20260806133118515	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xac0c26…
08-09 09:21:52	chatgpt outage on august 12 2026 20260806133118516	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x7ee5f7…
08-09 09:21:37	chatgpt outage on august 13 2026 20260806133118517	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x57d7b9…
08-08 09:43:16	chatgpt outage on august 12 2026 20260806133118516	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd0a19b…
08-08 06:15:19	chatgpt outage on august 8 2026 20260806133118512	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x2d8504…
08-08 06:15:15	chatgpt outage on august 9 2026 20260806133118513	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x8dc03a…
08-08 06:13:40	chatgpt outage on august 14 2026 20260806133118518	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x2b7986…
08-08 06:13:36	chatgpt outage on august 13 2026 20260806133118517	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xadcf15…
08-08 06:13:33	chatgpt outage on august 12 2026 20260806133118516	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xd2e45a…
08-08 06:13:28	chatgpt outage on august 11 2026 20260806133118515	Yes	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0x8c56b1…
08-08 06:13:22	chatgpt outage on august 9 2026 20260806133118513	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x364f58…
08-08 06:13:18	chatgpt outage on august 8 2026 20260806133118512	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9c5ae5…
08-08 05:48:10	grok web outage by august 31 2026 20260728191715772	No	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0x07c363…
08-07 13:53:51	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x4d0ab8…
08-07 02:38:13	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 35 or higher 20260723184439893	Yes	SELL	250	98¢	$245	0x7124ed…
08-03 03:25:17	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	SELL	116	92¢	$107	0x14dffe…
08-02 15:54:17	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	139	75¢	$104	0xa3d1e5…
08-02 10:56:11	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 40 by august 31 20260801173043894	Yes	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x2c5eed…
08-02 10:56:06	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 40 by august 31 20260801173043894	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xdd29dd…
08-02 10:56:02	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 40 by august 31 20260801173043894	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x372ed9…
08-02 09:56:45	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0xd0de46…
08-02 09:45:47	grok web outage by august 31 2026 20260728191715772	No	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0xc5b569…
08-02 07:25:39	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by august 31 20260731174120238	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x2ef6c0…
08-01 20:35:17	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by august 31 20260731174120238	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xbf4fb6…
08-01 13:49:23	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$33	0x38b569…
08-01 13:49:17	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf82026…
08-01 13:49:12	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xe52b54…
08-01 08:52:06	will gleans valuation hit low 6pt5b by july 31 20260630205002627	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xcc4265…
08-01 08:48:08	will neuralinks valuation hit high 47pt5 by july 31 20260629184735358	No	BUY	410	99¢	$406	0x46ce1b…
08-01 08:46:08	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x34cbde…
08-01 08:40:21	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x82fdc7…
08-01 07:10:00	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by august 31 20260731174120238	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x48f06b…
08-01 06:09:06	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by august 31 20260731174120239	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xfdae7c…
08-01 06:03:23	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by august 31 20260731174120239	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xc7eb93…
08-01 06:02:18	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by august 31 20260731174120238	No	BUY	60	92¢	$56	0x568d5e…
08-01 05:57:00	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8fd588…
07-31 15:15:35	will anthropics valuation hit low 800 by july 31 20260629184429521	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x60adfb…
07-31 15:15:29	will anthropics valuation hit low 800 by july 31 20260629184429521	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xedff98…
07-31 06:52:35	will openais valuation hit high 900b by july 31 20260629222029481	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb70e82…
07-31 06:51:30	will epic games valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184732966	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x9e768a…
07-30 09:31:48	will bytedances valuation hit low 450b by july 31 20260630205251343	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ccb43…
07-30 09:30:44	will neuralinks valuation hit low 37pt5 by july 31 20260629184735361	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe11c6a…
07-30 09:30:09	will stripes valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184728774	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe9633e…
07-30 09:29:03	will epic games valuation hit low 9pt5 by july 31 20260629184732971	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x904f67…
07-30 09:28:56	will epic games valuation hit low 10pt5 by july 31 20260629184732970	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb1d417…
07-30 09:28:50	will epic games valuation hit low 10pt5 by july 31 20260629184732970	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0b3eef…
07-30 09:28:41	will epic games valuation hit low 10pt5 by july 31 20260629184732970	No	BUY	112	98¢	$109	0xfad752…
07-30 09:27:05	will krakens valuation hit high 11pt5 by july 31 20260629184742674	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8515ad…
07-30 09:26:39	will canvas valuation hit high 42 by july 31 20260629184737585	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd28a67…
07-30 09:26:27	will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x08e64a…
07-28 20:10:22	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x791291…
07-28 19:12:11	will revoluts valuation hit low 82pt5b by july 31 20260630204859529	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x7e7549…
07-28 19:11:52	will revoluts valuation hit high 100b by december 31 20260701011444454	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x0bed32…
07-28 18:46:16	will revoluts valuation hit high 100b by july 31 20260630204859525	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x7ce2ce…
07-28 18:23:37	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	104	70¢	$72	0xbfb064…
07-27 20:38:37	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	116	92¢	$107	0xa53a8f…
07-27 19:13:45	will andurils valuation hit high 110 by july 31 20260629184730573	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x98ea73…
07-27 16:42:52	will the ethereum volatility index hit 90 by july 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xefb785…
07-27 16:42:48	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fbfcd…
07-27 05:43:18	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xd22c18…
07-27 05:43:01	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x6f28e0…
07-27 05:42:18	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0xe33dbf…
07-25 20:06:19	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x8633ef…
07-25 20:06:06	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0fae7a…
07-25 20:05:48	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3d5f51…
07-25 17:43:43	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	193	95¢	$184	0x5efe44…
07-25 17:00:36	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x912e51…
07-25 14:31:04	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xf56f20…
07-25 14:28:36	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x4f3b51…
07-25 14:24:28	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x014083…
07-25 14:21:28	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x444542…
07-25 14:21:21	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x865445…
07-25 14:21:01	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x2bce3d…
07-25 14:15:09	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe22dc5…
07-25 14:14:55	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x141f45…
07-25 13:00:45	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xa5e93d…
07-25 13:00:21	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc77995…
07-25 13:00:18	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xbcbaca…
07-25 12:59:37	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x2d8f42…
07-25 12:40:01	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd0a998…
07-25 12:37:22	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xaddb4c…
07-25 12:37:12	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xbbf9c5…
07-25 12:04:00	untitled market 1 20260629172824966	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x05d042…
07-25 12:02:45	will the ethereum volatility index hit 80 by july 31	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6a629f…
07-25 12:02:37	will the ethereum volatility index hit 80 by july 31	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x167d0a…
07-25 11:55:54	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0xb62950…
07-25 11:50:57	will anthropics valuation hit low 800 by july 31 20260629184429521	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xa4a53f…
07-25 11:47:07	will revoluts valuation hit low 82pt5b by july 31 20260630204859529	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54a8e6…
07-25 11:46:51	will revoluts valuation hit low 70b by july 31 20260630204859531	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2993f9…
07-25 11:46:15	will databricks valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184745127	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x30eb97…
07-25 11:45:06	will andurils valuation hit low 70 by july 31 20260629184730579	No	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0xbdc6f6…
07-25 11:28:49	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9e568e…
07-25 11:28:43	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x3889cf…
07-25 11:25:07	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x907d5c…
07-25 11:25:04	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1b4ae2…
07-25 11:24:57	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xbc9f7d…