Late-Circle-Future — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,344

lifetime

Volume

$268.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-21 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

79% 0% $-1

Politics

11% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Crypto

1% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$-3	92¢	$0	+$3	07-03 17:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+0	$0	72¢	$0	$-0	06-16 20:21
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	+0	$9	83¢	$0	$-9	07-02 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+0	$-3	54¢	$0	+$3	06-29 07:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bkjpn aki kos 2026 04 11	54	$6.5K	7,491	1,470	+6,022	open	—	04-12 08:36
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	37	$6.1K	3,766	3,766	+0	open	—	06-18 23:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	36	$5.8K	3,300	3,500	-200	open	—	06-26 13:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	64	$5.3K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	07-01 19:30
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 14c	5	$3.6K	2,467	1,209	+1,258	open	—	04-18 12:10
starmer out by june 22 2026	31	$3.4K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	06-22 05:53
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	30	$3.2K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	06-20 16:45
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	24	$3.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-22 04:28
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	16	$2.9K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-02 15:14
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	27	$2.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-22 05:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	20	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-03 17:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	23	$2.5K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	07-05 10:58
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$2.5K	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	06-27 18:36
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 15c	17	$2.4K	2,482	0	+2,482	open	—	04-15 10:47
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	21	$2.3K	2,572	0	+2,572	open	—	04-15 12:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 14c	5	$2.3K	2,319	0	+2,319	open	—	04-16 20:25
will claude opus 4pt7 by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500 969	34	$2.2K	16,931	19,028	-2,097	open	—	04-17 18:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	14	$2.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-30 15:20
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	10	$2.0K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	06-19 07:25
atp marozsa tsitsip 2026 04 13 set totals 2pt5	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-15 11:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	15	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-01 16:50
wta pigato gjorche 2026 04 10 first set total 8pt5	2	$1.9K	1,930	0	+1,930	open	—	04-10 14:12
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 17c	27	$1.9K	2,454	0	+2,454	open	—	04-17 13:07
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	70	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	07-05 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	12	$1.9K	1,079	1,079	+0	open	—	06-29 07:20
lol itz est 2026 04 08	5	$1.6K	1,578	0	+1,578	open	—	04-08 21:20
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 15c	13	$1.6K	1,485	112	+1,374	open	—	04-17 20:32
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	16	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	07-02 14:14
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 16c	34	$1.5K	1,726	1,214	+512	open	—	04-18 17:03
lol pnga nerd 2026 04 08	4	$1.5K	1,499	0	+1,499	open	—	04-08 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:58:48	will bitcoin dip to 65k in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	124	77¢	$96	0x4a064a…
07-21 16:23:19	will bitcoin dip to 65k in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	164	72¢	$118	0xb4b00d…
07-21 09:50:25	will bitcoin dip to 65k in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	228	76¢	$173	0x16ed98…
07-21 07:26:24	will bitcoin dip to 65k in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	250	84¢	$210	0xc4d5a6…
07-20 17:46:52	usdtry up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x7a2b2f…
07-20 17:15:57	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x317c17…
07-20 17:15:19	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xe78c4d…
07-20 08:20:13	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xdba5fd…
07-20 08:11:13	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8271a4…
07-20 00:41:46	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xb0472e…
07-19 08:13:30	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x294534…
07-19 08:09:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x0f0085…
07-18 10:54:51	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	23	77¢	$17	0x98c9a7…
07-17 23:03:06	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1066e1…
07-17 21:22:27	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe36e0b…
07-17 20:58:10	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xfb0293…
07-17 20:57:58	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x6d32c6…
07-17 20:57:52	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7a401e…
07-17 20:57:46	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x24f460…
07-17 20:57:42	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc5c896…
07-17 20:56:54	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x49576d…
07-17 20:54:21	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x22d3d4…
07-17 20:54:16	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x856ab8…
07-17 20:53:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	29	74¢	$22	0x383e71…
07-17 16:50:16	over 65m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	442	99¢	$440	0x226d20…
07-17 16:41:18	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3a377f…
07-17 16:21:19	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x57579f…
07-17 16:11:28	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x713ac4…
07-17 16:04:45	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf9ac0e…
07-17 15:45:39	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x595b4f…
07-17 15:44:07	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xa9b27d…
07-17 15:41:13	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x60c532…
07-17 15:33:43	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0dc780…
07-17 15:29:04	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x5a8875…
07-17 15:28:09	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x10bc89…
07-17 15:21:31	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4b0738…
07-17 13:15:49	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x1ec619…
07-17 08:19:00	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	332	95¢	$315	0xff3bc5…
07-17 06:01:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x66d70e…
07-17 05:50:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	32	86¢	$27	0x5cc36f…
07-17 05:50:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0xd0a9e8…
07-16 22:48:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	167	84¢	$141	0x5925ac…
07-16 22:47:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	102	87¢	$88	0x0ebca0…
07-16 22:47:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	377	88¢	$330	0x321368…
07-16 19:58:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	33	80¢	$27	0xa60f0e…
07-16 19:58:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	279	80¢	$223	0x4b113e…
07-16 19:54:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	162	80¢	$130	0x374114…
07-16 19:53:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb454ec…
07-16 18:32:16	usdtry up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb44792…
07-16 11:19:07	over 27pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x6ec68c…
07-16 09:41:59	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	110	88¢	$97	0x9aead3…
07-15 13:46:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x18b8ec…
07-15 13:45:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x27f427…
07-15 13:45:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x081808…
07-15 13:20:05	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x562ebe…
07-14 19:47:37	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xa62469…
07-13 19:34:35	over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	Yes	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x3dbcf4…
07-13 19:25:26	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	Yes	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x2a80a7…
07-13 19:25:16	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	65	88¢	$57	0x24c513…
07-13 19:24:28	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf6b86c…
07-13 19:21:47	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x62c91a…
07-13 16:42:05	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0x8cd170…
07-10 20:35:17	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	Yes	BUY	131	95¢	$125	0x279c48…
07-10 20:32:31	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xea312b…
07-10 20:02:56	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa08224…
07-10 20:02:31	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x452a5c…
07-10 20:01:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xfab490…
07-10 20:00:08	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe2c380…
07-10 19:58:11	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xcb5fca…
07-07 13:35:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x7bfc42…
07-06 21:36:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x122fe9…
07-06 21:26:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x3fc9bc…
07-06 21:24:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x568f09…
07-05 10:58:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	47¢	$141	0xad8b0b…
07-05 07:01:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x3a2e23…
07-05 06:58:41	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	300	67¢	$201	0x774105…
07-05 06:57:50	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	297	57¢	$171	0xd93f23…
07-05 06:56:37	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x78a602…
07-05 06:54:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	300	58¢	$174	0xe3e9e9…
07-05 06:53:55	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	65¢	$195	0x7f69cd…
07-05 01:54:19	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	58¢	$174	0x498a85…
07-05 01:47:02	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x9b028a…
07-05 01:45:46	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0xc3f183…
07-05 00:07:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x7b994a…
07-04 23:54:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	52	64¢	$33	0xb064ed…
07-04 23:54:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xc76c4b…
07-04 23:53:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	154	64¢	$99	0xe2ae99…
07-04 23:53:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	214	63¢	$135	0xdcb006…
07-04 17:56:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6e3de7…
07-04 14:08:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	218	62¢	$135	0xd0bc8b…
07-04 14:06:02	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xb141c2…
07-04 13:28:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	59	62¢	$37	0x0a1593…
07-04 13:09:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x024f48…
07-04 10:03:31	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x8b2ec4…
07-04 06:28:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x164f3c…
07-04 06:28:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x0dd89f…
07-04 06:28:23	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x17ad8e…
07-04 06:28:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x693af2…
07-04 06:28:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x52e656…
07-04 06:28:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x018958…