Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

262

Trades

632

lifetime

Volume

$9.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$347

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

63% 50% -$1,373

Politics

29% 60% +$9

Sports

4% 56% +$5

Crypto

3% 91% +$21

Tech

1% 67% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	+100	$100	98¢	$98	-$2	10-26 23:44
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+64	$30	93¢	$59	+$29	10-21 09:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+79	$50	72¢	$57	+$7	10-17 03:38
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+43	$40	90¢	$39	-$1	10-28 10:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+28	$20	60¢	$17	-$3	10-17 03:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+68	$10	21¢	$14	+$4	10-22 10:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+128	$11	10¢	$12	+$1	10-23 07:44
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$10	25¢	$10	+$0	10-19 10:11
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	10-28 10:43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+13	$10	74¢	$10	$0	10-17 09:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+37	$10	15¢	$5	-$5	10-17 05:10
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+6	$5	82¢	$5	+$0	10-22 10:58
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	+119	$5	3¢	$3	-$2	10-17 03:51
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	+37	$3	9¢	$3	+$0	10-28 10:42
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	Yes	+11	$2	16¢	$2	$0	10-17 09:34
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+71	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	10-22 10:56
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$1	18¢	$1	$0	10-21 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	8	$582	2,006	0	+2,006	No	-$582	01-03 08:23
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt1	7	$389	275	275	+0	No	+$107	02-12 11:30
japanese snap election called by january 31 2026	6	$290	170	170	+0	Yes	-$32	01-23 13:08
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	4	$230	268	33	+235	No	-$178	01-29 20:42
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	4	$209	111	111	+0	Yes	+$9	02-08 10:31
will the liberal democratic party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	4	$205	172	65	+107	Yes	+$12	02-08 11:00
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 30	2	$203	648	162	+486	No	-$194	01-30 14:07
will 2025 be the second hottest year on record 294	13	$192	16,168	127	+16,041	Yes	-$160	01-14 08:19
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	4	$182	188	188	+0	Yes	+$2	10-22 06:52
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt4	8	$181	881	881	+0	No	-$23	02-12 11:48
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	14	$142	942	942	+0	No	+$2	01-24 17:38
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	5	$133	67	67	+0	No	+$1	02-08 06:26
will the centrist reform alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	8	$125	137	63	+74	Yes	+$8	02-08 21:45
will france join the board of peace	4	$122	64	64	+0	No	+$2	02-12 11:31
japanese snap election called by march 31 2026	2	$120	126	0	+126	Yes	+$6	01-14 23:36
will belgium join the board of peace	2	$104	56	56	+0	No	+$4	02-05 22:06
will denmark join the board of peace	2	$104	56	56	+0	No	+$4	02-12 11:32
will japan record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 245	3	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	02-12 11:31
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$2	02-12 11:32
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	10-18 22:19
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	10-26 23:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	1	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$8	10-18 00:34
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	10-17 03:39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	7	$94	96	96	+0	Yes	+$4	01-15 17:45
will ewy reach 156 by october 19 2026	3	$92	55	55	+0	Yes	+$12	10-19 10:13
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	3	$89	57	57	+0	Yes	-$11	01-29 20:34
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	3	$82	43	43	+0	No	+$2	02-12 11:32
highest temperature in tokyo on october 19 2026 25c	4	$79	178	143	+35	No	-$1	10-18 22:18
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$79	124	124	+0	No	-$1	01-28 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?	2	$75	182	0	+182	No	-$75	10-18 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:47:07	Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8f69ea…
10-31 10:46:34	KOSPI all-time high before 2028?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xcdacf6…
10-30 08:37:13	will the bank of japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50 bps at the january 2027 meeting	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe0aae2…
10-30 08:37:01	will the bank of japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50 bps at the march 2027 meeting	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9b7f8d…
10-30 08:36:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3719f4…
10-29 07:06:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x92da44…
10-28 10:46:58	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x31ad7c…
10-28 10:43:23	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3cd014…
10-28 10:42:52	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xe16ce8…
10-28 10:42:46	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6312df…
10-28 10:41:37	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x643629…
10-28 10:38:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x97bb6a…
10-28 10:37:59	Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xb11253…
10-27 22:56:09	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x9c3088…
10-26 23:44:32	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b60a7…
10-26 23:44:06	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xce8c28…
10-26 23:37:15	trump declassifies new ufo files by december 31 20261026	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7e2905…
10-26 23:36:21	Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x776c79…
10-26 12:49:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x77ecdf…
10-26 12:47:36	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x20d40d…
10-26 12:47:20	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xacc1c1…
10-25 23:10:45	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xc007c1…
10-25 23:10:09	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x901f89…
10-25 23:08:57	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	1¢	$3	0x0ed284…
10-23 21:40:03	1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbe33e0…
10-23 07:51:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xfef855…
10-23 07:45:41	Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x194323…
10-23 07:45:12	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x76ee73…
10-23 07:44:14	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xe86959…
10-22 10:58:20	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc2679d…
10-22 10:57:44	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x7b918e…
10-22 10:56:53	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x73085f…
10-22 10:55:32	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x4c5496…
10-22 10:54:09	Plague case in US by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x82f62d…
10-22 10:53:53	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x877bf2…
10-22 10:46:21	US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd6f1d…
10-22 10:43:20	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x3b634a…
10-22 06:52:42	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	SELL	188	49¢	$92	0x4a95e0…
10-21 23:50:30	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf2896b…
10-21 23:48:05	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x92aaf3…
10-21 10:31:42	Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x04a6a2…
10-21 10:30:50	Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x96da1d…
10-21 10:30:24	Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x886e81…
10-21 10:30:20	Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5f22bd…
10-21 09:11:26	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc4c3b1…
10-21 09:11:26	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x137879…
10-21 08:35:39	France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x034fb6…
10-20 23:22:23	Will USD/JPY hit 190 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa67d4f…
10-20 23:22:15	Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x705c11…
10-20 23:22:05	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x883687…
10-20 23:21:57	Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe4bb50…
10-20 23:21:20	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6ffec1…
10-20 23:21:12	Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x077bd5…
10-20 23:21:02	Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd4f0a2…
10-20 23:20:54	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1e7170…
10-20 23:20:47	Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x69a4d9…
10-19 21:36:03	Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfc1597…
10-19 10:13:50	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x227750…
10-19 10:11:23	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9bd7fb…
10-19 04:35:27	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x00bc36…
10-19 04:30:20	Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf11021…
10-19 02:47:03	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x58adb7…
10-19 01:51:53	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x779e42…
10-18 22:28:09	Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x033b62…
10-18 22:27:38	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	2¢	$6	0xda43eb…
10-18 22:19:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x989c34…
10-18 22:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xbe9289…
10-18 22:12:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0x26128f…
10-18 12:58:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x063a4b…
10-18 12:58:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x2e5585…
10-18 05:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xdfe730…
10-18 05:43:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x88ad2c…
10-18 05:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xb1a21b…
10-18 05:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	143	28¢	$39	0x35bab9…
10-18 04:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x7fa006…
10-18 00:54:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x009f01…
10-18 00:52:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9306f6…
10-18 00:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xad3881…
10-18 00:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd6ed1a…
10-18 00:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfffb7f…
10-18 00:38:50	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xfcea56…
10-18 00:36:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x3e432f…
10-18 00:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xd3678c…
10-18 00:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8a7da5…
10-17 20:04:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x97e481…
10-17 20:02:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xdbb8bb…
10-17 19:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	168	12¢	$20	0x11949e…
10-17 19:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x5bdfe0…
10-17 19:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x992a61…
10-17 09:37:42	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x14ee5a…
10-17 09:36:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x0f5e9d…
10-17 09:34:41	US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc48e83…
10-17 09:19:54	Any G20 leader out in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xad5795…
10-17 09:14:53	highest temperature in tokyo on october 19 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xb1fa29…
10-17 09:14:38	highest temperature in tokyo on october 19 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xf1d678…
10-17 09:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x0c3f35…
10-17 05:22:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbae7ae…
10-17 05:18:13	lowest temperature in tokyo on october 19 2026 21c	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb0f986…
10-17 05:10:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9cce03…
10-17 04:59:49	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xca6163…