Realized P&L
+$374
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
27
Trades
54
lifetime
Volume
$4.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$1.58K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 20:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
65% 90% +$244
Other
29% 81% +$129
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +612 $559 92¢ $560 +$1 10-20 20:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -412 -$385 97¢ $-402 -$17 05-29 12:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +230 $200 92¢ $213 +$13 08-19 15:44
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +217 $200 97¢ $210 +$10 08-19 16:00
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -120 -$118 97¢ $-117 +$1 10-20 20:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -49 -$40 96¢ $-47 -$7 05-10 19:08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -91 -$35 34¢ $-30 +$4 10-11 09:14