Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,873

lifetime

Volume

$8.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 08-07 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

46% 40% +$6

Other

30% 100% +$0

Sports

21% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	157	$439	344	344	+0	open	—	04-08 20:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	61	$364	192	192	+0	open	—	04-10 15:47
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	24	$227	114	114	+0	open	—	03-25 19:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	112	$216	141	80	+60	open	—	04-28 07:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	108	$192	261	241	+20	open	—	04-08 01:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	232	$183	298	293	+6	open	—	05-31 01:40
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	69	$181	147	92	+55	open	—	05-01 00:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	49	$142	153	60	+94	open	—	06-04 00:17
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	28	$139	139	0	+139	Yes	+$0	05-03 11:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	86	$115	98	73	+25	open	—	06-17 23:58
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	11	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 17:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$89	46	46	+0	open	—	03-30 13:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	51	$89	78	78	+0	open	—	03-28 11:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	71	$87	57	30	+27	open	—	05-23 20:51
mlb nyy sf 2026 03 27	22	$82	81	81	+0	open	—	03-27 23:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	37	$80	45	40	+5	open	—	04-30 20:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	71	$79	88	78	+10	open	—	06-16 03:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$75	41	41	+0	open	—	04-30 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	22	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	04-08 06:30
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	19	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	04-30 21:12
nba hou min 2026 03 25	23	$68	84	59	+25	open	—	03-26 05:49
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game2	7	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	03-28 18:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	93	$60	142	126	+16	open	—	05-27 08:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-01 04:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	80	$57	29	43	-14	open	—	08-12 06:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	17	$54	66	66	+0	open	—	05-01 22:00
lol mvu blue 2026 04 01	6	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	04-02 00:12
iran closes its airspace by june 8	33	$53	53	21	+31	open	—	06-08 04:18
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	9	$53	38	37	+0	open	—	03-28 05:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	33	$52	64	62	+2	open	—	06-23 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:01:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4f9731…
08-12 03:45:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xa77fbb…
08-07 03:43:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x026371…
08-02 03:51:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x078848…
08-02 02:10:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x603fdf…
08-02 02:10:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xac42da…
08-02 02:09:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0x7db945…
08-02 02:09:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x77f23e…
08-02 02:08:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd8e1f2…
07-30 16:38:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xc77410…
07-30 16:32:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xe5a95f…
07-30 16:13:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x53ffcb…
07-30 15:40:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xe89ffe…
07-30 15:40:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x15cdd1…
07-30 15:32:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x6def74…
07-30 15:28:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x5860c4…
07-30 15:26:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x11d396…
07-30 15:07:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x72bcd8…
07-30 15:04:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0xdfbf42…
07-26 10:22:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb8a284…
07-26 09:29:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5d3443…
07-25 16:34:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x53dbe8…
07-25 16:33:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x10ff2f…
07-25 16:28:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x65785a…
07-24 06:33:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0x6e543c…
07-24 06:28:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x14ff69…
07-24 06:22:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x76c61d…
07-24 06:22:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x8e4697…
07-23 01:54:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x8165e1…
07-23 01:13:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xe600da…
07-23 01:12:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xdb2185…
07-23 00:18:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xa3665e…
07-21 17:51:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x39711d…
07-20 13:35:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa0af9e…
07-20 12:47:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x8fbb74…
07-20 12:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x27e884…
07-20 11:46:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xd7e6c1…
07-20 11:38:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x4b63ca…
07-18 05:34:22	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18824f…
07-16 19:22:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x8d04e9…
07-16 19:11:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xc837f2…
07-16 18:56:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xdec904…
07-16 18:29:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x7903f7…
07-16 18:20:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x49ec7f…
07-16 18:20:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x25d31d…
07-16 18:19:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xff0b5f…
07-16 18:10:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xa1a690…
07-16 18:05:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x3c1c3e…
07-16 17:45:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x67ff89…
07-16 17:40:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xd7c239…
07-16 17:39:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xf32f6c…
07-16 17:38:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x70ce78…
07-16 17:38:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xb2b6ce…
07-16 09:03:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x981954…
07-16 08:54:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x26479d…
07-16 07:04:53	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8f303f…
07-16 06:12:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5221b2…
07-16 05:16:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4cbab9…
07-16 04:22:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x21874b…
07-16 03:46:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xef01f7…
07-16 03:19:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xc90767…
07-16 03:11:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xbf5e46…
07-16 02:50:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x8505b3…
07-16 02:36:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x39f3dd…
07-16 02:30:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x4e29b3…
07-16 02:26:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x60f49c…
07-15 19:26:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xb8e6e1…
07-15 18:21:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xb47731…
07-15 17:57:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf1747a…
07-15 17:51:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x5ed9ef…
07-15 15:53:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x972e71…
07-15 10:38:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xd53994…
07-14 01:44:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x44c696…
07-13 21:43:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8456da…
07-13 21:43:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x048053…
07-13 21:43:32	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x1c98cc…
07-13 21:43:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf648c1…
07-13 21:43:04	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x81d695…
07-13 21:25:01	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfa4065…
07-13 21:24:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x67bb25…
07-13 19:54:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x6b646e…
07-13 19:54:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x52f63d…
07-13 19:53:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xa376cc…
07-13 19:27:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc56c16…
07-13 19:10:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xa8d53f…
07-13 19:06:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x63d0bb…
07-13 18:52:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x729a5f…
07-13 18:43:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xfa2694…
07-13 14:52:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xce4bbc…
07-12 19:28:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa41aac…
07-12 03:50:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x01d74d…
07-12 03:46:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5c322c…
07-11 22:25:41	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260707223722047 799	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5bd20d…
07-11 22:23:50	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260707223722047 799	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f4c88…
07-10 12:04:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x0d612b…
07-10 10:22:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x066cc4…
07-09 22:35:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x69914e…
07-09 22:26:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x04135a…
07-09 22:26:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x27daca…
07-09 22:25:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x12d132…