Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$323

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

482

Trades

4,433

lifetime

Volume

$8.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$61

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 09-20 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Politics

45% 63% -$35

Other

33% 59% -$123

Sports

19% 42% -$165

Crypto

3% 56% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-56	-$41	82¢	$-46	-$5	09-07 05:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-6	-$6	96¢	$-6	$0	09-20 19:59
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	06-05 04:16
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+4	$3	99¢	$4	+$0	09-14 02:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-5	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	08-18 00:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+1	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	08-17 22:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	157	$439	344	344	+0	Yes	-$5	04-08 20:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	61	$364	192	192	+0	Yes	-$7	04-10 15:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	114	$286	146	146	+0	Yes	+$3	04-29 18:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	24	$227	114	114	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 19:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	247	$201	111	167	-56	open	—	09-07 05:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	81	$197	211	113	+98	No	+$18	06-04 00:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	108	$192	261	241	+20	Yes	-$6	04-08 01:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	232	$183	298	293	+6	No	+$1	05-31 01:40
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	69	$181	147	92	+55	No	-$4	05-01 00:08
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	28	$139	139	0	+139	Yes	+$0	05-03 11:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	116	$137	139	123	+16	Yes	-$10	06-17 23:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	77	$124	63	62	+0	No	+$1	05-23 20:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	22	$109	109	0	+109	No	+$1	07-14 12:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	82	$99	112	88	+24	Yes	+$3	06-16 03:25
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	11	$99	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 17:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	12	$91	50	42	+8	Yes	+$1	06-17 18:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$89	46	46	+0	No	+$0	03-30 13:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	51	$89	78	78	+0	No	$0	03-28 11:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	31	$84	44	44	-0	No	$0	05-23 20:55
mlb nyy sf 2026 03 27	22	$82	81	81	+0	New York Yankees	+$3	03-27 23:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	37	$80	45	40	+5	No	+$1	04-30 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$75	41	41	+0	No	+$0	04-30 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	22	$74	38	38	+0	No	+$0	04-08 06:30
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	19	$69	36	36	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 21:12
nba hou min 2026 03 25	23	$68	84	59	+25	Timberwolves	-$15	03-26 05:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	97	$67	142	142	+0	No	-$12	05-27 09:08
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game2	7	$63	33	33	+0	Tundra Esports	+$3	03-28 18:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	17	$54	66	66	+0	Yes	-$5	05-01 22:00
lol mvu blue 2026 04 01	6	$54	29	29	+0	Maryville University	+$4	04-02 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 19:59:50	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5f9456…
09-14 02:00:15	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7e3afd…
09-07 05:44:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xcc4786…
09-07 05:17:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x318cfe…
09-07 05:01:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xbe1694…
09-07 03:25:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x5062f6…
09-07 02:03:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x91b14d…
09-07 01:08:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x454306…
09-06 23:38:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x21cadc…
09-06 23:20:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xf40008…
09-06 23:12:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x40a4cb…
09-06 21:46:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x60c760…
09-06 21:40:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x51d362…
09-06 20:16:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x868397…
09-06 19:49:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xe4f1c4…
09-06 19:42:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xe3323b…
09-06 18:53:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x51a56d…
09-06 18:18:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x00097f…
09-06 18:18:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x56b6d3…
09-06 17:04:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x8537dd…
09-02 09:52:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xc0cc88…
09-02 07:47:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xa4d06a…
08-25 05:25:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xba7d50…
08-25 02:05:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x721e28…
08-25 01:14:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x10805c…
08-25 00:25:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xacd021…
08-24 18:52:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x3457bf…
08-24 16:54:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x1d2cfb…
08-24 16:54:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xd14e78…
08-24 16:54:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x59193d…
08-24 15:37:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xbeb801…
08-24 15:37:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x9f80ae…
08-24 15:37:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x35671c…
08-24 07:21:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x8b6026…
08-21 07:34:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x3c71f6…
08-20 23:44:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x768c6e…
08-20 23:05:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x9424c9…
08-20 08:44:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x3cacf8…
08-18 00:45:52	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc66592…
08-17 22:47:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x923239…
08-17 13:25:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x6a5caa…
08-12 23:54:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x08ed16…
08-12 22:43:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xccf58b…
08-12 20:14:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x434cad…
08-12 11:55:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4d4025…
08-12 11:54:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x8c925c…
08-12 10:17:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x6c86dc…
08-12 10:06:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf762c1…
08-12 09:27:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xba6fae…
08-12 07:57:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x0288b3…
08-12 07:53:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x18d0fd…
08-12 06:01:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4f9731…
08-12 03:45:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xa77fbb…
08-07 03:43:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x026371…
08-02 03:51:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x078848…
08-02 02:10:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x603fdf…
08-02 02:10:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xac42da…
08-02 02:09:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0x7db945…
08-02 02:09:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x77f23e…
08-02 02:08:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd8e1f2…
07-30 16:38:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xc77410…
07-30 16:32:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xe5a95f…
07-30 16:13:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x53ffcb…
07-30 15:40:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xe89ffe…
07-30 15:40:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x15cdd1…
07-30 15:32:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x6def74…
07-30 15:28:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x5860c4…
07-30 15:26:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x11d396…
07-30 15:07:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x72bcd8…
07-30 15:04:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0xdfbf42…
07-27 14:12:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xfef871…
07-26 10:22:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb8a284…
07-26 09:29:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5d3443…
07-25 16:34:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x53dbe8…
07-25 16:33:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x10ff2f…
07-25 16:28:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x65785a…
07-24 06:33:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0x6e543c…
07-24 06:28:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x14ff69…
07-24 06:22:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x76c61d…
07-24 06:22:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x8e4697…
07-23 01:54:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x8165e1…
07-23 01:13:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xe600da…
07-23 01:12:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xdb2185…
07-23 00:18:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xa3665e…
07-21 17:51:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x39711d…
07-20 13:35:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa0af9e…
07-20 12:47:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x8fbb74…
07-20 12:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x27e884…
07-20 11:46:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xd7e6c1…
07-20 11:38:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x4b63ca…
07-18 05:34:22	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18824f…
07-16 19:22:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x8d04e9…
07-16 19:11:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xc837f2…
07-16 18:56:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xdec904…
07-16 18:29:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x7903f7…
07-16 18:20:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x49ec7f…
07-16 18:20:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x25d31d…
07-16 18:19:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xff0b5f…
07-16 18:10:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xa1a690…
07-16 18:05:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x3c1c3e…