Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,731
lifetime
Volume
$7.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$51
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 07-01 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
46% 40% +$6
Other
30% 100% +$0
Sports
21%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 06-29 18:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-28 20:27
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-20 15:09
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-17 19:47
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-05 04:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$1 06-14 22:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-1 06-20 08:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -31 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-22 06:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $-0 86¢ $0 +$1 06-17 05:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5 $4 $0 $-4 06-07 19:17