Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved (90d)

272

Trades (90d)

1,020

1,020 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.54K

$3.54K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 11-02 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 75% -$21

Other

7% 38% -$14

Politics

5% 56% -$6

Sports

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	7	$108	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	10-03 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	8	$107	55	55	+0	Down	+$1	10-03 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$89	46	46	+0	Up	+$1	10-03 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$88	46	46	+0	Down	+$2	10-02 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$71	36	36	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	7	$70	36	36	+0	Down	+$0	10-02 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$61	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$61	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:20 UTC	6	$59	37	37	+0	Up	+$3	10-01 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$56	29	29	+0	Up	+$0	10-02 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$55	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	10-03 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$51	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	5	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	10-03 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$50	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	10-02 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$48	25	25	+0	Up	+$0	10-03 16:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:30 UTC	7	$48	24	24	+0	Down	+$0	10-03 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$48	25	25	+0	Up	+$0	10-03 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:05 UTC	6	$45	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	10-01 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:10 UTC	6	$43	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	09-30 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:25 UTC	4	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$0	10-03 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$0	10-02 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$42	22	22	+0	Down	$0	10-02 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	10-03 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	24	$40	32	24	+8	Up	+$0	10-09 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:10 UTC	10	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	10-01 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	10-03 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$37	34	5	+30	Down	-$29	10-03 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	19	$36	23	18	+5	Down	$0	10-08 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:14:45	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x774050…
11-02 02:12:57	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d1994…
11-02 02:04:16	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3fdd6c…
11-02 02:04:09	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b92d1…
11-01 20:33:45	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0153cf…
11-01 20:33:34	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2d91c…
10-31 06:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b62f2…
10-31 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x933fc6…
10-31 03:40:46	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04d0f2…
10-31 03:40:42	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e2574…
10-31 02:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x694799…
10-31 02:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x350e16…
10-30 23:54:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6dcf99…
10-30 23:53:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b2b1c…
10-30 06:04:01	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xdc129a…
10-30 06:03:12	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x958f8d…
10-30 05:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x413d4b…
10-30 05:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1ccd6a…
10-30 05:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x62384d…
10-30 05:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xff1dc5…
10-30 03:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbada3f…
10-30 03:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2bf1a1…
10-30 01:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x47a45d…
10-30 01:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x265add…
10-30 01:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdfc9c9…
10-30 01:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x52a51b…
10-30 01:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2376fc…
10-30 00:40:04	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6fb3a7…
10-29 17:48:41	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd62ce8…
10-29 17:48:31	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x405066…
10-29 17:48:28	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x462737…
10-29 17:44:56	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xde6d8d…
10-29 17:42:43	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfc365e…
10-29 17:42:43	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87213b…
10-29 17:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe9943b…
10-29 17:34:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x25e674…
10-29 17:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5c0a94…
10-29 17:14:28	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf5e642…
10-29 17:12:52	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc67027…
10-29 17:11:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xc42002…
10-29 17:11:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe8f5d5…
10-29 17:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4a0263…
10-29 17:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9e7235…
10-29 16:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xccacf4…
10-29 16:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xae2246…
10-29 16:48:13	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xb28c64…
10-29 16:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x439ed4…
10-29 16:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbadf7b…
10-29 15:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef4874…
10-29 15:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a286c…
10-29 14:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3f5e03…
10-29 14:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3c0f6a…
10-29 06:24:41	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x14e1c6…
10-29 06:24:26	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbfe630…
10-29 06:24:25	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x88a1ab…
10-29 06:24:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x135eb0…
10-29 06:24:07	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x355d5b…
10-29 06:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdae910…
10-29 06:23:17	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3d1fbc…
10-29 06:22:46	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c8ee9…
10-29 06:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x58ebd0…
10-29 06:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf3b826…
10-29 06:14:50	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbaa10b…
10-29 06:14:47	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5e059…
10-29 06:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc069e7…
10-29 06:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0345d9…
10-28 23:03:16	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa9c85…
10-28 23:02:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c18ec…
10-28 19:52:29	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x1051e6…
10-28 14:18:46	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a01e5…
10-28 02:35:17	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7a94f6…
10-28 02:34:57	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x6cb0e0…
10-28 02:25:30	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9c0520…
10-28 02:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc6cca8…
10-28 02:20:06	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf75402…
10-28 00:42:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x62e067…
10-27 16:24:18	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x8c8c82…
10-27 01:21:27	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x4569ab…
10-26 17:12:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x93b2c8…
10-26 16:38:54	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xbca322…
10-26 06:50:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9ed75b…
10-26 05:04:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x117bfd…
10-26 05:02:35	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x975042…
10-26 00:37:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbcc6a7…
10-26 00:31:45	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x85a78a…
10-26 00:29:59	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x26e057…
10-26 00:27:27	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xcb09e4…
10-26 00:02:41	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd01fbc…
10-26 00:01:08	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x72dc35…
10-25 23:51:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7e02e0…
10-25 23:48:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x7165be…
10-25 23:21:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd6fa7d…
10-25 22:01:09	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x02e91f…
10-25 20:08:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa2da46…
10-25 05:04:45	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf78b08…
10-24 02:01:02	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x231d1e…
10-24 01:23:06	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5ed5b4…
10-23 23:56:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x68c773…
10-23 22:29:36	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x846d82…
10-23 21:34:41	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xdf3250…