Realized P&L
-$18.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.72K
Hit rate
14.5%
Resolved
101
Trades
174
lifetime
Volume
$142.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$818
Open exposure
$623
3 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-04 21:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Politics
81%
6%
-$12,878
Other
19%
22%
-$5,949
Sports
0%
0%
-$43
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 | Yes | +9,971 | $3,000 | 4¢ | $384 | -$2,616 | 06-26 17:41 | |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | +7,158 | $1,200 | 3¢ | $211 | -$989 | 06-14 21:56 | |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | +1,060 | $140 | 3¢ | $28 | -$112 | 05-15 10:55 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 6 | $74.6K | 56,590 | 56,590 | +0 | Yes | -$170 | 05-20 13:47 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 4 | $9.3K | 32,998 | 26,351 | +6,647 | No | -$723 | 06-16 20:52 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | 4 | $7.9K | 5,917 | 5,917 | +0 | Yes | +$662 | 05-26 06:28 |
| cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 | 8 | $6.2K | 4,031 | 4,031 | +0 | Spirit | +$957 | 06-19 18:50 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 4 | $4.8K | 69,488 | 0 | +69,488 | No | -$4,800 | 06-17 16:32 |
| israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026 | 3 | $4.7K | 30,468 | 0 | +30,468 | No | -$4,700 | 06-17 16:32 |
| cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20 | 4 | $4.5K | 9,482 | 2,093 | +7,389 | Team Falcons | -$1,613 | 06-20 18:40 |
| cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 | 5 | $3.9K | 25,018 | 4,175 | +20,843 | Team Falcons | -$1,992 | 06-21 17:39 |
| israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 | 1 | $3.0K | 9,971 | 0 | +9,971 | open | — | 06-26 17:41 |
| Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | 1 | $2.0K | 4,673 | 0 | +4,673 | No | -$2,000 | 06-19 19:28 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | 2 | $2.0K | 1,095 | 1,095 | +0 | Yes | -$18 | 05-14 07:36 |
| cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 | 3 | $1.7K | 2,936 | 909 | +2,027 | Team Falcons | -$771 | 06-19 20:44 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | 3 | $1.7K | 2,896 | 2,896 | +0 | No | -$289 | 05-14 08:09 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 3 | $1.7K | 1,272 | 1,272 | +0 | No | -$331 | 05-14 08:08 |
| Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | 5 | $1.5K | 5,978 | 5,978 | +0 | Yes | +$425 | 06-20 18:39 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | 3 | $1.4K | 1,366 | 1,366 | +0 | No | -$598 | 05-14 08:08 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | 2 | $1.3K | 1,631 | 1,350 | +281 | No | -$685 | 05-14 08:09 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | 3 | $1.2K | 7,158 | 0 | +7,158 | open | — | 06-14 21:56 |
| cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18 | 2 | $1.0K | 769 | 769 | +0 | Aurora Gaming | +$246 | 06-18 14:50 |
| us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852 | 1 | $1000 | 5,045 | 0 | +5,045 | Yes | -$1,000 | 06-15 01:52 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | 2 | $912 | 1,250 | 1,250 | +0 | Yes | +$312 | 06-17 20:57 |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | 2 | $688 | 588 | 588 | +0 | Yes | +$488 | 06-17 19:25 |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | 2 | $530 | 435 | 435 | +0 | Yes | +$330 | 06-15 21:03 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | 3 | $498 | 299 | 298 | +0 | Yes | +$98 | 06-16 21:08 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | 5 | $450 | 2,675 | 0 | +2,675 | No | -$450 | 06-17 20:58 |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | 5 | $450 | 1,533 | 0 | +1,533 | No | -$450 | 06-17 20:58 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping? | 2 | $404 | 913 | 913 | +0 | No | -$196 | 05-14 07:38 |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | 1 | $300 | 1,875 | 0 | +1,875 | No | -$300 | 06-18 22:01 |
| cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18 | 1 | $300 | 1,159 | 0 | +1,159 | FURIA | -$300 | 06-18 17:01 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia? | 2 | $245 | 479 | 479 | +0 | No | +$111 | 07-03 00:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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