Warm-Angina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

143

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$8.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$591

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-02 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

47% 12% -$92

Crypto

26% 45% +$247

Sports

14% 31% -$174

Politics

7% 0% -$3

Tech

5% 50% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+592	$589	100¢	$591	+$2	06-19 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverry	14	$1.1K	932	932	+0	Tomas Etcheverry	-$9	04-23 20:38
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$999	800	208	+592	open	—	06-19 06:48
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	2	$970	1,000	1,000	+0	Spurs	+$10	04-24 06:50
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	8	$789	1,000	1,000	+0	Edas Butvilas	-$11	06-02 09:55
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	2	$515	500	500	+0	BetBoom Team	-$15	04-23 20:13
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	6	$360	500	500	+0	paiN	-$10	05-11 03:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$352	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:51
bitcoin up or down january 26 12am et	10	$335	662	0	+662	Up	+$327	01-26 05:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$308	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-19 10:00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	2	$297	181	181	+0	Yes	+$12	05-19 13:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	4	$250	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	06-02 05:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$236	200	200	+0	No	-$4	05-07 22:35
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-21 09:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$178	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 09:13
nba lac den 2026 01 30	1	$160	280	0	+280	Nuggets	-$160	01-31 00:20
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery	2	$114	147	147	+0	Arthur Fery	+$6	06-02 11:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$96	100	100	+0	Up	-$5	05-08 00:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$82	100	100	+0	Up	-$2	05-07 22:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	4	$68	75	75	+0	Up	-$8	05-08 00:03
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$66	100	100	+0	No	-$1	05-11 15:11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$65	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-19 08:42
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	2	$64	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	05-11 14:41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	2	$54	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$48	100	0	+100	Down	-$48	10-02 16:20
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$43	50	50	+0	Up	-$5	05-08 00:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	5	$37	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	05-08 01:01
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	-$1	05-11 03:19
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$27	24	24	+0	No	-$3	04-23 14:12
Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs Zomblers (+1.5)	1	$26	63	0	+63	Voca	-$26	05-02 22:21
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$24	40	0	+40	Yes	+$16	01-02 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xe664e3…
10-02 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xa6803e…
10-02 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x891010…
10-02 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x71d443…
10-02 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x51cf28…
09-21 13:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a64d3…
07-13 01:17:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc9e10b…
07-13 01:17:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x92d3a3…
07-13 01:15:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xea6361…
07-13 01:15:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x04ef6b…
06-19 06:57:11	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x9f8afd…
06-19 06:56:35	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x27f5d1…
06-19 06:55:43	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1f47f0…
06-19 06:53:32	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7cdd1f…
06-19 06:48:53	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$205	0x526483…
06-03 03:38:35	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$794	0x5cf42c…
06-02 11:00:55	Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery	Tristan Schoolkate	SELL	147	41¢	$60	0x9ba924…
06-02 10:51:33	Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	147	37¢	$54	0xc99bd2…
06-02 09:55:26	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	SELL	187	38¢	$71	0xce00aa…
06-02 09:54:34	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	SELL	745	39¢	$291	0x34d37f…
06-02 09:44:49	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	BUY	438	40¢	$175	0x6fab57…
06-02 09:23:53	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	BUY	327	40¢	$131	0xa60fcd…
06-02 09:18:25	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	BUY	167	40¢	$67	0x08abb1…
06-02 09:15:55	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	SELL	68	40¢	$27	0xd2f4ce…
06-02 09:14:26	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xc8e885…
06-02 09:12:42	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x1fb069…
06-02 05:38:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	96	62¢	$59	0x8d3c5b…
06-02 05:38:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x6c44fd…
06-02 05:38:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	64	62¢	$40	0x3cc85a…
06-02 05:38:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x92f56a…
05-21 09:47:35	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf092dd…
05-19 13:18:11	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	181	86¢	$155	0x4d862e…
05-19 13:14:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	181	79¢	$143	0x0f02f4…
05-19 12:46:48	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x5c423d…
05-19 12:46:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xb0ff4c…
05-19 12:45:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x789a72…
05-19 12:34:16	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x3a8251…
05-19 10:35:25	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x77a5ec…
05-19 10:35:19	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe9abdc…
05-19 10:09:03	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc90d31…
05-19 10:00:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xee3647…
05-19 10:00:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x988d75…
05-19 08:42:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xbbf78d…
05-19 08:42:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xb81efe…
05-15 03:55:05	Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x3f938f…
05-11 15:11:48	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x5f46fc…
05-11 15:11:41	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xf2e3d1…
05-11 15:08:20	Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x25c9ac…
05-11 15:08:15	Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x35d854…
05-11 14:41:18	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x50fd01…
05-11 14:41:14	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x852dab…
05-11 05:28:16	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x639a42…
05-11 05:28:13	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x16c6eb…
05-11 03:35:34	Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x395a9c…
05-11 03:31:55	Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xa38bdc…
05-11 03:31:31	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	363	35¢	$127	0x45fc0a…
05-11 03:30:59	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x004fbc…
05-11 03:29:02	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x881aa1…
05-11 03:28:20	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	114	35¢	$40	0xf8ad1b…
05-11 03:28:17	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x8a4843…
05-11 03:20:12	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0x05c40f…
05-11 03:19:26	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xfefc47…
05-11 02:56:55	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x22e994…
05-08 01:10:57	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd43ca6…
05-08 01:10:55	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x10400d…
05-08 01:01:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x7a2a28…
05-08 01:00:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3685a7…
05-08 01:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xe3dc5b…
05-08 00:03:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	25	50¢	$13	0xfc3e00…
05-08 00:00:57	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xdc7116…
05-08 00:00:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x38ed89…
05-08 00:00:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	48	46¢	$22	0x4f2b2b…
05-07 23:59:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x5a5660…
05-07 23:58:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x0b8101…
05-07 23:57:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x2a164b…
05-07 23:56:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x08cf88…
05-07 23:55:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xc5b080…
05-07 23:35:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xaaafc7…
05-07 23:35:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x6f5ec6…
05-07 23:22:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x751e02…
05-07 23:22:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x31027b…
05-07 22:59:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x52f08f…
05-07 22:59:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x7f565e…
05-07 22:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xef46bb…
05-07 22:51:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x9d22aa…
05-07 22:35:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	72	58¢	$42	0x2032d5…
05-07 22:34:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xef2ebc…
05-07 22:34:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x6f84b6…
05-07 22:34:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x02f4e2…
05-07 22:33:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0xefcebc…
05-07 22:33:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	98	58¢	$57	0xbdf99e…
05-07 22:33:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x4d79f2…
05-02 22:34:12	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbd2e49…
05-02 22:21:40	Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs Zomblers (+1.5)	Zomblers	BUY	63	41¢	$26	0x2caad8…
04-24 09:13:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x1dcfeb…
04-24 09:12:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xaf7dd4…
04-24 06:50:30	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0xe342f9…
04-24 06:49:48	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x9f50bb…
04-24 06:45:22	Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	Monte	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0x4c175c…
04-24 06:10:30	Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	Monte	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xa93ba1…