Tinted-Lye — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$38

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved (90d)

112

Trades (90d)

208

1,396 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$491

$2.26K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-23 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

82% 23% -$49

Politics

11% 28% -$51

Crypto

5% 35% -$10

Tech

1% 83% +$17

Sports

0% 38% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes		+43	$9	8¢	$3	-$6	08-10 15:08
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-7	-$3	34¢	$-2	+$0	06-13 23:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?	41	$172	250	250	+0	Yes	+$89	06-28 14:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	5	$84	125	0	+125	Yes	-$84	06-20 19:23
will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	3	$37	20	20	+0	No	-$1	06-20 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?	10	$36	49	48	+1	Yes	+$19	06-24 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?	12	$30	35	35	+0	Yes	+$15	06-23 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6?	5	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	08-06 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?	9	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	06-22 14:47
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 10 2026	4	$26	167	143	+23	Yes	-$4	06-08 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?	4	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	06-27 15:59
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	2	$25	149	0	+149	No	-$25	07-09 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$16	06-22 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?	16	$22	50	50	+0	No	-$6	06-25 14:45
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	7	$20	59	0	+59	No	-$20	06-21 22:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?	5	$20	45	15	+30	No	-$9	06-28 12:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$20	35	35	+0	open	—	10-23 09:51
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	4	$19	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-23 12:11
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-22 09:55
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	06-21 15:07
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	5	$17	22	22	+0	No	+$10	06-26 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?	12	$17	37	17	+20	No	-$3	06-24 13:08
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	2	$17	13	13	+0	No	+$10	07-01 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	4	$16	55	0	+55	No	-$16	08-14 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?	5	$16	40	0	+40	No	-$16	06-23 13:31
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	3	$16	15	8	+8	No	-$4	06-20 21:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$2	07-15 12:43
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	14	$15	324	0	+324	No	-$15	06-22 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7?	10	$15	30	20	+10	Yes	+$9	08-07 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?	9	$15	41	0	+41	Yes	+$26	06-24 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26?	10	$15	40	40	+0	No	-$8	06-26 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	06-16 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:52:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe818e2…
10-23 09:51:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0x733c15…
10-23 09:51:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x2d254f…
10-23 09:51:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x5762a7…
10-23 09:51:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x6f57d2…
10-23 09:50:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x68d552…
10-23 09:49:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xc1eab7…
10-23 09:49:33	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xdaa53e…
09-19 19:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x749aff…
09-19 16:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x650c5c…
09-19 14:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x7c8d48…
09-19 14:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x70f70b…
09-19 14:30:15	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0xec833d…
09-14 23:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xee51b1…
09-14 22:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x26612f…
09-14 22:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x58d10d…
09-14 22:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x270949…
09-14 20:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd1156b…
09-14 13:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x91abb0…
09-14 13:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x014c45…
09-13 21:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x16122e…
09-13 21:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x58a68b…
09-13 12:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xd9e654…
09-13 11:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x31a1d5…
09-13 10:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xac4e28…
09-13 10:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xad29b9…
09-13 10:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x5ecf40…
09-13 10:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x5b00ae…
09-13 10:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x705e8d…
09-13 10:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x738cce…
09-13 10:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xf9d7af…
09-11 00:23:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x9c29ff…
09-11 00:23:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4a2629…
09-11 00:23:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x09e3f4…
09-11 00:23:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4c2e5e…
09-06 21:43:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x0f5249…
09-06 21:42:19	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1f988b…
09-06 21:42:13	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0ca89f…
09-06 21:41:07	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x95c95a…
09-06 21:40:58	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x88c462…
09-06 21:40:52	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x83288e…
09-06 14:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xad59ee…
09-06 14:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcb714d…
09-06 14:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc69252…
09-06 14:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1532bb…
09-06 14:05:51	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x9ac617…
09-06 14:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3ac7d5…
09-05 15:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x671a32…
09-05 14:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x58e0ef…
09-05 14:40:55	US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xe70afe…
09-05 14:38:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xc33fea…
09-05 14:38:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x2c8488…
09-05 14:38:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xbcc8db…
09-05 14:38:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xb1fdd8…
09-05 14:38:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf5d50f…
09-05 14:37:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xf6fcd9…
09-05 14:37:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6a6493…
09-05 14:37:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb7faab…
09-05 14:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7b7a52…
09-05 14:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x97109b…
09-05 14:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4b652e…
09-05 14:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6c69b0…
09-05 14:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x75b406…
09-05 14:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x72633a…
09-05 14:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3d2180…
09-05 14:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc301cc…
09-05 14:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x07148e…
09-05 14:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x48f23d…
09-03 17:05:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x681858…
08-14 00:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x4cd26c…
08-14 00:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x5b6263…
08-14 00:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x29020e…
08-14 00:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xf8cd54…
08-14 00:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd62fc7…
08-14 00:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdae758…
08-14 00:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc25e5c…
08-14 00:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xa40c43…
08-13 23:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd12ec4…
08-13 23:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd1bfca…
08-13 23:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2d0d14…
08-13 23:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb314c6…
08-13 23:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe53dd9…
08-13 23:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe6830f…
08-12 22:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0ce2f1…
08-12 22:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x31faea…
08-12 22:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x72e1f9…
08-12 22:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x762892…
08-12 22:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6c4c41…
08-12 22:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x8879ec…
08-12 22:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6fa4ab…
08-12 22:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xda0bf9…
08-12 22:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x09c663…
08-12 14:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x6c314e…
08-12 12:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd7c6ac…
08-12 12:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb8e6d7…
08-11 14:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2456ef…
08-11 14:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6079da…
08-11 14:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x9555bd…
08-11 14:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x1e8031…
08-11 14:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x25c532…