Serene-Boot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 08-21 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 50% $-2

Other

35% 53% +$2

Tech

10% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 67% +$0

Sports

3% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$114	58	58	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 00:53
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$109	55	55	+0	No	$-0	04-06 09:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	05-28 07:42
btc updown 5m 1774799100	6	$101	131	129	+1	Down	+$21	03-29 15:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$-0	05-11 01:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$64	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 10:14
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$-0	03-20 04:30
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$-0	03-16 10:11
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-22 10:15
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$64	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 09:18
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$64	33	33	+0	No	$-0	03-24 11:03
btc updown 5m 1773156900	2	$64	41	41	+1	Down	+$10	03-10 15:39
Will Solana reach $120 in April?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-30 07:02
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$-0	04-09 05:31
btc updown 5m 1774798800	6	$59	142	141	+1	Up	$-1	03-29 15:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-16 14:30
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-20 11:52
btc updown 5m 1773157200	2	$47	49	49	+0	Down	$-26	03-10 15:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	08-21 02:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$46	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-09 05:31
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-30 07:02
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-25 00:01
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-19 09:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	$-0	05-06 07:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$39	10	30	-19	open	—	06-16 10:10
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$36	18	18	+0	Yes	$-0	05-25 00:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 08:45
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-30 00:17
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-06 01:35
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	$-0	05-28 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 02:21:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4dcbaf…
08-21 02:21:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xbfb861…
08-20 10:49:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x4bbcce…
08-20 10:48:54	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x160f9c…
08-20 00:56:19	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb89ac4…
08-03 07:11:27	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc2f1f2…
07-28 12:13:04	btc updown 5m 1785240600	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xa4b44b…
07-28 12:11:50	btc updown 5m 1785240600	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x07a014…
07-27 10:20:51	btc updown 5m 1785147600	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xaa6b56…
07-27 10:17:03	btc updown 5m 1785147300	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x01c2e1…
07-27 10:16:21	btc updown 5m 1785147300	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x9ac761…
07-27 10:11:22	btc updown 5m 1785147000	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x2b86ac…
07-27 10:08:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xca5574…
07-23 07:29:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa9ae83…
07-23 07:28:45	untitled market 1 20260626153408309	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x087570…
07-23 01:25:16	untitled market 1 20260626153408309	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb823c5…
07-22 10:05:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x44b62f…
07-20 07:31:12	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4777d3…
07-16 10:10:02	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x8eee79…
07-16 10:09:55	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x336eca…
07-16 10:09:41	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb676a4…
07-06 01:35:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x14a304…
07-03 06:09:25	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2ec2e0…
07-03 06:05:49	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba5678…
06-30 00:17:07	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x693b6a…
06-29 01:05:05	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x79cdef…
06-29 01:04:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb0082d…
06-21 07:49:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5938e2…
06-21 07:48:35	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe19a73…
06-16 10:11:48	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x894ff3…
06-16 10:10:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x8f0928…
06-15 05:30:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x2c0b30…
06-15 05:30:00	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf5a924…
06-15 00:56:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa68300…
06-15 00:56:03	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf0b357…
06-15 00:55:37	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xd1ce0d…
06-12 04:12:33	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xecba06…
06-12 00:59:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2e7e54…
06-05 06:45:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1fc82a…
06-03 13:48:38	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x8727e0…
06-01 13:15:46	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xcfbeba…
05-28 14:09:57	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x065f45…
05-28 14:09:15	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x6688f9…
05-28 14:09:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xe9c769…
05-28 14:09:04	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x99e6de…
05-28 07:43:54	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6bf278…
05-28 07:43:35	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa55a29…
05-28 07:43:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xef9dc8…
05-28 07:42:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x284b84…
05-26 08:05:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x97cb25…
05-26 08:05:05	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x187df6…
05-26 08:04:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x94c70e…
05-25 00:03:11	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x418fad…
05-25 00:02:29	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaba126…
05-25 00:02:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x895972…
05-25 00:01:20	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$18	0x9acf4f…
05-25 00:01:15	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb5c68d…
05-23 15:12:58	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x3a181a…
05-23 15:12:25	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xffbcdd…
05-23 15:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$8	0x47f2a9…
05-23 15:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3820e7…
05-21 08:46:20	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9faa0c…
05-21 08:45:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7f07b8…
05-20 15:51:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7870d1…
05-19 09:53:11	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x861100…
05-18 02:06:59	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x979e7f…
05-16 14:30:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x97e7ea…
05-16 05:11:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe43f1a…
05-13 15:42:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc7d13c…
05-11 01:05:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x542f73…
05-11 01:04:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x43f72c…
05-11 01:04:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x8b8f49…
05-06 07:36:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x5e6470…
05-03 23:44:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa11d37…
04-30 07:02:08	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xadc05d…
04-30 07:02:02	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8ce6b9…
04-27 00:36:32	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x763943…
04-27 00:36:12	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x33f518…
04-23 14:29:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x44d88b…
04-23 14:28:04	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8c4358…
04-20 11:53:04	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6ddf06…
04-20 11:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xc1fbb5…
04-17 23:35:42	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x42665b…
04-16 00:53:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xb5e3a7…
04-13 10:41:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8c131d…
04-10 16:34:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x647f7a…
04-09 05:31:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x64dd5b…
04-09 05:31:49	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xea90fa…
04-06 09:39:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x749d98…
04-06 09:38:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3720aa…
04-06 09:38:33	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	Knicks	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8720ff…
04-06 09:38:09	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xba8e4e…
04-03 00:43:17	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x461e1f…
04-03 00:42:35	nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	Warriors	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf1af56…
03-29 15:48:54	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Up	SELL	101	47¢	$47	0xe21e3f…
03-29 15:48:28	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3f1af8…
03-29 15:47:52	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd59eba…
03-29 15:47:24	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5ffd3b…
03-29 15:45:54	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Down	SELL	28	48¢	$14	0x6ce887…
03-29 15:45:32	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5da54e…