Grizzled-Customer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$536

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-14 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

84% 87% -$1

Crypto

16% 86% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$86	94	94	+0	Yes	+$39	05-26 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 28?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	05-28 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on June 14?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-14 05:45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$30	94	94	+0	No	-$24	05-26 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 22?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-22 07:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-10 08:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11PM ET	1	$24	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	05-24 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on May 5?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-05 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 8?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-08 06:01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$22	104	104	+0	No	-$18	05-26 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 43°C or higher on May 14?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-14 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$18	19	0	+19	Down	+$1	04-29 02:14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$17	47	47	+0	No	+$7	05-26 09:43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 22?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-22 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	04-27 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-19 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 8?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-08 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on May 6?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-06 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 6?	3	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-06 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	-$5	04-30 01:54
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-05 08:32
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-14 02:50
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 14?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-14 02:50
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-06 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 10?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-10 08:54
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 7?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$5	47	0	+47	No	-$5	05-24 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on May 13?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-13 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-18 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-07 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 05:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1a74e7…
06-08 06:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3d5136…
06-08 06:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfc8085…
05-28 01:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x24f154…
05-26 09:44:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0x781e0e…
05-26 09:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	3¢	$3	0xcec236…
05-26 09:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	66¢	$62	0x812224…
05-26 09:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	26¢	$12	0x7cb7b1…
05-24 08:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x4f5172…
05-24 08:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	19¢	$18	0x8e39fc…
05-24 08:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	29¢	$23	0x2c380c…
05-24 07:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x82c63e…
05-24 07:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x8cf554…
05-24 07:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x4764b9…
05-24 07:57:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5b795c…
05-24 07:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4938b0…
05-24 07:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	25¢	$24	0x4c804c…
05-24 07:57:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x067df9…
05-24 03:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x2888ed…
05-22 07:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0c0ab3…
05-22 06:56:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd26c2b…
05-19 01:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb9a34b…
05-18 07:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0a278f…
05-14 02:50:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf82d15…
05-14 02:50:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebb4b3…
05-14 02:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 43°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0b92bf…
05-13 03:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6fb5a…
05-10 08:55:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcfc1e4…
05-10 08:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x29e6e8…
05-07 06:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x55d154…
05-07 06:12:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff107a…
05-06 04:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd542b7…
05-06 04:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe10281…
05-06 04:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x851588…
05-06 02:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on May 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x32c4c0…
05-06 02:54:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c2798…
05-05 08:32:26	Will White House post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x735044…
05-05 08:27:38	Will White House post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d2a06…
05-05 01:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on May 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x605cca…
04-30 01:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xc2a39a…
04-30 01:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xbed1cc…
04-29 02:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x4a1f39…
04-27 03:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x7f5598…