Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 43°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$1,329
$12,231 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$35,883
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 03:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $405 | $405 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $0 | $895 | $895 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $93 | $93 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $299 | $299 |
| Median | 16 | — | $801 | $801 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $31 | $31 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $50 | $50 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $24 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half-Dirt 0xf6d0…3c67 | No | +400 | $400 | $400 | 4 | 05-14 02:01 |
| Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | +210 | $210 | $210 | 2 | 05-14 01:49 |
| Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 01:58 |
| Heartfelt-Entirety 0xf05b…c774 | No | +97 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-14 02:01 |
| Loyal-Gavel 0x5637…21f4 | No | +89 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 05-13 10:58 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-14 00:14 |
| Greedy-Icecream 0x96f0…d15c | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 08:16 |
| Useful-Trap 0xf9fb…e56f | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-14 03:05 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 23:56 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 03:30 |
| Infinite-Bunkhouse 0x3863…8823 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-14 01:39 |
| Fine-Sprag 0x528b…aa58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 03:31 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Negligible-Symptom 0x2f5a…5827 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 01:51 |
| Ornery-Hazelnut 0x7c1c…7548 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 09:06 |
| Vacant-Reconsideration 0x730b…d3bd | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 00:23 |
| Proud-Fob 0x2e72…0e8b | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 03:38 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-14 01:40 |
| Dimpled-Variant 0x9219…4068 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 08:43 |
| Keen-Management 0xf571…4db3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 02:46 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 08:16 |
| Spectacular-Blossom 0xa2f5…b318 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 04:59 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 00:24 |
| Impeccable-Minnow 0x9fec…fa3c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 03:27 |
| Harmful-Sphynx 0x7d97…8a02 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 03:48 |
| Memorable-Stamina 0x1efd…11ec | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 02:22 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:59 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 07:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 03:59:01 | Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5c285… |
| 05-14 03:50:14 | Partial-Position 0xa51a…c566 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x849aaa… |
| 05-14 03:48:17 | Harmful-Sphynx 0x7d97…8a02 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x555316… |
| 05-14 03:38:48 | Proud-Fob 0x2e72…0e8b | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x6b268c… |
| 05-14 03:34:08 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x634d53… |
| 05-14 03:31:22 | Fine-Sprag 0x528b…aa58 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe42a09… |
| 05-14 03:30:52 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x99ada0… |
| 05-14 03:05:59 | Useful-Trap 0xf9fb…e56f | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xbb6273… |
| 05-14 03:00:20 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5425bc… |
| 05-14 02:25:25 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a98e5… |
| 05-14 02:25:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd60cd… |
| 05-14 02:07:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x50951b… |
| 05-14 02:02:14 | Greedy-Icecream 0x96f0…d15c | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x1055c1… |
| 05-14 02:01:56 | Half-Dirt 0xf6d0…3c67 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x926e24… |
| 05-14 02:01:21 | Half-Dirt 0xf6d0…3c67 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf3691a… |
| 05-14 02:01:16 | Heartfelt-Entirety 0xf05b…c774 | No | BUY | 97 | 100¢ | $97 | 0xc86e91… |
| 05-14 02:00:55 | Half-Dirt 0xf6d0…3c67 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x14624b… |
| 05-14 02:00:41 | Half-Dirt 0xf6d0…3c67 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x5a64b5… |
| 05-14 01:58:38 | Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x6712c4… |
| 05-14 01:51:30 | Negligible-Symptom 0x2f5a…5827 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xcb527c… |
| 05-14 01:49:55 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x64d23c… |
| 05-14 01:40:12 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3d0195… |
| 05-14 01:39:58 | Infinite-Bunkhouse 0x3863…8823 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x59e5c7… |
| 05-14 01:14:17 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x328a90… |
| 05-14 00:46:15 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x7c4233… |
| 05-14 00:34:21 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f79c5… |
| 05-14 00:31:15 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffe5f2… |
| 05-14 00:24:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x617a69… |
| 05-14 00:23:35 | Vacant-Reconsideration 0x730b…d3bd | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xd37762… |
| 05-14 00:14:33 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ab9d9… |
| 05-14 00:14:31 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17460a… |
| 05-14 00:14:31 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xeb090b… |
| 05-14 00:12:02 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5ab29a… |
| 05-14 00:12:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0773df… |
| 05-14 00:12:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa405e… |
| 05-13 23:56:56 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x30cee0… |
| 05-13 10:58:18 | Loyal-Gavel 0x5637…21f4 | No | BUY | 89 | 100¢ | $89 | 0xb8a45d… |
| 05-13 09:06:35 | Ornery-Hazelnut 0x7c1c…7548 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x3ee968… |
| 05-13 08:43:55 | Dimpled-Variant 0x9219…4068 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x76662e… |
| 05-13 08:34:25 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9486a… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xafde22… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24658f… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe433f5… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e0c99… |
| 05-13 08:16:25 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x7b389a… |
| 05-13 08:16:25 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2e2397… |
| 05-13 07:59:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x141304… |
| 05-13 07:36:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x15b719… |
| 05-13 07:29:31 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3576ca… |
| 05-13 05:27:41 | Classic-Vault 0x6c27…4db9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x785102… |
| 05-13 04:59:34 | Spectacular-Blossom 0xa2f5…b318 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc525db… |
| 05-13 03:27:59 | Impeccable-Minnow 0x9fec…fa3c | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x3a2cc6… |
| 05-13 02:46:22 | Keen-Management 0xf571…4db3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1bb7a3… |
| 05-13 02:22:32 | Memorable-Stamina 0x1efd…11ec | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd88b43… |
| 05-12 09:12:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c941f… |
| 05-12 07:31:15 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | BUY | 192 | 100¢ | $192 | 0xdcba15… |