Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
732
Trades
1,428
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$767
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-27 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Politics
33% 40% -$73
Crypto
29% 58% +$66
Other
28% 62% -$81
Tech
11% 100% +$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No -240 -$133 98¢ $-235 -$102 05-31 22:57
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No -218 -$94 96¢ $-208 -$114 06-01 10:37
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -200 -$90 88¢ $-176 -$85 06-01 21:58
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -400 -$191 12¢ $-49 +$142 06-01 16:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$20 96¢ $-38 -$18 06-01 07:05
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -200 -$150 19¢ $-38 +$112 06-02 23:37
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -10 -$2 81¢ $-8 -$6 06-01 12:02
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$6 94¢ $-7 -$1 06-01 21:47
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$3 13¢ $-3 +$0 06-02 12:22
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -58 -$3 4¢ $-3 +$0 06-01 21:41
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 -$19 4¢ $-2 +$17 05-29 08:36
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$4 06-01 14:58
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -20 -$16 2¢ $-0 +$15 05-30 23:51
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -6 -$4 3¢ $-0 +$3 05-31 11:56
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 05-28 21:53
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +0 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 06-02 17:23