Realized P&L (7d)
+$428
Unrealized P&L
+$1.05K
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
144
4,759 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.74K
$145.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$21.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 18:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
38% 62% +$1,127
Politics
30% 62% +$504
Sports
29% 67% +$2,891
Crypto
1% 57% +$268
Tech
1% 100% +$15
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,519 $3,249 95¢ $3.3K +$82 11-05 16:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,309 $2,154 83¢ $1.9K -$246 11-03 13:35
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,784 $1,672 95¢ $1.7K +$26 09-09 07:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,304 $1,193 97¢ $1.3K +$69 05-23 00:00
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,275 $1,135 98¢ $1.2K +$110 08-17 19:02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,180 $1,072 96¢ $1.1K +$64 06-02 13:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,498 $1,301 73¢ $1.1K -$205 08-26 21:14
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,111 $1,038 98¢ $1.1K +$53 05-20 08:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,024 $984 99¢ $1.0K +$26 08-18 09:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,111 $991 89¢ $994 +$3 08-06 15:28
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +931 $880 97¢ $903 +$22 10-09 05:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +930 $853 84¢ $781 -$72 11-04 03:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +621 $380 92¢ $568 +$189 10-19 11:00
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +459 $414 97¢ $445 +$31 05-21 17:31
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +590 $388 74¢ $434 +$45 11-08 21:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,018 -$551 14¢ $-430 +$121 11-05 16:24
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +372 $257 94¢ $348 +$90 09-25 14:08
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +322 $301 98¢ $316 +$15 09-20 12:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,774 -$830 17¢ $-308 +$522 10-29 17:51
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,889 -$78 16¢ $-303 -$225 10-18 21:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +300 $224 97¢ $291 +$67 11-10 09:21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -889 -$298 27¢ $-239 +$59 11-04 13:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +239 $204 99¢ $237 +$34 11-10 15:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,023 -$374 11¢ $-218 +$156 10-24 03:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,210 -$53 17¢ $-210 -$157 06-09 11:06
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,001 -$111 3¢ $-204 -$93 10-30 19:04
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +200 $177 90¢ $181 +$4 10-21 22:41
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? No +300 -$12 54¢ $161 +$172 11-10 16:25
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,862 -$156 5¢ $-153 +$2 09-03 19:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -489 -$242 31¢ $-151 +$91 08-29 14:15