Beautiful-Spinach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$181

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$139

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-01 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-181

Politics

37% — —

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	-57	$-55	97¢	$-55	+$0	06-18 22:38
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	No	+58	$40	85¢	$49	+$9	06-01 22:46
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	No	+38	$35	92¢	$35	+$0	06-01 22:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	03-31 23:56
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	8	$183	164	100	+64	No	$-182	04-20 23:44
will one battle after another win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	1	$141	157	0	+157	open	—	02-23 08:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$113	79	79	+0	open	—	03-23 07:03
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	2	$102	54	54	+0	open	—	03-29 11:17
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-05 01:20
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	03-03 09:01
will 0 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	02-05 01:40
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-01 00:05
will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	02-05 01:19
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	02-09 17:22
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$72	48	50	-2	open	—	02-12 16:25
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	1	$68	70	0	+70	open	—	02-09 17:23
Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	2	$66	48	48	+0	open	—	03-11 22:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$65	53	53	+0	open	—	04-02 20:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$65	36	36	+0	open	—	03-11 22:54
will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	2	$64	37	37	+0	open	—	03-04 07:07
greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	3	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	03-04 07:08
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	2	$56	34	34	+0	open	—	03-04 07:07
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	2	$55	0	57	-57	open	—	06-18 22:38
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$54	57	0	+57	open	—	04-18 00:09
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 747 434	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	03-11 22:55
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	03-11 22:57
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	2	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	02-12 16:24
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	03-11 22:55
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	1	$42	48	0	+48	open	—	03-16 07:01
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	1	$40	58	0	+58	open	—	06-01 22:46
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	01-31 07:13
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	06-01 22:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	01-31 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:00:20	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5d597e…
06-18 22:38:04	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xba8b92…
06-17 13:15:13	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x1f02f4…
06-01 22:46:40	US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x2ff0c8…
06-01 22:46:07	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x7f9057…
04-20 23:44:18	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	Yes	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0x1c6b60…
04-18 13:46:06	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	No	SELL	57	50¢	$29	0xd6544d…
04-18 09:51:00	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x7e4130…
04-18 00:09:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xd7bfba…
04-16 22:49:10	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x42860f…
04-16 19:16:24	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xaef87f…
04-16 03:15:50	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb4088d…
04-15 17:24:32	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x9e315d…
04-02 20:50:21	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0a78b1…
04-02 20:48:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	53	76¢	$40	0x5c5b7b…
04-02 19:45:25	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	1,112	1¢	$10	0xf8a0cc…
04-02 19:45:17	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	773	1¢	$10	0x740b69…
04-02 19:45:11	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	342	3¢	$10	0x03d7a6…
04-02 19:45:03	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x1b2e78…
04-02 19:41:03	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x8842d0…
04-01 00:49:03	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xe3da1e…
04-01 00:48:41	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xdf14f7…
04-01 00:48:35	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x3d6b9d…
04-01 00:48:25	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf1130f…
04-01 00:48:17	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x59cde5…
04-01 00:48:01	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xa5443a…
04-01 00:47:55	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xdb86f8…
04-01 00:47:47	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x630d2a…
04-01 00:47:07	will the dhs shutdown last 70 days or more 252	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd4ddf3…
04-01 00:46:31	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x964992…
04-01 00:46:23	will the dhs shutdown last 52 days or more 416	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc9f34…
04-01 00:46:17	will the dhs shutdown last 48 days or more 945	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xced27c…
04-01 00:05:33	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc42433…
03-31 23:59:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x2cc20f…
03-31 23:56:13	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x73e488…
03-29 11:17:48	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x6bd725…
03-23 07:03:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	79	80¢	$63	0xcd9af5…
03-16 21:07:59	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x2c98f9…
03-16 21:05:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x168c2b…
03-16 07:06:39	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be less than 50m	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4b6096…
03-16 07:06:21	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 50m and 55m	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fb597…
03-16 07:06:15	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 55m and 60m	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5b5ad5…
03-16 07:06:13	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 60m and 65m	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1a5c9c…
03-16 07:01:55	Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x2da90a…
03-11 22:57:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x5b270e…
03-11 22:55:21	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 747 434	Yes	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xdc92bc…
03-11 22:55:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x424ce2…
03-11 22:54:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x3ae73d…
03-11 22:54:01	Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	84¢	$41	0xb78735…
03-04 07:10:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xcf4e57…
03-04 07:09:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0xb7f128…
03-04 07:09:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x0e6a80…
03-04 07:09:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x017935…
03-04 07:08:17	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb826d4…
03-04 07:08:05	greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	No	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0x279b53…
03-04 07:08:01	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xea340f…
03-04 07:07:33	will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0xb5a400…
03-04 07:07:31	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x99a98b…
03-03 09:04:05	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x045e9e…
03-03 09:01:35	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7d6091…
02-23 08:14:06	will one battle after another win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	No	BUY	157	90¢	$141	0x7a5efa…
02-14 20:12:31	will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x21a79b…
02-12 16:25:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x34d1ee…
02-12 16:24:31	will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x213a83…
02-12 05:21:45	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xac5d9f…
02-12 01:37:21	will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7df7cd…
02-10 17:35:39	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x8ea8aa…
02-09 17:23:07	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x2392de…
02-09 17:22:05	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	83	79¢	$65	0x6fb7a0…
02-08 18:00:39	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb897e6…
02-08 17:47:09	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xecbe16…
02-07 08:11:55	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6c506b…
02-07 08:10:17	greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9f72eb…
02-07 08:08:37	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4825e6…
02-07 08:08:29	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0395dd…
02-06 22:27:25	will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x76c4be…
02-06 21:15:51	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 28 847	No	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0x4ebf12…
02-06 17:32:13	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 28 847	No	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0x64cb12…
02-06 17:32:07	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 13 499	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x45b56f…
02-06 16:26:39	will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xea9bb4…
02-06 16:20:59	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4bc5f1…
02-06 16:13:01	will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x409713…
02-06 09:04:15	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x426d63…
02-06 09:03:55	will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd55a53…
02-06 09:02:49	will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x82cc32…
02-06 08:50:23	will russia strike kyiv on february 6 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x549049…
02-05 19:43:35	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8f1654…
02-05 19:42:27	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	No	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x36f1d8…
02-05 19:37:11	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xdc88e1…
02-05 16:10:37	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x7319f2…
02-05 15:55:47	greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x11ae16…
02-05 02:30:39	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x46ef9d…
02-05 02:06:39	Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x3ee7d2…
02-05 02:06:11	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 5	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb7a0f4…
02-05 01:54:35	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xaefa79…
02-05 01:54:31	will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xb3e610…
02-05 01:40:19	will 0 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x808a3f…
02-05 01:38:43	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9b38e5…
02-05 01:36:57	trump announces new drug boat strike by february 7 2026	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xdb9ae7…
02-05 01:33:47	will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x754586…