Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
178
Trades
523
lifetime
Volume
$15.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$133
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 10-29 16:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
35% 82% +$24
Crypto
28% 94% +$53
Politics
16% 86% -$60
Sports
15% 76% -$2
Tech
5% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +36 $35 99¢ $36 +$0 10-28 11:03
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +31 $31 99¢ $31 $0 10-05 08:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-21 18:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +42 $26 53¢ $22 -$4 10-17 17:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 09-25 04:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $18 6¢ $4 -$13 06-19 11:00