Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$9.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-11 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 100% +$12

Other

29% 0% $-11

Sports

21% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-36	$-12	56¢	$-20	$-8	06-11 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	2	$219	110	110	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 08:55
mlb nym sf 2026 04 03	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 05:08
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 4am et	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 08:50
mlb hou oak 2026 04 03	3	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 04:21
btc updown 15m 1776158100	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-14 09:30
ethereum up or down april 5 2026 11pm et	2	$195	100	97	+3	open	—	04-06 03:58
nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	5	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	04-14 02:55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	04-21 03:10
ethereum up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	04-15 02:56
btc updown 15m 1776742200	3	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	04-21 03:45
btc updown 15m 1776743100	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	04-21 03:57
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 11pm et	3	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	04-02 03:57
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	04-19 01:54
btc updown 15m 1776760200	3	$173	88	88	+0	open	—	04-21 08:45
ethereum above 2100 on april 12	2	$162	82	82	+0	open	—	04-12 15:40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	10	$162	84	84	+0	open	—	04-26 15:58
btc updown 15m 1776222000	2	$151	77	77	+0	open	—	04-15 03:15
nba den uta 2026 04 01	3	$150	80	80	+0	open	—	04-02 02:56
mlb tex oak 2026 04 13	2	$147	76	76	+0	open	—	04-14 03:35
nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	5	$140	75	75	+0	open	—	04-15 04:14
cbb bayl minnst 2026 04 01	3	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	04-02 05:00
nba orl dal 2026 04 03	2	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	04-04 02:29
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-18 03:03
nba was lal 2026 03 30	2	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	03-31 04:03
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$128	75	75	+0	open	—	02-26 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$127	70	70	+0	Down	+$11	05-08 06:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 18c	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	04-04 02:16
eth updown 15m 1774951200	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	03-31 10:14
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-13 07:04
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	3	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-17 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:30:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x846ba2…
06-09 19:00:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x9d2a9e…
06-09 12:21:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xaa36a0…
06-06 18:13:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x532084…
06-01 07:59:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xe6c609…
05-29 07:33:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xf17296…
05-28 05:03:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x162bd7…
05-28 04:42:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x61f175…
05-27 11:10:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x4cea59…
05-26 12:37:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x94481c…
05-26 10:08:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x04a777…
05-25 20:21:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x6fd966…
05-23 06:49:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xc3f9b8…
05-22 09:10:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xed4f94…
05-21 07:39:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xed1683…
05-19 11:28:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x406b65…
05-18 09:37:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x21f1c1…
05-18 06:18:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa201c6…
05-15 12:44:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x191da4…
05-14 11:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x533c31…
05-14 04:08:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xbd4dd9…
05-14 03:46:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x000368…
05-13 10:22:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xfdf13c…
05-12 06:31:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x818d06…
05-09 05:17:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3ec179…
05-08 06:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x2b02f4…
05-08 06:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x9dd8f0…
05-08 06:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0x9aac7f…
05-08 06:18:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xfa90dd…
05-08 04:02:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xd18c29…
05-07 08:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xfda266…
05-07 08:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x6a3226…
05-06 08:36:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xb13e4c…
05-06 03:24:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdb7ebe…
05-04 10:16:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xd78f18…
05-03 12:51:14	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xfe84a1…
05-03 12:23:34	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xda3295…
05-03 12:21:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5f63ed…
05-03 11:28:54	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf13ec1…
05-03 10:07:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x93ba50…
05-03 09:47:48	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$1	0x8512c5…
04-29 16:47:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x9648e6…
04-29 09:35:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x145418…
04-28 05:09:04	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x2a995a…
04-28 04:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 29?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0c5fb4…
04-27 15:37:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x891d28…
04-26 20:47:02	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x782fed…
04-26 17:12:44	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x0a1d07…
04-26 15:58:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x3fd8e8…
04-25 09:13:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0b4577…
04-25 03:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xa7ec12…
04-24 14:24:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x70953e…
04-24 03:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x703339…
04-23 15:40:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x653313…
04-23 14:56:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xe8ee15…
04-22 11:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x04cef5…
04-22 09:53:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x28acc1…
04-21 10:17:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xeebf76…
04-21 08:50:02	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3d0ecd…
04-21 08:46:12	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x127599…
04-21 08:45:22	btc updown 15m 1776760200	Up	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x055abe…
04-21 08:43:38	btc updown 15m 1776760200	Up	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe75df1…
04-21 08:43:26	btc updown 15m 1776760200	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x6d51a3…
04-21 03:57:18	btc updown 15m 1776743100	Up	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xaf9e2c…
04-21 03:56:20	btc updown 15m 1776743100	Up	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x73a295…
04-21 03:45:12	btc updown 15m 1776742200	Down	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xca2a72…
04-21 03:42:22	btc updown 15m 1776742200	Down	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x2f87df…
04-21 03:42:18	btc updown 15m 1776742200	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb08ce9…
04-21 03:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x674e43…
04-21 03:05:14	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5f8bfb…
04-19 21:35:46	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xe05975…
04-19 13:24:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xf47b96…
04-19 13:22:06	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8a29c…
04-19 01:54:18	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xc1fcd5…
04-19 01:35:26	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2e438a…
04-18 03:03:40	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x97b39e…
04-18 02:57:50	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x71c808…
04-17 12:53:56	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc19b51…
04-17 05:12:02	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xc3a486…
04-17 05:11:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xc30754…
04-17 01:10:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xa17d23…
04-15 13:43:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x39b109…
04-15 04:14:56	nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	Blues	SELL	75	94¢	$70	0x092274…
04-15 04:13:38	nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	Blues	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xba4143…
04-15 04:13:28	nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	Blues	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5cd76f…
04-15 04:13:22	nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	Blues	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe04fbb…
04-15 04:12:58	nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	Blues	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x37b8d3…
04-15 03:15:18	btc updown 15m 1776222000	Down	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xf5d812…
04-15 03:12:06	btc updown 15m 1776222000	Down	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x8a0d11…
04-15 02:56:06	ethereum up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x6bb01e…
04-15 02:47:58	ethereum up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x9b6285…
04-14 09:30:39	btc updown 15m 1776158100	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9abdf3…
04-14 09:28:17	btc updown 15m 1776158100	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5cc473…
04-14 03:35:05	mlb tex oak 2026 04 13	Texas Rangers	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x504f6f…
04-14 03:17:33	mlb tex oak 2026 04 13	Texas Rangers	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0xcabb0e…
04-14 02:55:19	nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	Sabres	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x6ab923…
04-14 02:52:37	nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	Sabres	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe3a026…
04-14 02:52:29	nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	Sabres	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07087f…
04-14 02:51:35	nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	Sabres	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3e9d75…
04-14 02:51:09	nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	Sabres	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc86814…