Impolite-Mode 0x09e27c…cf29de Create alert
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$36.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$934
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
196
Trades
687
lifetime
Volume
$177.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$258
Open exposure
$3.60K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-12 18:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
51% 85% +$18,079
Other
29% 85% +$14,090
Tech
17% 100% +$3,491
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$417
Crypto
1% 100% +$239
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,004 $636 26¢ $1.1K +$415 10-24 01:08
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? No — +373 $360 99¢ $369 +$10 11-04 04:16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +600 $311 54¢ $324 +$13 10-18 19:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -285 -$200 81¢ $-230 -$30 11-05 14:05
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? No +281 $208 82¢ $229 +$21 11-04 18:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,066 $835 18¢ $197 -$638 10-03 13:21
will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31 Yes +815 $405 22¢ $175 -$230 07-08 14:35
National Popular Vote Compact implemented before the 2028 election? Yes +318 $105 52¢ $167 +$62 11-08 20:36
Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +479 $109 29¢ $141 +$32 11-08 18:14
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +168 $129 82¢ $139 +$10 11-08 00:34
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +300 $149 44¢ $134 -$16 11-06 17:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +253 $77 36¢ $91 +$14 11-08 15:27
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +166 $42 46¢ $77 +$35 10-28 17:06
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 Yes +2,173 $600 3¢ $64 -$536 07-08 14:35
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? Yes +2,192 $60 3¢ $61 +$1 10-11 16:07
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +177 $103 32¢ $56 -$47 10-16 22:51
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +145 $34 27¢ $39 +$5 10-28 17:06
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $80 6¢ $28 -$52 05-26 17:15
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +87 $17 31¢ $27 +$10 10-13 18:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $15 64¢ $0 -$15 11-03 01:05