Few-Apparel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

217

Trades

1,105

lifetime

Volume

$203.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$184

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 09-03 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Tech

54% 62% +$114

Other

36% 60% -$920

Politics

7% 42% -$385

Sports

3% 56% +$92

Crypto

0% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	23	$15.3K	9,134	9,079	+55	Yes	-$195	04-23 18:09
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	3	$13.2K	6,861	6,861	+0	No	+$448	03-24 00:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$11.9K	6,134	6,134	+0	Yes	+$376	03-03 18:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	36	$11.8K	10,630	10,630	+0	No	+$939	04-27 16:19
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	18	$10.1K	44,060	54,060	-10,000	No	+$578	02-19 18:05
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	13	$9.7K	4,575	5,575	-1,000	No	+$134	06-13 16:05
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	5	$9.2K	4,662	4,662	+0	Yes	+$128	03-03 20:29
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	9	$6.5K	4,150	2,495	+1,655	Yes	+$112	05-19 16:29
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	28	$6.2K	6,826	3,960	+2,865	Yes	+$369	06-26 17:27
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	8	$6.1K	3,459	3,459	+0	Yes	+$841	05-28 17:00
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	4	$5.3K	5,582	0	+5,582	Yes	+$285	02-19 19:28
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 1000m jordan stolz usa	2	$5.0K	5,055	0	+5,055	Yes	+$5	02-11 18:59
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	23	$4.8K	6,629	6,629	+0	No	+$880	02-25 20:59
gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	2	$4.4K	2,223	2,223	+0	Yes	+$47	03-03 20:29
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	6	$4.1K	1,421	2,979	-1,559	No	+$78	05-15 19:01
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	4	$3.2K	2,204	2,204	+0	No	-$143	04-07 22:44
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	5	$3.1K	4,459	2,406	+2,054	Yes	-$443	06-30 23:42
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$3.0K	2,046	2,046	-0	Yes	+$86	02-09 19:54
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2.6K	2,697	0	+2,697	No	+$57	04-30 01:39
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	30	$2.6K	5,563	1,851	+3,712	No	-$567	06-18 14:08
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	11	$2.4K	23	3,040	-3,017	No	-$689	04-29 00:46
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.2K	2,523	2,523	+0	Yes	+$505	06-07 18:46
enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	6	$2.2K	1,421	1,421	+0	No	+$611	07-21 23:16
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	11	$2.2K	2,342	0	+2,342	Yes	+$160	04-30 02:28
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,467	1,467	-0	Yes	+$382	06-07 18:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,093	1,093	+0	Yes	+$218	04-07 22:45
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,037	1,037	+0	No	+$330	04-21 09:17
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	17	$1.6K	1,908	1,500	+408	No	+$56	04-07 23:15
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.5K	1,453	1,254	+199	No	-$52	04-29 00:45
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	43	$1.5K	2,094	2,094	+0	Yes	-$118	04-03 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 19:54:25	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	SELL	1,292	3¢	$41	0xfaf665…
09-03 16:14:49	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1,292	96¢	$1,239	0x8eb937…
08-03 03:14:56	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	561	88¢	$495	0xf501d3…
08-03 03:14:26	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	777	0¢	$1	0x440772…
07-29 23:16:08	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,696	0¢	$2	0x938735…
07-27 23:19:30	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	180	5¢	$9	0x2c0e7d…
07-27 23:19:21	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$58	0x98e72c…
07-26 19:55:24	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	430	5¢	$21	0x5128d1…
07-26 19:53:00	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	477	7¢	$32	0xbc3751…
07-26 19:53:00	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	450	6¢	$26	0x500ad4…
07-26 19:50:09	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	3,314	5¢	$154	0xe35114…
07-21 23:16:19	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	No	SELL	1,421	99¢	$1,408	0xa71ca9…
07-19 22:43:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	590	6¢	$35	0x05c35a…
07-16 13:16:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xb5e73f…
07-14 20:36:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	178	9¢	$16	0xd442de…
07-14 19:05:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x4e98c8…
07-13 05:42:08	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	358	15¢	$54	0xffb456…
07-13 05:41:53	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	1,193	16¢	$186	0xe707e2…
07-12 00:58:14	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xad9e7f…
07-11 23:31:05	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xa2eb6e…
07-11 23:16:31	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	No	BUY	505	50¢	$252	0x2a9f04…
07-11 22:00:01	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	49¢	$51	0x8d7abe…
07-11 18:14:46	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	48¢	$38	0x677320…
07-11 18:14:40	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	48¢	$75	0xcc4359…
07-11 12:29:22	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	No	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x5ba97a…
07-10 20:34:43	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	No	BUY	542	35¢	$190	0x90cc8d…
07-10 20:29:22	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x883ac2…
07-10 20:28:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1,072	64¢	$685	0x491840…
07-10 20:28:44	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	121	57¢	$69	0x6841c6…
07-10 17:05:55	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	129	23¢	$30	0xbb846a…
07-10 17:05:46	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	226	47¢	$105	0xde3b37…
07-10 17:02:58	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6a6368…
07-10 17:02:55	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	No	BUY	29	92¢	$26	0x6f8da2…
07-10 17:02:41	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	BUY	451	94¢	$422	0xd803e5…
07-09 16:59:17	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	485	43¢	$207	0x20d0f7…
07-09 16:57:52	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	327	44¢	$145	0xad8839…
07-08 16:13:47	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	179	70¢	$125	0xee7ac0…
07-08 16:04:05	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x8d0d1b…
07-08 16:03:53	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,696	18¢	$305	0x8afff7…
07-08 16:02:07	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x351e37…
07-08 16:01:35	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	197	83¢	$164	0x05d999…
07-06 21:02:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	500	66¢	$328	0xbe48fb…
07-06 21:00:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	491	47¢	$231	0x14fccd…
07-06 21:00:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x92a766…
07-06 11:27:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	78	69¢	$54	0xe72214…
07-03 16:43:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	78	44¢	$34	0x7414b5…
07-03 11:28:02	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	706	12¢	$88	0xccf58f…
07-02 20:02:40	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0xa19053…
07-02 20:02:37	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	602	9¢	$56	0x26eeba…
07-02 15:06:55	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	314	19¢	$60	0xeccdee…
06-30 23:55:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	400	91¢	$363	0x6aa13d…
06-30 23:54:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	209	91¢	$190	0x79d48a…
06-30 23:42:44	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	285	95¢	$271	0xefdd29…
06-30 23:41:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	1,769	90¢	$1,590	0xf9b205…
06-30 23:40:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1,058	68¢	$723	0x4d01f7…
06-30 22:38:28	will claude be restored for international customers by december 31 20260629151305734	Yes	BUY	60	73¢	$43	0x000d76…
06-30 13:52:22	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	274	91¢	$250	0xddcf55…
06-26 18:23:11	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	987	1¢	$10	0xf46bb3…
06-26 17:58:17	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	4,874	0¢	$9	0x5fe3b1…
06-26 17:27:50	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	610	95¢	$582	0x032db4…
06-26 17:22:59	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x2384d5…
06-26 17:22:31	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x5a2e8d…
06-26 17:22:26	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	920	5¢	$48	0xd02b5b…
06-26 17:21:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6,285	4¢	$251	0xe8fc89…
06-26 17:21:44	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	91¢	$915	0x817274…
06-26 17:21:17	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,291	4¢	$50	0x836fd3…
06-25 16:53:22	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xec9a01…
06-23 15:20:55	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	591	76¢	$450	0x63ff31…
06-23 15:13:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	1,940	8¢	$155	0xb495f4…
06-23 15:13:46	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	2,406	13¢	$314	0xb9c874…
06-23 14:53:05	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	207	87¢	$180	0x655082…
06-23 14:52:43	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb298e9…
06-23 14:52:41	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0xb3ef0a…
06-23 14:51:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	Yes	SELL	701	9¢	$63	0xcea5f4…
06-23 14:51:08	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	264	3¢	$8	0x178433…
06-23 14:51:04	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,750	2¢	$51	0x69b066…
06-23 03:29:58	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	25	82¢	$21	0xd5acc9…
06-23 03:29:46	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0x808ea8…
06-23 03:29:19	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2578ea…
06-23 03:28:59	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xaf2366…
06-23 03:28:38	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	27	80¢	$22	0x453880…
06-23 03:28:13	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	33	65¢	$22	0x7056cd…
06-23 03:27:52	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x9c0e4a…
06-23 03:22:20	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	85¢	$144	0xe6dacf…
06-22 13:43:49	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,191	33¢	$391	0x8ad656…
06-22 04:43:10	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	49¢	$492	0xe2f759…
06-22 04:41:28	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	69¢	$276	0x7cde1d…
06-22 04:39:31	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	595	56¢	$331	0x8a9e14…
06-22 04:33:47	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	39¢	$54	0x249e7a…
06-22 04:33:26	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	BUY	264	39¢	$104	0xbb9c5c…
06-22 04:32:32	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	SELL	400	96¢	$384	0x09e0b8…
06-20 21:25:46	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xe39044…
06-20 21:24:50	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x939d0d…
06-20 16:41:01	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x168374…
06-19 20:49:11	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xffb832…
06-19 12:36:32	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0xc57544…
06-19 11:02:55	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	833	34¢	$280	0x6a52c1…
06-18 16:23:47	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	77¢	$207	0xae8554…
06-18 14:56:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	1,767	60¢	$1,059	0xa1d9a1…
06-18 14:08:23	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x8397ee…