Flaky-Whistle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

300 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$39.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-25 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

35% 93% +$35

Politics

34% 90% -$44

Crypto

21% 82% +$19

Tech

10% 80% +$0

Sports

0% 67% -$116

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+7	$3	16¢	$1	-$2	05-14 09:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	23	$3.5K	1,957	1,608	+349	No	+$11	02-21 05:40
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$1.9K	955	955	+0	No	+$0	01-13 06:46
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	25	$1.9K	947	947	+0	No	+$1	02-16 09:16
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	2	$1.7K	871	860	+11	No	+$0	03-07 02:15
Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$1.7K	871	871	+0	Yes	+$16	03-06 10:08
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	2	$1.7K	853	853	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 02:14
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	2	$1.7K	846	846	+0	No	+$0	03-04 14:50
will hillary say island during her epstein testimony	3	$1.7K	846	846	+0	No	+$6	03-05 14:14
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	9	$1.7K	837	837	+0	No	+$0	03-03 16:49
idOS FDV above $80M one day after launch?	2	$1.7K	860	800	+60	No	+$0	03-07 05:40
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$1.3K	672	672	+0	No	+$0	02-13 06:26
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	4	$1.1K	549	549	+0	No	+$1	01-03 06:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$954	648	323	+325	Yes	+$6	01-23 14:34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	13	$950	483	483	+0	No	+$2	05-22 10:32
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	16	$909	456	456	+0	No	+$1	01-10 01:57
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$832	834	0	+834	Yes	+$2	03-04 14:54
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$670	336	336	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 06:12
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	9	$667	336	336	+0	Yes	+$3	02-04 14:52
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	5	$645	324	323	+1	No	+$0	01-09 03:16
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	3	$644	323	323	+0	No	+$0	01-07 13:10
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$641	321	321	+0	Yes	+$1	01-02 05:12
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$640	323	323	+0	No	+$0	01-12 08:17
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	2	$599	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 12:11
will hillary say bill clinton during her epstein testimony	2	$596	299	299	+0	No	+$2	03-05 14:08
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$518	270	249	+21	No	+$0	01-04 03:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$385	239	239	+0	Yes	-$88	03-03 12:32
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$367	186	186	+0	No	+$1	04-23 16:51
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	7	$364	185	185	+0	No	+$1	07-19 09:41
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	2	$346	175	175	+0	No	+$2	07-08 13:31
will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	1	$340	340	0	+340	Yes	+$0	02-19 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 22:37:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x56f98b…
07-23 14:26:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x887474…
07-19 09:41:39	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x7490bb…
07-18 17:26:55	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x94a58d…
07-18 09:30:06	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac4213…
07-18 09:13:46	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x547e52…
07-13 19:26:16	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xcc87df…
07-13 18:42:58	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd670da…
07-13 18:42:44	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x5cf762…
07-08 13:31:14	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0xe78610…
07-08 13:30:53	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x8639bd…
07-07 17:33:41	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	175	98¢	$172	0x63ac67…
07-05 13:21:02	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd962b2…
06-28 13:40:53	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5beb96…
06-21 15:46:01	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2031a3…
06-21 08:28:23	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0c9b44…
06-21 02:36:01	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	163	2¢	$4	0xec60ae…
06-17 04:07:11	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	131	94¢	$123	0x3043b2…
06-16 18:07:10	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xad77c0…
06-10 12:25:52	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x02fc17…
06-04 12:37:42	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x75dcbd…
06-04 03:15:49	will sonia kacker advance from the ca 26 primary election	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x887631…
06-02 02:47:23	Will Sonia Kacker advance from the CA-26 primary election?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7f21f6…
06-02 02:46:45	Will Sonia Kacker advance from the CA-26 primary election?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4e4e2d…
05-27 12:41:25	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0xa6f222…
05-27 04:16:18	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf64bd5…
05-24 13:52:38	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x14cd14…
05-22 10:32:41	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	166	98¢	$164	0xe4c8fa…
05-21 15:24:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$163	0xdca08c…
05-21 11:59:14	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e6d20…
05-19 00:11:20	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x812d28…
05-18 17:46:36	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd08a26…
05-18 16:08:25	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x88601f…
05-17 13:44:03	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x820242…
05-17 08:40:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x17c2a7…
05-17 08:38:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x40b849…
05-17 08:13:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4466eb…
05-17 08:10:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$117	0x1a7d1e…
05-17 08:06:29	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x042c51…
05-17 02:39:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$185	0x1d346d…
05-16 15:13:40	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x03c23d…
05-16 13:06:00	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xf11740…
05-16 13:06:00	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	68	85¢	$58	0xd06b22…
05-15 11:47:02	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x80e9d1…
05-15 11:46:34	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x5abdb7…
05-15 11:45:59	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xbc513d…
05-14 10:22:51	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa06e2c…
05-14 10:04:05	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x300697…
05-14 09:52:27	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe879eb…
05-14 09:51:29	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x55ea69…
05-14 09:50:58	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebe344…
05-14 09:48:34	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x357225…
05-14 09:47:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc1aa2c…
05-09 13:04:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xe24846…
05-09 12:56:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xffd974…
05-08 23:01:36	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x8b2cbe…
05-08 13:44:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x67f0b2…
05-06 14:49:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xe6739a…
04-25 12:50:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0xdbc496…
04-23 16:51:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x42eb4b…
04-21 11:10:14	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x6cedae…
04-20 04:20:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x23a8ec…
04-20 04:15:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$30	0x195124…
04-19 13:13:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x9fc397…
04-17 05:11:28	will trump say air force during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0xa99504…
04-15 10:11:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x548173…
04-15 07:54:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x05e6d8…
04-14 14:44:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x978ed0…
04-14 03:32:35	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x12c257…
04-14 02:01:21	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x81d068…
04-12 06:27:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xfb5527…
04-11 04:52:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x37b511…
04-10 14:05:49	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x3e7f40…
04-10 11:10:11	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xf32c1d…
04-09 05:58:23	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x75f177…
04-09 05:43:49	will jd vance say venezuela during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb4d6db…
04-09 05:28:49	will jd vance say venezuela during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x341df9…
04-09 03:59:07	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xd80370…
04-09 03:58:13	will jd vance say venezuela during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xd485e1…
04-08 17:50:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x430eba…
04-08 06:37:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xf87f8a…
04-07 03:49:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xe67cec…
04-06 03:49:23	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x8f5b58…
03-29 01:08:54	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x2f9ec5…
03-28 13:31:29	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad38bf…
03-27 10:46:15	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x203619…
03-25 05:24:57	will melania say intelligence during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbdb49d…
03-25 05:24:37	will melania say challenge during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0a97d…
03-24 13:33:43	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0f1fc9…
03-21 06:10:27	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x1da8c8…
03-20 02:28:33	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x815d08…
03-16 02:40:51	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x327dfb…
03-16 02:37:45	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x915abb…
03-16 02:37:07	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf8167b…
03-14 04:38:17	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x2e7e52…
03-12 09:10:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x09e146…
03-11 04:40:01	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x0a1c0f…
03-11 03:31:07	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xfbe5ad…
03-10 13:18:19	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x21edcb…
03-07 05:40:09	idOS FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0x4ad58e…