Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
66
lifetime
Volume
$499
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$38
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-28 02:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
96%
Tech
2%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +13 $11 86¢ $11 $-0 06-05 16:11
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-01 14:09
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-02 00:38
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-02 15:54
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:14
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:12
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:44
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:21
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:15
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:22
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-01 14:12
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-01 14:19
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-01 14:11
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-17 16:38
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 06-01 14:11