Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

674

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 08-12 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$2

Other

29% 100% +$3

Politics

18% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	28	$1.5K	1,559	1,559	+0	open	—	08-11 08:08
Fed rate hike in 2026?	13	$1.3K	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	08-12 12:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	12	$1.2K	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	07-08 02:24
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	22	$1.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	07-16 22:38
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	6	$803	746	746	+0	open	—	07-28 01:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$702	413	413	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	5	$596	607	607	+0	open	—	07-21 14:38
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$432	304	304	+0	open	—	08-02 02:12
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	24	$429	329	329	+0	open	—	07-05 01:11
btc updown 5m 1782470100	1	$422	426	0	+426	open	—	06-26 10:39
eth updown 5m 1782363300	1	$422	423	0	+423	open	—	06-25 04:59
eth updown 5m 1782394500	1	$422	423	0	+423	open	—	06-25 13:39
sol updown 5m 1782331500	1	$422	423	0	+423	open	—	06-24 20:09
sol updown 15m 1782511200	4	$420	421	0	+421	open	—	06-26 22:14
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$418	417	417	+0	open	—	07-07 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$395	274	274	+0	open	—	07-02 14:24
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	2	$370	398	398	+0	open	—	07-26 22:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	08-02 06:58
eth updown 5m 1782385500	1	$321	322	0	+322	open	—	06-25 11:09
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	4	$306	320	320	+0	open	—	07-11 08:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	08-02 23:36
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	2	$255	148	148	+0	open	—	07-12 10:24
atp jodar musetti 2026 08 06	2	$254	289	289	+0	open	—	08-06 12:35
will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	3	$254	259	259	+0	open	—	07-06 14:40
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$242	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 08:08
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$230	177	177	+0	open	—	07-01 10:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$224	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 08:08
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$203	200	200	+0	open	—	07-31 15:31
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 00:41
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	7	$192	354	354	+0	open	—	07-20 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:35:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	433	54¢	$234	0xbb788f…
08-12 12:31:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	249	31¢	$77	0x52caaa…
08-12 12:30:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	54¢	$234	0x7f127a…
08-12 12:30:21	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	31¢	$77	0x2d3fc3…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	107	78¢	$83	0xa3c1c6…
08-10 13:54:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	107	77¢	$82	0xce00c0…
08-09 20:31:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x763286…
08-09 15:31:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xc27820…
08-07 17:21:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	54¢	$103	0xe8d18c…
08-07 16:20:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	54¢	$103	0x04daaa…
08-06 12:35:50	atp jodar musetti 2026 08 06	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	289	44¢	$127	0xa646e5…
08-06 12:35:48	atp jodar musetti 2026 08 06	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	289	44¢	$127	0x9a9e05…
08-06 07:33:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	66	63¢	$42	0x775293…
08-06 06:24:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	66	63¢	$42	0xac25b9…
08-04 15:16:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	25¢	$40	0xe3d8e0…
08-04 14:06:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xfe96a6…
08-02 23:36:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x22678e…
08-02 23:21:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x9acd15…
08-02 06:58:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	175	81¢	$142	0x605f8e…
08-02 06:51:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xfd9d5e…
08-02 06:48:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xc90131…
08-02 06:43:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd30094…
08-02 06:42:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x5d18fe…
08-02 06:38:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x01af8f…
08-02 02:29:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	106	69¢	$73	0x33ca36…
08-02 02:12:47	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	304	71¢	$216	0x47689b…
08-02 02:12:44	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	304	71¢	$216	0x409ffe…
08-02 01:53:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x52c6c9…
08-01 23:35:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	11	67¢	$8	0x570d05…
08-01 23:35:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x4afe66…
08-01 23:30:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x909401…
08-01 23:24:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	39	67¢	$26	0xa28673…
08-01 23:24:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xfda3ac…
08-01 23:24:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0x5af2c7…
08-01 23:24:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	106	67¢	$71	0x687d4e…
08-01 20:53:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xa0e5cb…
07-31 16:29:00	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3ef9d3…
07-31 16:27:56	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x918bfe…
07-31 15:31:09	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x15da62…
07-31 15:31:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x054082…
07-30 17:57:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x5361e8…
07-30 17:57:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	27¢	$30	0x7419f8…
07-30 17:56:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xf64879…
07-30 17:53:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	27¢	$29	0xeac7e0…
07-30 17:23:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	26¢	$57	0x2f3879…
07-30 16:54:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	27¢	$60	0x97c704…
07-30 16:54:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	26¢	$57	0x43560d…
07-28 01:49:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x387700…
07-28 01:47:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x2730fb…
07-26 22:42:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	398	42¢	$167	0x620fcf…
07-26 20:05:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	398	51¢	$203	0xbbda66…
07-23 10:16:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	274	58¢	$159	0x01b50d…
07-23 09:40:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	274	66¢	$181	0xf9e698…
07-23 06:40:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0xf4f178…
07-23 06:39:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x7cc980…
07-23 06:39:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x091613…
07-23 06:39:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x98be27…
07-23 06:38:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x7d4857…
07-23 06:38:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x8191e6…
07-23 06:38:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	351	30¢	$105	0x8b0f65…
07-22 18:00:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	289	65¢	$188	0xdcd40f…
07-22 17:44:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	289	65¢	$188	0xe96476…
07-22 06:35:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	153	53¢	$81	0x84a09e…
07-22 06:35:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	242	61¢	$148	0x0cfe0e…
07-22 00:37:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x7e66e4…
07-22 00:32:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	SELL	72	48¢	$35	0x3ed322…
07-21 20:59:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	242	64¢	$155	0x53d4ec…
07-21 17:43:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	SELL	127	47¢	$60	0x9b1acd…
07-21 14:38:24	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	257	61¢	$157	0x7fc0db…
07-21 05:25:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	257	61¢	$157	0xe149d2…
07-20 22:56:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	153	65¢	$99	0x52237b…
07-20 07:49:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	70	10¢	$7	0x632658…
07-20 07:49:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	SELL	96	62¢	$60	0x9d7559…
07-19 05:59:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	40¢	$42	0xf0ee48…
07-19 02:40:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	40¢	$42	0xd5effc…
07-16 22:38:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	224	59¢	$132	0x3fe84b…
07-16 11:50:29	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0x176762…
07-16 04:21:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	304	37¢	$112	0xb27691…
07-15 17:30:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	224	59¢	$132	0xcda29a…
07-15 14:18:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	304	37¢	$112	0x2c1650…
07-15 11:48:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	213	23¢	$49	0x107761…
07-15 06:55:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x27828b…
07-15 06:54:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x7686c8…
07-15 06:48:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x28f5c4…
07-15 06:48:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x733be5…
07-15 06:48:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	354	32¢	$113	0x6d30f7…
07-12 10:24:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	148	86¢	$127	0x512936…
07-12 00:41:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xbdc615…
07-12 00:33:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x4fc0fb…
07-11 13:52:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	148	86¢	$127	0xed7481…
07-11 08:10:14	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	55	46¢	$25	0x2bd998…
07-11 08:09:38	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x6655d7…
07-11 08:08:44	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x2b2e7c…
07-11 08:08:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x59f39c…
07-11 07:41:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	70	88¢	$62	0x8ac5d2…
07-11 02:02:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xce65ed…
07-10 21:30:17	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x608427…
07-10 21:30:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xddc377…
07-10 20:49:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xf2ed41…
07-10 20:49:34	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xdbed5e…