Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$79

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-21 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 100% +$2

Other

20% 100% +$3

Politics

14% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		+153	$99	52¢	$79	$-21	07-20 22:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	12	$1.2K	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	07-08 02:24
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	22	$1.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	07-16 22:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$702	413	413	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	5	$596	607	607	+0	open	—	07-21 14:38
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	24	$429	329	329	+0	open	—	07-05 01:11
btc updown 5m 1782470100	1	$422	426	0	+426	open	—	06-26 10:39
eth updown 5m 1782394500	1	$422	423	0	+423	open	—	06-25 13:39
eth updown 5m 1782363300	1	$422	423	0	+423	open	—	06-25 04:59
sol updown 5m 1782331500	1	$422	423	0	+423	open	—	06-24 20:09
sol updown 15m 1782511200	4	$420	421	0	+421	open	—	06-26 22:14
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$418	417	417	+0	open	—	07-07 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$395	274	274	+0	open	—	07-02 14:24
eth updown 5m 1782385500	1	$321	322	0	+322	open	—	06-25 11:09
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	4	$306	320	320	+0	open	—	07-11 08:10
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	2	$255	148	148	+0	open	—	07-12 10:24
will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	3	$254	259	259	+0	open	—	07-06 14:40
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$242	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 08:08
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$230	177	177	+0	open	—	07-01 10:26
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	2	$225	304	304	+0	open	—	07-16 04:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$224	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 08:08
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 00:41
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	7	$192	354	354	+0	open	—	07-20 07:49
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	3	$183	257	104	+153	open	—	07-20 22:56
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	3	$175	236	236	+0	open	—	07-07 11:29
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$158	220	220	+0	open	—	06-30 03:04
btc updown 5m 1782396000	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	06-25 14:04
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	2	$129	96	96	+0	open	—	07-20 07:49
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	07-11 08:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	3	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	07-11 07:41
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	07-05 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:43:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	SELL	127	47¢	$60	0x9b1acd…
07-21 14:38:24	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	257	61¢	$157	0x7fc0db…
07-21 05:25:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	257	61¢	$157	0xe149d2…
07-20 22:56:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	153	65¢	$99	0x52237b…
07-20 07:49:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	70	10¢	$7	0x632658…
07-20 07:49:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	SELL	96	62¢	$60	0x9d7559…
07-19 05:59:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	40¢	$42	0xf0ee48…
07-19 02:40:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	40¢	$42	0xd5effc…
07-16 22:38:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	224	59¢	$132	0x3fe84b…
07-16 11:50:29	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0x176762…
07-16 04:21:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	304	37¢	$112	0xb27691…
07-15 17:30:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	224	59¢	$132	0xcda29a…
07-15 14:18:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	304	37¢	$112	0x2c1650…
07-15 11:48:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	213	23¢	$49	0x107761…
07-15 06:55:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x27828b…
07-15 06:54:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x7686c8…
07-15 06:48:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x28f5c4…
07-15 06:48:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x733be5…
07-15 06:48:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	354	32¢	$113	0x6d30f7…
07-12 10:24:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	148	86¢	$127	0x512936…
07-12 00:41:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xbdc615…
07-12 00:33:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x4fc0fb…
07-11 13:52:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	148	86¢	$127	0xed7481…
07-11 08:10:14	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	55	46¢	$25	0x2bd998…
07-11 08:09:38	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x6655d7…
07-11 08:08:44	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x2b2e7c…
07-11 08:08:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x59f39c…
07-11 07:41:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	70	88¢	$62	0x8ac5d2…
07-11 02:02:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xce65ed…
07-10 21:30:17	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x608427…
07-10 21:30:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xddc377…
07-10 20:49:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xf2ed41…
07-10 20:49:34	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xdbed5e…
07-09 09:58:29	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	221	48¢	$106	0x493263…
07-09 09:57:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x11378c…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	48¢	$154	0xacacc7…
07-08 21:54:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x7f6653…
07-08 21:53:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x374657…
07-08 21:51:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x032351…
07-08 21:18:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x536d25…
07-08 21:18:23	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xfec76f…
07-08 21:17:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe1b5e6…
07-08 21:16:41	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xf8b13d…
07-08 21:15:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xab53ff…
07-08 21:15:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x6f92cc…
07-08 21:15:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x18a1fa…
07-08 21:13:35	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x96e2ff…
07-08 21:13:35	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x17c5de…
07-08 21:13:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xb285ed…
07-08 21:13:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x80b151…
07-08 21:04:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	154	53¢	$82	0x354ac8…
07-08 21:03:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0xa7d663…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	284	37¢	$105	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	284	37¢	$105	0x83f958…
07-07 23:23:41	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	210	58¢	$121	0x0ddd57…
07-07 23:14:49	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	417	47¢	$197	0x4dfe92…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	210	65¢	$136	0xd34ded…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	417	53¢	$221	0xed6c15…
07-07 14:05:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x35eeca…
07-07 14:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	222	38¢	$85	0x33e7a2…
07-07 13:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	246	38¢	$93	0x4a5733…
07-07 11:29:55	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	232	37¢	$86	0xe53149…
07-07 11:29:55	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x16f0d6…
07-07 11:29:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	236	37¢	$87	0x4517c2…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	364	61¢	$222	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	364	61¢	$222	0xa9f42a…
07-06 14:40:20	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x320cff…
07-06 14:40:08	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	252	49¢	$123	0xfd0b3d…
07-06 14:40:05	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	259	49¢	$127	0xef1d37…
07-06 14:30:29	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	36¢	$50	0xeff68f…
07-06 10:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	69¢	$36	0xb04e76…
07-06 10:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x0bdb15…
07-06 10:42:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xb45513…
07-06 10:42:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x5ba5fd…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	279	69¢	$193	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 10:14:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	37¢	$78	0x8c6f9c…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	44¢	$154	0x3c071a…
07-05 08:57:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	292	31¢	$91	0x57c6c9…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	292	31¢	$91	0x66f9c2…
07-05 01:54:19	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x498a85…
07-05 01:45:53	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x3651ae…
07-05 01:11:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	109	67¢	$73	0xba00fe…
07-05 01:04:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x5a1955…
07-04 22:10:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xea6cbb…
07-04 21:35:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x47ced4…
07-04 21:27:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	129	67¢	$86	0xd657e4…
07-04 15:58:14	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x58609c…
07-04 15:58:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0xff3503…
07-04 15:58:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xe85d65…
07-04 15:58:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbe4009…
07-04 15:58:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x276c6b…
07-03 19:46:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	29	64¢	$18	0x9a2bf9…
07-03 19:44:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x0062c9…
07-03 19:43:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	64¢	$9	0x35865f…
07-03 19:43:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x594b01…
07-03 19:42:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xea5ea1…
07-03 19:42:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xcb6e2e…
07-03 19:42:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	37	64¢	$24	0x9faddc…
07-03 19:41:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x17ee39…
07-03 19:41:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x49ca4d…