Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$504

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

359

Trades

959

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 08-30 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

42% 48% -$199

Crypto

32% 99% +$45

Politics

19% 20% -$291

Sports

6% 36% -$51

Tech

1% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		+0	-$1	45¢	$0	+$1	08-15 22:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	36	$2.0K	2,752	2,752	+0	open	—	08-25 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	23	$1.6K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	08-26 16:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	30	$1.4K	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	08-15 22:08
Fed rate hike in 2026?	15	$1.4K	1,424	1,424	+0	Yes	-$10	08-30 19:31
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	24	$1.3K	1,218	1,218	+0	No	-$16	08-14 14:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.1K	908	908	+0	Yes	+$0	08-19 13:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	23	$971	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	08-26 09:41
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	8	$873	950	950	+0	open	—	08-17 20:35
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	17	$795	1,018	1,018	+0	Yes	-$4	08-18 09:36
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	18	$750	726	726	+0	Yes	-$25	08-13 15:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$703	506	506	+0	open	—	08-20 12:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$702	413	413	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	4	$685	563	563	+0	No	-$21	08-26 09:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	4	$656	400	400	+0	No	+$0	08-25 23:57
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	16	$635	900	900	+0	Yes	$0	08-28 06:05
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	6	$554	658	658	+0	Yes	+$0	08-29 04:29
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$498	494	494	+0	No	+$2	07-21 11:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	6	$479	464	464	+0	Yes	-$1	08-29 03:57
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	4	$476	504	504	+0	open	—	08-19 14:03
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$476	407	407	+0	No	-$40	07-15 11:53
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	4	$470	521	521	+0	No	+$12	07-11 19:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$448	475	475	+0	No	-$5	08-29 07:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	4	$430	411	411	+0	No	-$22	08-20 09:24
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	24	$429	329	329	+0	Yes	+$0	07-05 01:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 10:35 UTC	1	$422	426	0	+426	Down	+$4	06-26 10:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:55 UTC	1	$422	423	0	+423	Up	+$1	06-25 04:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:05 UTC	1	$422	423	0	+423	Up	+$1	06-24 20:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 13:35 UTC	1	$422	423	0	+423	Down	+$1	06-25 13:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 22:00 UTC	4	$420	421	0	+421	Down	+$1	06-26 22:14
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$418	417	417	+0	No	-$24	07-07 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 19:31:51	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xabe7fb…
08-30 19:31:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	71	78¢	$55	0x3f16fe…
08-30 19:31:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	161	34¢	$55	0x5b3e31…
08-30 19:18:10	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	71	82¢	$58	0x3edb1a…
08-30 19:13:12	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xdffca2…
08-29 15:24:33	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	92	54¢	$50	0x4f16ab…
08-29 15:22:10	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x6b8ff7…
08-29 11:28:33	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	102	56¢	$57	0xc11800…
08-29 11:27:58	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	SELL	196	43¢	$84	0x98fec5…
08-29 10:23:09	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	53¢	$52	0x55ded2…
08-29 07:48:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	230	43¢	$99	0xc8d0dc…
08-29 07:37:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	230	43¢	$99	0xfbc3ce…
08-29 07:07:45	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x282e81…
08-29 07:07:30	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0xaf4167…
08-29 04:29:27	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	146	54¢	$79	0x412c99…
08-29 04:23:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	146	54¢	$79	0x97a1d3…
08-29 03:57:28	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	144	60¢	$87	0xa6f34c…
08-29 03:57:25	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	60¢	$87	0x95db82…
08-29 02:18:04	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	89	63¢	$56	0x36c0ae…
08-29 01:43:15	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	263	46¢	$121	0xe3b3d5…
08-29 01:43:12	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	263	46¢	$121	0x6e1114…
08-28 18:50:37	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	102	56¢	$57	0x86045a…
08-28 15:08:19	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x8ac68f…
08-28 14:03:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	161	40¢	$64	0x5a642c…
08-28 06:05:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0x4e24b3…
08-28 06:05:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	201	24¢	$48	0xec94b7…
08-28 06:05:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	76	25¢	$19	0xaa11b5…
08-28 06:05:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x9c8dc3…
08-28 06:05:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x8c06d8…
08-28 06:05:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	86	25¢	$22	0x0ad75c…
08-28 06:05:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	201	24¢	$48	0xb4af07…
08-28 06:05:36	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	201	25¢	$50	0x5080f2…
08-27 16:23:15	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	63¢	$50	0x2dc7f6…
08-27 12:20:34	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	186	63¢	$117	0x3b8cf1…
08-27 01:53:48	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	98	54¢	$53	0x579f64…
08-26 17:03:30	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	102	61¢	$62	0x97cfbc…
08-26 16:08:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	79	36¢	$28	0x2068fd…
08-26 16:08:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x998ced…
08-26 16:07:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xe2eed4…
08-26 16:07:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x9b7ca6…
08-26 16:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	247	36¢	$89	0x21c3a8…
08-26 16:07:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	352	36¢	$127	0xdbafe0…
08-26 15:32:07	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0xd33e13…
08-26 15:30:22	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x1bfce8…
08-26 14:40:58	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	SELL	71	71¢	$50	0x4ea7b4…
08-26 11:18:33	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xc3d5a3…
08-26 09:41:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	158	44¢	$69	0x5f90b3…
08-26 09:10:13	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	323	56¢	$181	0xdf9f8e…
08-26 08:05:34	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	BUY	323	61¢	$197	0x4330ba…
08-26 03:12:06	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xe36f2b…
08-26 03:11:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x412376…
08-26 03:11:54	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0xa9871b…
08-26 03:11:30	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	205	44¢	$90	0xee5997…
08-26 00:36:27	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	240	63¢	$151	0x4b3c6e…
08-25 23:57:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xfa3c28…
08-25 23:52:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xa1002d…
08-25 19:38:15	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	BUY	240	65¢	$156	0xecd498…
08-25 16:57:13	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xc075a5…
08-25 16:57:10	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x496cf7…
08-25 14:42:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	14¢	$33	0xfd60b6…
08-25 09:42:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	16¢	$38	0xb89586…
08-25 09:42:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	16¢	$38	0xf3b851…
08-25 09:42:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0xdc6ff6…
08-25 03:01:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	45¢	$36	0x2c57fc…
08-25 03:01:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x7371cd…
08-25 03:01:43	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x75e0cb…
08-25 03:01:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	45¢	$68	0x7ac8b2…
08-25 03:01:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	247	45¢	$111	0x6b014c…
08-24 12:45:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	387	13¢	$50	0x0c249f…
08-24 07:49:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	23¢	$89	0x9dc101…
08-23 03:26:52	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	46¢	$49	0xdad7de…
08-23 03:26:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	46¢	$17	0x584944…
08-23 03:26:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	142	46¢	$65	0x1ec5a0…
08-22 14:00:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x299722…
08-22 14:00:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x2c06d1…
08-22 14:00:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	38	73¢	$28	0x026f05…
08-22 11:00:25	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	46¢	$48	0x52171f…
08-22 10:49:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	46¢	$15	0xc922a9…
08-22 10:48:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x23059f…
08-22 10:48:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x722b0f…
08-22 10:48:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	163	46¢	$75	0xcbe87a…
08-22 00:53:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	336	25¢	$84	0x757b80…
08-21 23:46:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0x226801…
08-21 19:53:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	27¢	$91	0x226b12…
08-21 18:44:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	104	73¢	$76	0x4cebf0…
08-21 16:28:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	148	49¢	$73	0x51cc29…
08-21 04:23:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	141	48¢	$68	0xb4f2f6…
08-21 04:23:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$4	0x876a70…
08-21 04:22:58	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	48¢	$71	0xb87023…
08-21 03:15:36	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	67	35¢	$23	0xfe184f…
08-21 03:15:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x60ba3a…
08-21 03:15:27	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x4b9e68…
08-20 14:07:00	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x110abe…
08-20 13:28:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x3b4d50…
08-20 12:46:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0x1dde99…
08-20 12:45:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x1e3d24…
08-20 12:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	229	33¢	$76	0x9b273e…
08-20 12:31:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	70¢	$20	0x7c0218…
08-20 12:31:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xd2db0d…
08-20 12:31:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xf22e38…