Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
176
Trades
542
lifetime
Volume
$1.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$60
7 positions
First seen
2026-07-01
last 10-28 04:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
49% 50% -$19
Other
47% 39% -$4
Sports
2% 67% $0
Tech
1% 50% -$3
Crypto
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-28 04:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-28 04:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-28 04:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-25 23:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 18:22
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $3 $0 10-25 01:10
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$0 10-22 05:30