Realized P&L (7d)
+$82
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
181
181 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.44K
$1.44K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$111
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-15 03:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
73% 75% +$68
Politics
27% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? No -40 $-40 99¢ $-40 $-0 05-12 20:45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? No +38 $37 93¢ $36 $-2 05-12 05:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Yes +40 $11 62¢ $25 +$14 05-12 20:57
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -20 $-6 32¢ $-6 +$0 05-15 03:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Yes -9 $-1 26¢ $-2 $-2 05-14 01:25
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -3 $-2 51¢ $-2 +$0 05-15 03:32
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -20 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-15 03:32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Yes +10 $7 $0 $-7 05-12 17:07
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -20 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-15 03:32
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -20 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-15 03:32