Warped-Communication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-10 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-1

Sports

42% 0% $-1

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$985	512	512	+0	No	$-1	03-30 15:37
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	11	$863	455	455	-0	Yes	$-1	03-29 18:05
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$586	309	309	+0	open	—	03-28 04:38
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$585	300	300	+0	open	—	03-14 18:45
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$582	305	305	+0	open	—	03-21 00:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$578	302	302	+0	open	—	03-28 21:36
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$391	202	202	+0	open	—	04-16 20:53
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$390	206	206	+0	open	—	04-12 01:48
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$316	163	163	+0	open	—	03-11 09:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$309	163	163	+0	open	—	03-12 13:15
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$305	163	163	+0	open	—	03-19 01:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$305	158	158	+0	open	—	03-22 02:54
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$298	153	153	+0	open	—	03-17 08:37
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$296	152	152	+0	open	—	03-13 06:37
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	3	$295	153	153	+0	open	—	03-10 15:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$286	147	147	+0	open	—	03-18 16:46
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$286	147	147	+0	open	—	03-18 07:26
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$285	149	149	+0	open	—	03-23 00:09
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$284	146	146	+0	open	—	03-23 20:18
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$281	147	147	+0	No	$-0	03-25 05:25
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$277	142	142	+0	open	—	03-30 08:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$276	146	146	+0	open	—	04-27 10:53
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$269	138	138	+0	open	—	03-25 00:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$131	69	69	+0	open	—	06-03 10:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$128	67	66	+0	open	—	04-19 19:46
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$122	64	64	+0	open	—	03-31 05:34
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	03-30 22:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$121	64	64	+0	open	—	05-16 02:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	05-15 15:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$109	58	58	+0	open	—	06-10 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 08:52:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xa44139…
06-10 02:42:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x7af3bc…
06-09 08:28:03	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0x3f2a76…
06-07 11:01:54	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0xb2d92e…
06-06 21:17:51	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x94d68f…
06-06 14:16:49	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x03a243…
06-05 18:45:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x8a5897…
06-05 14:37:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xca409c…
06-04 20:12:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0xd8249f…
06-04 16:07:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xe7e6f7…
06-03 22:26:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x5702fc…
06-03 18:25:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x0cf89f…
06-03 10:15:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0xb2cdae…
06-03 04:13:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$65	0x754d46…
05-28 15:59:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0x48947e…
05-28 11:52:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x68acf4…
05-27 06:38:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0xefeb0f…
05-23 13:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x4ce4f9…
05-23 13:25:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xf1397e…
05-21 19:55:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x5d43bd…
05-21 14:47:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x3d7ae6…
05-16 02:56:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xf33a01…
05-15 22:52:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x6b585f…
05-15 15:40:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x408202…
05-15 08:13:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xa351ba…
04-28 01:02:04	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x5d952f…
04-27 18:59:00	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x46cb17…
04-27 10:53:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	146	95¢	$138	0x3c03cb…
04-27 04:53:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	146	94¢	$138	0x416003…
04-24 09:57:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x9606d4…
04-22 22:23:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x62d799…
04-21 20:25:50	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0xef7460…
04-21 13:06:30	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x5838d8…
04-19 19:46:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0xe0dddb…
04-19 10:45:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x224806…
04-16 20:53:38	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x887e59…
04-16 04:21:44	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x443dfa…
04-15 00:54:00	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$48	0x237b76…
04-14 01:07:51	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xd97f27…
04-12 10:52:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$45	0xdf8181…
04-12 03:33:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xc7063b…
04-12 01:48:17	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x3c0f62…
04-11 17:42:41	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x7c6979…
04-10 18:03:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0xb86923…
04-10 13:14:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xba8ab6…
03-31 05:34:37	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x0a8bf1…
03-31 05:34:19	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x3e30db…
03-30 22:51:27	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xaf907b…
03-30 22:27:55	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xb4ab75…
03-30 18:09:23	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$61	0x9c3898…
03-30 15:37:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0xc4aba5…
03-30 09:26:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x9b85ba…
03-30 08:46:58	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	142	97¢	$138	0xbc86cd…
03-30 04:43:56	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0x3d740e…
03-29 18:05:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	147	95¢	$139	0xfae11a…
03-29 13:13:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x13827a…
03-29 13:10:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x727f19…
03-29 13:04:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$51	0xfb8c39…
03-28 21:36:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	149	97¢	$144	0x395361…
03-28 14:15:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	149	97¢	$144	0xd57422…
03-28 04:38:33	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	147	95¢	$140	0x8a0346…
03-27 21:28:15	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0xa3e2a9…
03-26 16:54:31	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0x672f4d…
03-26 10:03:43	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0xb6c25f…
03-25 21:37:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	146	97¢	$142	0x2e344e…
03-25 13:32:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$142	0xbf5470…
03-25 05:25:37	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	147	96¢	$140	0xce680d…
03-25 01:20:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0x538713…
03-25 00:09:19	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0x8197c8…
03-24 18:56:31	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	138	98¢	$135	0x5f8d99…
03-23 20:18:37	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	146	96¢	$141	0x23bacf…
03-23 14:04:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	146	98¢	$143	0xf7d1bb…
03-23 00:09:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	149	96¢	$142	0x592b06…
03-22 16:23:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	149	96¢	$143	0xf7194d…
03-22 16:06:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x4ab11d…
03-22 09:32:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x163e04…
03-22 02:54:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	158	96¢	$152	0x89b04e…
03-21 19:32:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	158	96¢	$152	0x7d4dbc…
03-21 00:33:51	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	157	96¢	$150	0x82a8b9…
03-20 16:05:53	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	157	95¢	$149	0x337092…
03-20 15:19:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	153	94¢	$144	0x3adcf0…
03-20 09:58:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xd8247e…
03-20 09:57:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xbbf130…
03-19 01:49:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	163	94¢	$153	0x240c55…
03-18 17:42:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xaaf57b…
03-18 17:42:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0xf5b4e6…
03-18 17:36:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x776a8a…
03-18 17:19:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	110	93¢	$103	0x113598…
03-18 16:46:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	147	97¢	$143	0x1f32a7…
03-18 08:33:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	147	97¢	$143	0xf96dc5…
03-18 07:26:05	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$144	0x8a0dd4…
03-18 01:32:37	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x9b52a9…
03-18 01:14:59	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0xeb6d06…
03-17 20:25:47	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	96¢	$141	0x2d2e3e…
03-17 15:23:07	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	148	96¢	$141	0x615e95…
03-17 15:01:39	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0xd0f624…
03-17 08:56:07	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x5e87c1…
03-17 08:55:47	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x94aa40…
03-17 08:54:47	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc210f4…
03-17 08:54:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5105d3…