Average-Masterpiece — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,280

lifetime

Volume

$3.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-04 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

46% 20% $-10

Politics

45% 40% $-8

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	7	$48	38	32	+5	open	—	03-29 03:12
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	15	$46	34	34	+0	open	—	04-13 12:59
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	14	$46	28	28	+0	open	—	03-28 13:51
iran leadership change by march 31	19	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	03-27 10:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	23	$42	35	35	+0	open	—	05-07 20:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	03-29 04:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	17	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	03-11 11:27
Iran leadership change by May 31?	17	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 12:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	14	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	04-02 19:42
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	11	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	04-04 17:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$41	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 13:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	8	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	03-29 03:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	05-12 02:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$40	32	32	+0	open	—	03-23 11:06
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	18	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-12 19:24
will canada strike iran by march 31	39	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-14 01:30
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	12	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-18 06:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	80	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-10 08:32
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$39	34	34	+0	open	—	03-19 23:50
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	27	$39	21	21	+1	open	—	05-02 06:56
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	5	$39	22	20	+2	open	—	03-31 02:25
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	13	$38	21	19	+2	open	—	03-16 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	8	$38	21	19	+2	open	—	04-06 07:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	05-30 19:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	12	$37	24	24	+0	open	—	03-21 10:43
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	8	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	04-06 13:32
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-11 05:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$34	20	15	+6	open	—	03-10 21:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$33	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:59
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	23	$33	20	13	+7	open	—	04-11 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 03:04:51	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x28506a…
06-03 01:14:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdb1509…
06-03 01:14:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9bcfcf…
06-03 01:13:33	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x5a4b86…
06-02 18:21:25	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2491a8…
06-02 07:40:59	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x337d43…
06-02 06:54:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x0eee6c…
06-01 12:27:14	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5f4aed…
06-01 12:09:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xc60770…
06-01 10:53:05	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xe92971…
06-01 10:53:05	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xdcd3bd…
06-01 10:53:05	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x121f00…
06-01 10:53:05	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x0e263f…
06-01 10:53:03	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6f715e…
06-01 03:34:34	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x19fb78…
06-01 03:34:06	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x8334f0…
06-01 03:33:55	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x74df57…
06-01 03:33:53	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x7420a0…
06-01 03:33:52	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xc25c15…
06-01 03:33:48	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x9fcf1b…
06-01 03:33:48	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x0118ff…
06-01 03:25:42	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xe16741…
06-01 00:29:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xc1af74…
05-31 22:51:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9cc648…
05-31 22:21:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x59c55d…
05-31 10:40:37	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xefe65a…
05-31 10:40:37	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xc89f74…
05-31 05:42:58	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x413971…
05-31 04:57:14	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2d4df9…
05-30 19:00:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x7ff6b2…
05-30 18:43:18	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xafb8f3…
05-30 00:18:32	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x315f7e…
05-29 23:06:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf0d876…
05-29 21:58:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0xb08faa…
05-29 19:18:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x72332d…
05-29 19:11:29	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x14677a…
05-29 19:04:31	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x8d54ec…
05-29 15:57:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2e546d…
05-29 00:40:07	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x65fd7f…
05-28 15:52:39	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0xb3697c…
05-28 15:36:10	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x5757c2…
05-28 15:32:35	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x74b562…
05-28 15:32:05	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2eb556…
05-27 22:42:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xe85640…
05-27 20:54:25	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x9de621…
05-27 20:03:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xf96b51…
05-27 15:45:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xbb090a…
05-26 14:37:26	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5b9193…
05-26 13:53:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xd9ff1c…
05-26 00:42:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x355045…
05-26 00:02:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x918183…
05-25 23:09:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xb971d2…
05-25 21:38:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x54e47f…
05-25 20:07:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0x469231…
05-25 08:57:06	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x95a733…
05-25 08:52:30	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc1a78e…
05-25 02:18:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x17f7be…
05-24 21:57:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4d029e…
05-24 05:32:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf4fa22…
05-22 21:40:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x7a0016…
05-22 18:13:35	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xefad8b…
05-22 10:46:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x567124…
05-21 09:38:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa0808a…
05-20 08:38:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x261777…
05-20 08:32:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x68e1d1…
05-20 08:32:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa0729f…
05-20 07:11:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xcca0b5…
05-19 14:44:52	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc679d0…
05-19 08:29:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6bc3d3…
05-19 08:25:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xe21870…
05-19 08:25:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb0e78c…
05-19 08:22:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2852c7…
05-19 05:54:09	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd5d2ae…
05-19 05:03:12	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xc7d009…
05-18 20:19:12	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x1cad11…
05-18 17:46:32	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x287e16…
05-18 06:27:22	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x2fc07c…
05-18 06:25:23	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xdee5f6…
05-18 06:14:07	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x6c06de…
05-17 21:15:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5c519b…
05-17 21:15:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf1d583…
05-17 21:15:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1e69f7…
05-17 21:13:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x45243b…
05-17 08:43:17	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xfb4a3b…
05-17 08:26:49	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xfb50b2…
05-17 08:03:36	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x604b71…
05-17 07:50:23	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x23b965…
05-17 07:10:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x1cf260…
05-16 18:18:05	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x0d0fe4…
05-16 18:17:55	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x2f6279…
05-16 14:43:52	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x7ff99e…
05-16 01:39:08	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x2c1500…
05-16 01:26:07	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6a1cc2…
05-15 19:17:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0512dd…
05-15 15:31:25	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf832bc…
05-15 08:48:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x2f9e8e…
05-15 06:59:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x144ca0…
05-15 06:45:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x5c103d…
05-15 05:12:05	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x9010b6…
05-15 05:05:07	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x0245f8…