Realized P&L
+$257
Unrealized P&L
-$159
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
32
Trades
71
lifetime
Volume
$27.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$394
Open exposure
$61
1 position
First seen
2026-03-28
last 07-20 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
48%
100%
+$141
Crypto
41%
100%
+$11
Other
10%
60%
+$90
Sports
2%
100%
+$14
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +488 | $220 | 12¢ | $61 | -$159 | 07-20 18:53 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 2 | $2.4K | 4,250 | 4,250 | +0 | No | +$85 | 05-07 22:23 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $2.2K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | Yes | +$50 | 05-06 20:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 2 | $2.1K | 3,200 | 3,200 | +0 | No | +$64 | 05-06 10:57 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 8 | $2.1K | 1,300 | 1,300 | +0 | open | — | 05-06 19:14 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 3 | $2.0K | 1,030 | 1,030 | +0 | No | +$4 | 03-30 21:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1 | $1.3K | 1,268 | 0 | +1,268 | No | +$9 | 05-15 11:05 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | 1 | $1.3K | 1,259 | 0 | +1,259 | No | +$5 | 05-12 17:45 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 4 | $1.2K | 1,200 | 0 | +1,200 | No | +$4 | 05-11 19:46 |
| ethereum above 2400 on april 16 | 1 | $1.0K | 1,029 | 0 | +1,029 | No | +$1 | 04-16 15:31 |
| ethereum above 2400 on april 15 | 1 | $1.0K | 1,028 | 0 | +1,028 | No | +$1 | 04-15 15:32 |
| will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 13 | 1 | $1.0K | 1,027 | 0 | +1,027 | No | +$1 | 04-13 06:20 |
| ethereum above 2100 on april 9 | 1 | $1.0K | 1,024 | 0 | +1,024 | Yes | +$1 | 04-09 15:21 |
| ethereum above 2200 on april 6 | 9 | $1.0K | 1,023 | 0 | +1,023 | No | +$1 | 04-06 16:07 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 1 | $1.0K | 1,021 | 0 | +1,021 | No | +$1 | 04-01 04:03 |
| xrp above 1pt3 on march 28 | 1 | $1.0K | 1,014 | 0 | +1,014 | Yes | +$1 | 03-28 15:18 |
| will ethereum dip to 2000 on april 5 | 1 | $968 | 969 | 0 | +969 | No | +$1 | 04-06 02:20 |
| ethereum above 2300 on march 30 | 1 | $815 | 816 | 0 | +816 | No | +$1 | 03-30 14:21 |
| xrp above 1pt6 on april 18 | 1 | $682 | 683 | 0 | +683 | No | +$1 | 04-18 11:47 |
| ethereum above 2500 on april 14 | 4 | $536 | 537 | 0 | +537 | No | +$1 | 04-14 17:42 |
| will ethereum dip to 1950 on march 30 | 1 | $516 | 517 | 0 | +517 | No | +$1 | 03-31 03:32 |
| will solana dip to 80 on march 30 | 1 | $502 | 503 | 0 | +503 | No | +$1 | 03-31 03:31 |
| will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767 | 4 | $437 | 240 | 240 | +0 | Yes | +$14 | 06-30 21:58 |
| ethereum above 2500 on april 18 | 1 | $348 | 348 | 0 | +348 | No | +$0 | 04-18 11:56 |
| will xrp reach 1pt4 on april 7 | 5 | $307 | 308 | 0 | +308 | No | +$0 | 04-08 06:30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $220 | 488 | 0 | +488 | open | — | 07-20 18:53 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | 1 | $206 | 215 | 0 | +215 | No | +$9 | 05-31 19:40 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | 1 | $205 | 210 | 0 | +210 | No | +$5 | 05-21 18:11 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24? | 1 | $197 | 205 | 0 | +205 | No | +$8 | 05-23 20:59 |
| xrp above 1pt1 on march 30 | 3 | $110 | 110 | 0 | +110 | Yes | +$0 | 03-30 14:14 |
| xrp above 0pt9 on march 30 | 2 | $88 | 89 | 0 | +89 | Yes | +$0 | 03-30 14:14 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||