Valid-Sir 0x0cd65d…aa2784
9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$989
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
217
Trades
758
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-28 18:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
61% 50% -$537
Other
36% 39% -$378
Tech
2% 33% +$63
Crypto
1% 0% -$9
Sports
0% 0% -$115
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +205 $142 97¢ $199 +$57 10-02 22:51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +107 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 10-27 03:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +101 $100 100¢ $101 +$1 10-27 08:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +104 $100 96¢ $100 +$0 10-28 18:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +102 $100 98¢ $100 $0 10-22 23:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +103 $100 96¢ $99 -$1 10-28 14:55
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +123 $80 68¢ $84 +$4 10-21 07:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +119 $75 68¢ $82 +$7 10-11 21:33
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +38 $14 97¢ $37 +$23 09-21 01:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +155 $43 22¢ $33 -$10 08-17 18:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +77 $13 28¢ $22 +$8 10-03 15:32
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +48 $14 38¢ $18 +$4 10-09 20:23
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +90 $14 16¢ $14 +$0 10-05 04:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $14 22¢ $13 -$2 10-05 16:46
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +36 $15 32¢ $12 -$3 10-03 11:21
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +58 $14 20¢ $12 -$3 09-16 19:23
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +16 $11 70¢ $11 +$0 10-08 11:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +162 $13 6¢ $11 -$2 10-10 16:50
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $9 23¢ $10 +$2 10-04 09:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +53 $15 16¢ $9 -$6 09-24 02:11
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +15 $5 57¢ $9 +$4 10-05 15:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +106 $15 8¢ $8 -$7 09-22 19:18
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +21 $9 35¢ $7 -$2 10-13 18:22
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +80 $14 6¢ $5 -$9 09-17 04:53
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +23 $8 10¢ $2 -$6 10-05 13:46
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +150 $15 1¢ $1 -$14 09-13 07:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-20 19:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +70 $15 1¢ $1 -$14 09-11 18:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +46 $17 1¢ $0 -$17 10-02 11:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 10-15 07:22