Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

490

Trades

1,805

lifetime

Volume

$9.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$87

13 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 10-06 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

76% 32% -$117

Politics

12% 27% -$15

Tech

7% 29% -$2

Sports

4% 35% +$35

Crypto

2% 21% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	+20	$16	90¢	$18	+$2	09-21 11:04
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	+20	$13	71¢	$14	+$1	10-04 06:26
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	+20	$15	62¢	$12	-$3	10-05 03:46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+78	$29	11¢	$8	-$21	07-22 16:19
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+20	$7	38¢	$8	+$1	10-05 14:08
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	+20	$11	29¢	$6	-$5	10-03 23:46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	85¢	$5	+$1	10-05 00:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+42	$10	11¢	$4	-$5	07-27 18:23
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	+85	$23	5¢	$4	-$18	07-20 23:46
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	No	+5	$3	66¢	$3	$0	09-21 15:55
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	+20	$4	10¢	$2	-$2	09-21 11:08
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	+5	$3	34¢	$2	-$1	09-27 12:45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$6	15¢	$1	-$5	10-05 13:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spain snap election called in 2026?	31	$255	270	270	+0	Yes	-$5	10-02 21:17
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	14	$173	114	114	+0	No	-$1	10-04 16:08
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	18	$146	133	133	+0	open	—	10-03 15:33
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	15	$135	152	112	+40	open	—	10-04 06:26
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$133	3,235	3,235	+0	No	+$23	07-04 19:02
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	11	$123	4,166	4,166	+0	Yes	-$51	07-04 18:58
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	8	$122	110	110	+0	open	—	10-05 23:51
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	10	$118	116	116	+0	open	—	10-03 15:36
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	12	$113	132	83	+49	open	—	10-04 09:42
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	4	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	10-04 00:04
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	5	$97	59	59	+0	Yes	+$21	06-26 20:58
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	6	$97	67	67	+0	Yes	+$24	06-27 22:45
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	4	$93	72	72	+0	Morocco	+$51	06-25 00:02
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	9	$89	100	60	+40	open	—	10-05 14:08
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	4	$83	48	48	+0	Morocco	+$13	07-04 18:48
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	8	$79	61	61	+0	open	—	10-03 15:34
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in October?	7	$79	99	99	+0	No	-$3	10-02 15:22
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	6	$73	73	73	+0	Yes	-$4	09-22 17:52
Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	5	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-03 02:05
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	12	$67	90	35	+54	Yes	-$26	06-28 20:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	10-04 19:52
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	4	$63	34	34	+0	No	$0	10-05 16:44
Will “Dream” by Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi win Best K-Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	4	$62	40	40	+0	No	$0	09-24 15:05
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	4	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	10-03 20:12
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	10-03 20:42
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	-$1	09-28 00:01
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	6	$55	40	35	+5	Norway	+$8	06-30 18:53
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split	7	$54	77	23	+53	No	-$2	10-04 07:54
SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?	4	$53	55	55	+0	open	—	09-23 21:04
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	3	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	10-03 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 12:36:13	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by the void?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xdda856…
10-06 12:35:58	Will the median home value in Miami be between $767,000 and $788,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xe1ef01…
10-06 12:35:48	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xf03a12…
10-06 12:35:40	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither skeleton?	No	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x9d989f…
10-06 12:35:31	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by fire?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x4f5616…
10-06 12:35:21	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by magic?	No	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x96ad45…
10-06 12:35:12	Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9fe3d4…
10-06 12:35:03	Will a team win a game after trailing by 10,000+ gold at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x933c98…
10-06 12:08:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x0254f3…
10-06 10:44:54	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	Yes	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x69a70f…
10-06 10:44:36	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0xbb566d…
10-06 10:15:36	Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x474824…
10-06 10:13:07	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xc711aa…
10-06 10:12:01	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x04c2b2…
10-06 09:42:52	Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x2cab46…
10-06 09:42:51	Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x034cb6…
10-06 09:09:18	Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xeaed82…
10-06 09:09:09	Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xcc3c50…
10-06 09:07:49	Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x42f619…
10-06 08:55:40	Will a team win a game after trailing by 10,000+ gold at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x7c927c…
10-06 08:47:51	Will the KT Wiz win the 2026 Korean Series?	No	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x21927c…
10-06 08:41:27	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x756eb0…
10-06 08:38:07	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by the void?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x601dd3…
10-06 08:34:19	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by fire?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x2607f9…
10-06 08:30:52	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x58754e…
10-06 08:09:04	Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x6ca424…
10-06 08:05:22	Will the KT Wiz win the 2026 Korean Series?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xd0ad00…
10-06 07:44:15	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0eeaeb…
10-06 06:50:36	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a warden?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xcf8315…
10-06 06:49:09	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a warden?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xeaef0f…
10-06 06:18:46	Will the Hanshin Tigers win the 2026 Japan Series?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x2ed881…
10-06 06:06:37	Will the Hanshin Tigers win the 2026 Japan Series?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2e7232…
10-06 06:05:19	Will the Hanshin Tigers win the 2026 Japan Series?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xd64159…
10-06 05:27:25	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xbefcb3…
10-06 05:22:09	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x5d96c0…
10-06 05:03:07	Will the Hanshin Tigers win the 2026 Japan Series?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x850da9…
10-06 04:49:39	Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xd0b484…
10-06 04:19:36	Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x864e84…
10-06 04:17:25	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x75c619…
10-06 04:11:01	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither skeleton?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x0ecd20…
10-06 03:53:15	Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4081b5…
10-06 03:53:07	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by magic?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x4e90b1…
10-06 03:52:06	Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x12f67e…
10-06 03:20:34	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xf73564…
10-06 03:20:30	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x3470a3…
10-06 02:00:38	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x41e80f…
10-06 01:59:25	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x1223a0…
10-06 01:58:22	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x5ae284…
10-06 01:58:19	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x44273a…
10-05 23:51:04	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0x57febc…
10-05 23:39:28	Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x986aac…
10-05 23:18:38	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	25	54¢	$14	0x8c678f…
10-05 22:58:19	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x437be7…
10-05 22:58:17	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x1b2567…
10-05 22:30:13	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xc54dae…
10-05 22:29:07	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x7e43e8…
10-05 21:52:10	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x4bb7fa…
10-05 21:51:07	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x9a4744…
10-05 21:20:02	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x38f42f…
10-05 21:18:53	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x73d368…
10-05 20:48:26	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xc5ab09…
10-05 20:48:13	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x0e2cde…
10-05 19:29:19	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x9a01c4…
10-05 19:00:20	Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa6ed4b…
10-05 18:59:13	Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5c74d9…
10-05 18:31:17	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xfcf769…
10-05 18:30:59	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x83e542…
10-05 18:28:52	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x866096…
10-05 17:02:35	Will AloisNL Win the ADC Race 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x7e0e3b…
10-05 17:02:31	Will AloisNL Win the ADC Race 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x942dd6…
10-05 16:44:46	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x1fcabe…
10-05 16:43:43	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xb9e858…
10-05 16:41:13	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xee959e…
10-05 16:39:43	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x319b20…
10-05 16:36:25	Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x18a25a…
10-05 16:35:20	Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x769b03…
10-05 16:10:31	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x88d83b…
10-05 15:38:10	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xda45f3…
10-05 15:38:08	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x566f3d…
10-05 14:19:19	Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xd2a089…
10-05 14:19:19	Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x5a62f0…
10-05 14:08:16	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	33¢	$5	0xbbbc00…
10-05 14:08:08	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x630978…
10-05 13:56:22	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x30616f…
10-05 12:32:19	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xeff030…
10-05 12:32:14	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xda3cad…
10-05 12:32:13	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf6330c…
10-05 12:26:04	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x8b33eb…
10-05 12:18:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x818d89…
10-05 12:18:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x08a67d…
10-05 12:06:10	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xd508f7…
10-05 12:05:05	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xae2cf4…
10-05 12:01:13	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x5da908…
10-05 12:01:02	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x6c671b…
10-05 10:43:07	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe954e7…
10-05 10:42:38	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xa689ec…
10-05 10:40:16	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x37f413…
10-05 10:40:14	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xeae414…
10-05 10:40:14	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa6a8ea…
10-05 10:40:14	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x424cdb…