Hungry-Site — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.96K

Unrealized P&L

-$297

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

247

Trades

1,438

lifetime

Volume

$257.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

$419

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-30 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Politics

59% 56% +$4,110

Other

34% 60% -$307

Crypto

4% 54% +$139

Sports

2% 24% -$22

Tech

1% 80% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,200	$716	35¢	$419	-$297	08-30 21:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	22	$16.0K	8,060	8,060	+0	Yes	-$3	04-13 23:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	23	$13.2K	12,048	4,184	+7,864	No	-$1,029	04-15 21:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	30	$12.1K	7,280	6,731	+549	No	+$1,739	03-30 17:01
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	8	$11.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$12	02-24 11:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$10.5K	20,451	10,610	+9,841	No	+$181	06-03 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	44	$9.4K	5,350	5,350	+0	No	+$1,034	07-01 13:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$9.2K	6,102	6,102	+0	No	+$260	05-12 14:10
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	56	$8.9K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	+$87	04-11 11:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	17	$8.9K	4,607	5,507	-900	No	+$1,114	03-14 05:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	7	$8.0K	4,162	4,162	+0	No	+$139	06-14 22:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$7.5K	5,144	4,944	+200	No	+$363	05-30 10:18
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	22	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$24	04-10 19:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	28	$6.8K	4,650	4,600	+50	Yes	+$357	02-27 23:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$6.0K	3,765	3,765	+0	Yes	-$1,280	04-07 21:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	12	$5.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$89	04-27 13:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-20 07:39
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	6	$5.0K	4,000	1,275	+2,725	No	+$238	02-26 11:18
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	7	$4.6K	5,250	0	+5,250	No	+$631	02-20 19:53
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	13	$4.5K	2,950	2,604	+346	Yes	-$177	02-27 11:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$4.5K	4,270	754	+3,516	No	+$353	05-25 15:16
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	41	$4.0K	3,098	2,418	+680	No	-$284	02-06 15:22
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$3.5K	1,866	1,866	+0	No	+$89	02-27 22:26
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$3.3K	3,356	0	+3,356	No	+$15	04-30 22:03
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	3	$3.3K	1,665	1,665	+0	No	-$12	05-11 16:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	10	$2.9K	1,916	1,916	+0	Yes	-$120	05-30 08:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$180	04-24 14:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	14	$2.3K	1,556	1,556	+0	No	+$491	05-31 20:50
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	5	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Saint Louis Billikens	+$0	03-19 09:46
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.1K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$220	04-16 06:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$2.1K	1,232	1,232	+0	No	-$161	04-18 11:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 21:58:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	59¢	$225	0xa905c4…
08-30 19:59:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xe03282…
08-30 19:59:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	372	60¢	$225	0xc8b776…
08-30 19:29:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xffe8ec…
08-30 19:29:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$119	0xc5f3ac…
08-30 19:22:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$119	0x7b5461…
07-15 20:12:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xf90f13…
07-06 19:42:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x757207…
07-01 13:49:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,339	99¢	$1,332	0xd3df52…
06-30 20:21:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	446	100¢	$445	0x2f9815…
06-30 01:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,786	100¢	$1,777	0x05613a…
06-30 00:08:11	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x2f604a…
06-28 18:01:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	24	87¢	$20	0xce4b17…
06-28 17:38:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x129261…
06-28 17:38:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x55c9ce…
06-28 17:18:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	83	87¢	$72	0x6db8a7…
06-28 16:51:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	65	87¢	$57	0x881ccd…
06-28 15:06:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x231b17…
06-27 22:25:38	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x16e347…
06-27 21:15:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x7b2600…
06-27 19:34:02	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xce01f6…
06-27 17:26:34	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x4f2ae1…
06-27 03:46:29	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x950a73…
06-26 21:43:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	33	92¢	$31	0x23b0eb…
06-25 13:17:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x301de2…
06-25 13:17:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	474	86¢	$407	0xb74f30…
06-25 13:00:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	293	87¢	$255	0x09b293…
06-25 13:00:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	89	87¢	$77	0x02fac4…
06-25 12:59:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	118	87¢	$103	0xb36c56…
06-25 12:43:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	55	88¢	$48	0x48aeb7…
06-25 12:43:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xd322df…
06-25 12:43:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0x03df95…
06-25 12:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe9d713…
06-25 12:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xdb7562…
06-25 12:42:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x283c4c…
06-25 12:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xc8d75b…
06-25 12:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	155	88¢	$136	0x750c25…
06-25 12:42:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x71e7fe…
06-25 12:41:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x10b60e…
06-25 12:36:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x3c612c…
06-24 03:20:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x09ed3f…
06-23 14:51:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	77¢	$308	0xcae854…
06-23 11:19:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	416	96¢	$400	0xd383c4…
06-23 10:08:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0xdcdcc7…
06-22 16:00:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	130	94¢	$122	0xed7ef6…
06-22 15:58:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xced040…
06-22 15:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xdbec1d…
06-22 15:40:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1e8d6b…
06-22 15:37:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xd313c4…
06-22 15:35:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x451ed1…
06-22 15:32:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	523	94¢	$492	0x309855…
06-22 15:32:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	141	94¢	$133	0xa1fe50…
06-21 16:05:32	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc3e48b…
06-21 16:04:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7d49d8…
06-19 23:09:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x3557d9…
06-19 22:50:17	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	60	16¢	$10	0x9e7995…
06-19 22:50:17	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x56437b…
06-19 22:15:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0xaed007…
06-19 22:06:17	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x606bcd…
06-19 16:37:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x03b9fc…
06-19 16:36:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x7c0a2e…
06-19 16:35:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xa45c78…
06-19 16:33:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	214	50¢	$107	0xa94394…
06-19 16:33:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x606d6e…
06-19 08:40:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x3b1ba8…
06-19 08:20:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	426	60¢	$256	0x30857e…
06-19 08:20:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xa33ce9…
06-19 07:47:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	60¢	$43	0xba46dd…
06-17 21:18:52	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	203	82¢	$166	0x78cf9e…
06-17 20:42:56	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x9db074…
06-17 20:04:19	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	230	2¢	$4	0x2e4af8…
06-17 20:04:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0x68aaf5…
06-17 20:04:13	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0x9b15d4…
06-17 20:04:07	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	270	1¢	$4	0x4b24c6…
06-17 19:08:35	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x575ec2…
06-17 19:07:02	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	203	58¢	$117	0x24620b…
06-17 18:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	157	78¢	$122	0x541a36…
06-17 18:47:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x514008…
06-17 18:42:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0x7e564d…
06-17 18:42:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x37cbcd…
06-17 18:42:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x238f25…
06-17 18:42:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x194300…
06-17 18:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	187	78¢	$146	0x8579e1…
06-17 18:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	165	78¢	$129	0x714479…
06-17 18:30:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xa8b918…
06-17 11:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0xe14317…
06-16 17:18:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	189	72¢	$136	0x684ae9…
06-15 20:49:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	676	78¢	$527	0x6313d8…
06-15 20:45:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	212	78¢	$166	0xf2e608…
06-15 20:35:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6c5daf…
06-15 20:32:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	91	78¢	$71	0x0198c1…
06-15 20:31:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0x722315…
06-15 16:47:30	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x0b65d7…
06-15 08:24:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,400	70¢	$980	0xe3b8f4…
06-15 08:20:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xab9884…
06-14 22:17:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	1,779	97¢	$1,735	0x6d088c…
06-14 22:17:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	133	98¢	$130	0xfb8102…
06-14 22:14:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	SELL	168	98¢	$164	0xc9797b…
06-14 21:33:25	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	189	58¢	$109	0xe5d236…
06-14 20:32:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	1,816	97¢	$1,766	0xdbf3ac…