Immaculate-Cast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$948

Hit rate

28.7%

Resolved

185

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$63.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

$211

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-21 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

41% 0% -$8,091

Other

26% 28% -$2,729

Crypto

26% 44% +$381

Sports

8% 9% +$525

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,788	$920	6¢	$155	-$765	07-19 14:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+487	$239	12¢	$56	-$183	07-20 01:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	10	$11.7K	11,836	11,836	+0	Yes	-$334	06-14 11:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	7	$8.3K	17,992	17,992	+0	Yes	-$4,764	06-15 08:07
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	6	$3.6K	10,897	10,897	+0	No	-$1,970	06-07 15:57
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	2	$3.3K	2,273	2,273	+0	Over	+$1,270	06-15 03:13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.7K	3,759	3,759	+0	Yes	+$1,722	07-19 14:31
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	1	$2.4K	4,896	0	+4,896	Under	-$2,448	06-15 04:29
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.8K	16,351	8,888	+7,463	No	-$660	06-17 07:26
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	2	$1.7K	5,373	0	+5,373	Under	-$1,700	06-15 08:09
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5	2	$1.5K	8,157	0	+8,157	Under	-$1,500	06-15 08:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	5,080	5,080	+0	No	-$847	05-31 05:40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	1	$992	2,320	0	+2,320	No	-$992	07-19 14:38
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:15 UTC	7	$928	618	609	+9	Up	+$288	03-06 07:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$920	2,788	0	+2,788	open	—	07-19 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:20 UTC	4	$900	1,751	0	+1,751	Down	-$900	03-07 06:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$875	6,250	6,250	+0	Yes	-$125	06-15 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:15 UTC	6	$771	1,020	549	+472	Up	+$403	03-06 17:18
will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	2	$673	1,153	1,153	+0	No	+$273	06-19 13:46
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$656	1,559	1,559	+0	Yes	-$444	03-06 16:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 03:40 UTC	6	$641	420	414	+6	Up	+$186	03-06 03:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:15 UTC	3	$604	378	373	+5	Up	+$140	03-06 15:20
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	2	$538	1,991	1,991	+0	No	+$226	06-18 23:39
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	1	$500	1,087	0	+1,087	Over	+$587	06-15 00:39
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	2	$453	855	855	+0	No	-$9	06-14 13:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$451	1,206	1,206	+0	Yes	-$351	03-09 12:53
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	1	$450	1,406	0	+1,406	Over	+$956	06-16 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:05 UTC	6	$450	1,140	0	+1,140	Down	-$450	03-07 06:07
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:20 UTC	4	$450	305	300	+5	Up	+$154	03-06 15:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:40 UTC	6	$420	1,032	0	+1,032	Up	+$612	03-06 17:43
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	1	$400	1,176	0	+1,176	Under	-$400	06-19 13:50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$400	909	0	+909	Under	-$400	05-30 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:11:03	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	470	0¢	$2	0x8b6135…
07-20 01:35:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	487	49¢	$239	0x475f54…
07-19 14:48:06	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0xc72e2d…
07-19 14:43:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,788	33¢	$920	0x2deba6…
07-19 14:38:33	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	2,320	43¢	$992	0xcad3e6…
07-19 14:37:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	864	20¢	$175	0xe60269…
07-19 14:31:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,759	59¢	$2,222	0xac6af3…
07-16 15:04:23	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte3	Yes	BUY	197	5¢	$10	0x005819…
06-30 05:34:59	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x62e2e4…
06-19 13:54:13	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xfbd479…
06-19 13:53:38	Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x829e96…
06-19 13:52:49	Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x3fd141…
06-19 13:52:38	Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xf832d6…
06-19 13:52:25	Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xc2b47c…
06-19 13:50:41	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,176	34¢	$400	0x62ef33…
06-19 13:46:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,153	41¢	$473	0x118594…
06-18 23:44:59	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	1,224	27¢	$329	0x772e4c…
06-18 23:42:29	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xbfaf61…
06-18 23:42:05	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x7fe0d5…
06-18 23:41:47	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x560e9d…
06-18 23:41:35	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xc2bbed…
06-18 23:39:20	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,991	19¢	$382	0x232367…
06-17 07:29:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,991	8¢	$156	0x579a89…
06-17 07:28:41	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,153	17¢	$200	0x0a3c6b…
06-17 07:26:46	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,463	7¢	$500	0x8ffab4…
06-17 07:26:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,759	13¢	$500	0x5d43ab…
06-16 13:22:52	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	1,156	8¢	$92	0x77a9aa…
06-16 13:19:41	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x1321f4…
06-16 13:19:26	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x17127a…
06-16 13:19:08	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x894f72…
06-16 13:18:07	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1,406	32¢	$450	0xbfff12…
06-16 13:17:13	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8,888	7¢	$587	0x3bc80b…
06-15 08:11:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals mikel oyarzabal gte3	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x92219d…
06-15 08:09:36	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5,263	19¢	$1,000	0xed0f8d…
06-15 08:09:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	3,438	32¢	$1,100	0x96e258…
06-15 08:07:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	17,992	10¢	$1,770	0xf448b7…
06-15 08:06:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6,250	6¢	$375	0x18af9b…
06-15 04:29:09	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4,896	50¢	$2,448	0xcd7eea…
06-15 04:28:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	2,894	17¢	$500	0x4c6963…
06-15 04:25:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,250	8¢	$500	0x97dbbe…
06-15 04:25:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,737	18¢	$500	0x15edf1…
06-15 04:17:40	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,935	31¢	$600	0x197eff…
06-15 03:13:31	Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2,273	100¢	$2,270	0x51b9df…
06-15 01:12:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,156	22¢	$480	0x31288e…
06-15 01:09:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,203	23¢	$500	0x437010…
06-15 00:54:09	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0x272484…
06-15 00:47:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,165	15¢	$330	0x9ea14e…
06-15 00:39:51	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xb7408f…
06-15 00:39:12	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,087	46¢	$500	0xfbf358…
06-14 23:38:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,918	18¢	$724	0xa1d1cd…
06-14 13:37:12	Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,401	5¢	$77	0xc87acb…
06-14 13:36:24	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	833	9¢	$75	0xf4030d…
06-14 13:34:30	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	552	3¢	$15	0xbe8122…
06-14 13:34:15	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	570	3¢	$15	0x33ce44…
06-14 13:33:55	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	1,001	1¢	$15	0xed76f4…
06-14 13:33:42	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	236	6¢	$15	0xd3e5fb…
06-14 13:32:51	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	855	26¢	$222	0x54db3c…
06-14 13:08:43	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	855	27¢	$231	0x0e6dfc…
06-14 13:08:07	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	893	28¢	$250	0xe56787…
06-14 13:05:57	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1,323	26¢	$344	0x4143fd…
06-14 13:05:19	Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xe3f6e7…
06-14 13:03:34	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	509	20¢	$100	0x821245…
06-14 12:13:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4,813	83¢	$4,000	0xed1467…
06-14 11:30:09	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	1,475	8¢	$118	0x73aa86…
06-14 11:29:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xa967d8…
06-14 11:25:37	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	2,599	64¢	$1,676	0x89ed89…
06-14 11:23:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	45	67¢	$30	0xdacdb5…
06-14 11:23:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xc2c508…
06-14 11:22:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	866	67¢	$580	0x6d6166…
06-14 11:22:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	3,127	67¢	$2,095	0xd7f095…
06-14 11:12:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xead2f4…
06-14 11:12:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,395	67¢	$939	0x670993…
06-14 08:32:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	8,035	62¢	$4,998	0x4614c7…
06-12 05:42:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	550	16¢	$88	0xe3df83…
06-12 05:41:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	1,199	8¢	$98	0x64f0cc…
06-10 06:33:27	will jeremie frimpong score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x1380c3…
06-07 15:58:36	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,126	8¢	$347	0x5ff20c…
06-07 15:58:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	3,802	9¢	$342	0x9d6384…
06-07 15:57:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	3,500	0¢	$16	0x8696bf…
06-03 14:43:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	8¢	$280	0xbabbd8…
06-03 14:42:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,802	26¢	$1,000	0x6b2e89…
06-03 07:15:53	Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,149	4¢	$97	0x669d80…
06-03 07:12:25	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,014	4¢	$38	0x85df16…
06-03 07:12:02	Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,005	4¢	$38	0xda66a8…
06-03 07:10:59	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,087	5¢	$100	0x5df685…
06-03 07:07:24	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x93f172…
06-02 13:51:43	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,762	8¢	$400	0x486ebf…
06-02 13:50:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,397	11¢	$793	0xd01e00…
05-31 05:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	145	48¢	$70	0x947c8c…
05-31 05:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xe31bdc…
05-31 05:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xc70ae4…
05-31 05:40:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,080	3¢	$153	0x0ee112…
05-31 05:39:45	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	371	36¢	$134	0x1d1953…
05-30 14:47:29	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	194	25¢	$49	0x4c13b5…
05-30 14:45:01	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x6ba603…
05-30 14:20:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	909	44¢	$400	0x8b14b1…
05-30 14:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbf43a2…
05-30 14:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x49045d…
05-30 14:16:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,606	31¢	$498	0xb7d74d…
05-30 14:05:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,335	30¢	$1,000	0x51a297…